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Poverty statistics guide social policy, but in many low- and middle-income countries, censuses and household surveys that collect these data are costly, infrequent, quickly outdated, and sometimes error-prone. Satellite imagery offers…

Major decisions from governments and other large organizations rely on measurements of the populace's well-being, but making such measurements at a broad scale is expensive and thus infrequent in much of the developing world. We propose an…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-03-02 Jihyeon Lee , Dylan Grosz , Burak Uzkent , Sicheng Zeng , Marshall Burke , David Lobell , Stefano Ermon

This paper reviews the state of the art in satellite and machine learning based poverty estimates and finds some interesting results. The most important factors correlated to the predictive power of welfare in the reviewed studies are the…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-10-20 Olan Hall , Francis Dompae , Ibrahim Wahab , Fred Mawunyo Dzanku

Up-to-date poverty maps are an important tool for policy makers, but until now, have been prohibitively expensive to produce. We propose a generalizable prediction methodology to produce poverty maps at the village level using geospatial…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-08-03 Kamwoo Lee , Jeanine Braithwaite

Grouped data in form of income shares have been conventionally used to estimate income inequality due to the lack of availability of individual records. Most prior research on economic inequality relies on lower bounds of inequality…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-08-30 Vanesa Jorda , José María Sarabia , Markus Jäntti

The impact of rising consumption on wealth inequality remains an open question. Here we revisit and extend the Social Architecture of Capitalism agent-based model proposed by Ian Wright, which reproduces stylized facts of wealth and income…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-05-22 Jhordan Silveira de Borba , Celia Anteneodo , Sebastian Gonçalves

There has been growing attention on how to effectively and objectively use covariate information when the primary goal is to estimate the average treatment effect (ATE) in randomized clinical trials (RCTs). In this paper, we propose an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-01 Yuanyao Tan , Xialing Wen , Wei Liang , Ying Yan

There has been a recent surge in statistical methods for handling the lack of adequate positivity when using inverse probability weights (IPW). However, these nascent developments have raised a number of questions. Thus, we demonstrate the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-05 Roland A. Matsouaka , Yi Liu , Yunji Zhou

Propensity score (PS) weighting methods are often used in non-randomized studies to adjust for confounding and assess treatment effects. The most popular among them, the inverse probability weighting (IPW), assigns weights that are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-04 Yunji Zhou , Roland A. Matsouaka , Laine Thomas

We revisit the theory of importance weighted variational inference (IWVI), a promising strategy for learning latent variable models. IWVI uses new variational bounds, known as Monte Carlo objectives (MCOs), obtained by replacing intractable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-27 Pierre-Alexandre Mattei , Jes Frellsen

Poverty maps derived from satellite imagery are increasingly used to inform high-stakes policy decisions, such as the allocation of humanitarian aid and the distribution of government resources. Such poverty maps are typically constructed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-04 Emily Aiken , Esther Rolf , Joshua Blumenstock

We present a stochastic agent-based model for the distribution of personal incomes in a developing economy. We start with the assumption that incomes are determined both by individual labour and by stochastic effects of trading and…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2010-09-23 Amit K Chattopadhyay , Graeme J Ackland , Sushanta K Mallick

We study inference with a small labeled sample, a large unlabeled sample, and high-quality predictions from an external model. We link prediction-powered inference with empirical likelihood by stacking supervised estimating equations based…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-19 Guanghui Wang , Mengtao Wen , Changliang Zou

This paper investigates the large sample properties of the variance, weights, and risk of high-dimensional portfolios where the inverse of the covariance matrix of excess asset returns is estimated using a technique called nodewise…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-16 Laurent Callot , Mehmet Caner , Esra Ulasan , A. Özlem Önder

How to deal with missing data in observational studies is a common concern for causal inference. When the covariates are missing at random (MAR), multiple approaches have been provided to help solve the issue. However, if the exposure is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-14 Yuliang Shi , Yeying Zhu , Joel A. Dubin

We describe a method to identify poor households in data-scarce countries by leveraging information contained in nationally representative household surveys. It employs standard statistical learning techniques---cross-validation and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-21 Varun Kshirsagar , Jerzy Wieczorek , Sharada Ramanathan , Rachel Wells

Estimating income distributions plays an important role in the measurement of inequality and poverty over space. The existing literature on income distributions predominantly focuses on estimating an income distribution for a country or a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-04 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Genya Kobayashi , Yuki Kawakubo

Income inequality estimators are biased in small samples, leading generally to an underestimation. This aspect deserves particular attention when estimating inequality in small domains and performing small area estimation at the area level.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-23 Silvia De Nicolò , Maria Rosaria Ferrante , Silvia Pacei

Income segregation measures the extent to which households choose to live near other households with similar incomes. Sociologists theorize that income segregation can exacerbate the impacts of income inequality, and have developed indices…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-24 Matthew Simpson , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle , Jonathan R. Bradley

In this paper we derive inferential results for a new index of inequality, specifically defined for capturing significant changes observed both in the left and in the right tail of the income distributions. The latter shifts are an apparent…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-06-20 Youri Davydov , Francesca Greselin