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We show that capital flow (CF) volatility exerts an adverse effect on exchange rate (FX) volatility, regardless of whether capital controls have been put in place. However, this effect can be significantly moderated by certain macroeconomic…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-10-11 Louisa Chen , Estelle Xue Liu , Zijun Liu

We present a systematic study of various statistical characteristics of high-frequency returns from the foreign exchange market. This study is based on six exchange rates forming two triangles: EUR-GBP-USD and GBP-CHF-JPY. It is shown that…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-05-24 Stanislaw Drozdz , Jaroslaw Kwapien , Pawel Oswiecimka , Rafal Rak

We discuss price variations distributions in foreign exchange markets, characterizing them both in calendar and business time frameworks. The price dynamics is found to be the result of two distinct processes, a multi-variance diffusion and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Michele Pasquini , Maurizio Serva

Shaped by structural forces of change, banking in emerging markets has recently experienced a decline in its traditional activities, leading banks to diversify into new business strategies. This paper examines whether the observed shift…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2011-07-04 Saoussen Ben Gamra , Dominique Plihon

A quantitative check of weak efficiency in US dollar/German mark exchange rates is developed using high frequency data. We show the existence of long term return anomalies. We introduce a technique to measure the available information and…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2008-12-02 R. Baviera , M. Pasquini , M. Serva , D. Vergni , A. Vulpiani

We analyze structure of the world foreign currency exchange (FX) market viewed as a network of interacting currencies. We analyze daily time series of FX data for a set of 63 currencies, including gold, silver and platinum. We group…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2009-06-03 Jaroslaw Kwapien , Sylwia Gworek , Stanislaw Drozdz , Andrzej Gorski

The sharp devaluation of the ruble in 2014 increased the real returns to Russians from working in a global online labor marketplace, as con- tracts in this market are dollar-denominated. Russians clearly noticed the opportunity, with…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-04-14 John Horton

World currency network constitutes one of the most complex structures that is associated with the contemporary civilization. On a way towards quantifying its characteristics we study the cross correlations in changes of the daily foreign…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2009-11-13 S. Drozdz , A. Z. Gorski , J. Kwapien

This paper expands on stochastic volatility models by proposing a data-driven method to select the macroeconomic events most likely to impact volatility. The paper identifies and quantifies the effects of macroeconomic events across…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-11-26 Igor Martins , Hedibert Freitas Lopes

We show that fluctuations in the ratio of non-core to core funding in the banking systems of advanced economies are largely driven by three global factors of both real and financial natures, with country-specific factors playing only a…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-04 Luís A. V. Catão , Jan Ditzen , Daniel Marcel te Kaat

We have presented a novel technique of detecting intermittencies in a financial time series of the foreign exchange rate data of U.S.- Euro dollar(US/EUR) using a combination of both statistical and spectral techniques. This has been…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-09-08 A. N. Sekar Iyengar

The role of collateral in derivative pricing has evolved beyond credit risk mitigation, particularly following the global financial crisis, when funding costs and basis spreads became central to valuation practices. This development…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2026-03-10 Yining Ding , Ruyi Liu , Marek Rutkowski

Interbank contagion can theoretically exacerbate losses in a financial system and lead to additional cascade defaults during downturn. In this paper we produce default analysis using both regression and neural network models to verify…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-05-29 Riccardo Doyle

The aim of this paper is to dig deeper into understanding the exchange rates and uncertainty dependence. Using the novel Baker et al. (2020)'s daily Twitter Uncertainty Index and BRICS exchange rates, we investigate their extreme tail…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-11-10 Nourhaine Nefzi , Abir Abid

The cross-correlations between the exchange rate fluctuations of 74 currencies over the period 1995-2012 are analyzed in this paper. The eigenvalue distribution of the cross-correlation matrix exhibits a bulk which approximately matches the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2013-05-02 Sitabhra Sinha , Uday Kovur

This study investigates the functioning of modern payment systems through the lens of banks' maturity mismatch practices, and it examines the effects of banks' refusal to roll over short-term interbank liabilities on financial stability.…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-06-12 Jessica Reale

This paper examines how shocks to currency volatilities predict exchange rates. Using option-implied volatilities, we construct a dynamic, directed network of volatility connections. Currencies that transmit more volatility shocks, which…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2026-03-12 Mykola Babiak , Jozef Barunik

This paper aims at solving FX market volatility modeling problem and finding the most becoming approach to this task. Validity of two competing approaches, classical econometric generalized conditional heteroscedasticity and mathematical…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-04-30 Anton Koshelev

Gold and currency markets form a unique pair with specific interactions and dynamics. We focus on the efficiency ranking of gold markets with respect to the currency of purchase. By utilizing the Efficiency Index (EI) based on fractal…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-10-30 Ladislav Kristoufek , Miloslav Vosvrda

The aim of this paper is to determine the Value at Risk (VaR) of the portfolio consisting of long positions in foreign currencies on an emerging market. Basing on empirical data we restrict ourselves to the case when the tail parts of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Piotr Jaworski
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