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Massive datasets in the gigabyte and terabyte range combined with the availability of increasingly sophisticated statistical tools yield analyses at the boundary of what is computationally feasible. Compromising in the face of this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-01-06 Jennifer A. Tom , Janet S. Sinsheimer , Marc A. Suchard

The ability to perform accurate prognosis of patients is crucial for proactive clinical decision making, informed resource management and personalised care. Existing outcome prediction models suffer from a low recall of infrequent positive…

This study estimates the overall effect of two influenza vaccination programs consecutively administered in a cluster-randomized trial in western Senegal over the course of two influenza seasons from 2009-2011. We apply cutting-edge…

Influenza-like illness (ILI) estimation from web search data is an important web analytics task. The basic idea is to use the frequencies of queries in web search logs that are correlated with past ILI activity as features when estimating…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2018-02-21 Niels Dalum Hansen , Kåre Mølbak , Ingemar J. Cox , Christina Lioma

First Few X (FFX) studies collect household-stratified data in the early stages of a pandemic, in order to infer severity and transmissibility of an emerging disease. We present a Bayesian method to approximately infer population-level…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-11-22 P. G. Ballard , A. J. Black , J. V. Ross

A model-based signal processing framework is proposed for pandemic trend forecasting and control, by using non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) at regional and country levels worldwide. The control objective is to prescribe quantifiable…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-11-23 Reza Sameni

Self-supervision may boost model performance in downstream tasks. However, there is no principled way of selecting the self-supervised objectives that yield the most adaptable models. Here, we study this problem on daily time-series data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-28 Arinbjörn Kolbeinsson , Piyusha Gade , Raghu Kainkaryam , Filip Jankovic , Luca Foschini

Throughout the Covid-19 pandemic, a significant amount of effort had been put into developing techniques that predict the number of infections under various assumptions about the public policy and non-pharmaceutical interventions. While…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-12-22 Sharare Zehtabian , Siavash Khodadadeh , Damla Turgut , Ladislau Bölöni

Background: Globally, influenza is a major cause of morbidity, hospitalization and mortality. Influenza vaccination has shown substantial protective effectiveness in the United States. We investigated state-level patterns of coverage rates…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-03-14 Alice P. Y. Chiu , Duo Yu , Jonathan Dushoff , Daihai He

This research paper outlines the development and implementation of a novel Clinical Decision Support System (CDSS) that integrates AI predictive modeling with medical knowledge bases. It utilizes the quantifiable information elements in lab…

Partially-observed data collected by sampling methods is often being studied to obtain the characteristics of information diffusion networks. However, these methods usually do not consider the behavior of diffusion process. In this paper,…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2014-05-30 Motahareh Eslami Mehdiabadi , Hamid R. Rabiee , Mostafa Salehi

Accurate epidemic forecasting is critical for effective public health interventions. This study compares Bayesian and Frequentist estimation frameworks within deterministic compartmental epidemic models, focusing on nonlinear least squares…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-09-09 Hamed Karami , Ruiyan Luo , Pejman Sanaei , Gerardo Chowell

Aim of this paper is the description of a new tool to support institutions in the implementation of targeted countermeasures, based on quantitative and multi-scale elements, for the fight and prevention of emergencies, such as the current…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2020-11-12 A. Sebastianelli , F. Mauro , G. Di Cosmo , F. Passarini , M. Carminati , S. L. Ullo

Diffusion models have demonstrated remarkable capabilities in generating high-quality samples and enhancing performance across diverse domains through Classifier-Free Guidance (CFG). However, the quality of generated samples is highly…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-08-21 Ao Chen , Lihe Ding , Tianfan Xue

Infectious diseases on farms pose both public and animal health risks, so understanding how they spread between farms is crucial for developing disease control strategies to prevent future outbreaks. We develop novel Bayesian nonparametric…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-08-24 R. G. Seymour , T. Kypraios , P. D. O'Neill , T. J. Hagenaars

Cloud performance diagnosis and prediction is a challenging problem due to the stochastic nature of the cloud systems. Cloud performance is affected by a large set of factors including (but not limited to) virtual machine types, regions,…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2016-12-19 Karan Mitra , Saguna Saguna , Christer Åhlund , Rajiv Ranjan

Sequential probabilistic inference from streaming observations requires modeling distributions over future trajectories as new observations arrive. Although diffusion and flow-matching models are effective at capturing high-dimensional,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Yinan Huang , Hans Hao-Hsun Hsu , Junran Wang , Bo Dai , Pan Li

We develop a multiple compartment Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model to analyze the spread of several infectious diseases through different geographic areas. Additionally, we propose a data-quality sensitive optimization framework…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2019-06-21 Inbar Seroussi , Nir Levy , Daniela Paolotti , Nir Sochen , Elad Yom-Tov

Online searches have been used to study different health-related behaviours, including monitoring disease outbreaks. An obvious caveat is that several reasons can motivate individuals to seek online information and models that are blind to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-19 Sara Mesquita , Cláudio Haupt Vieira , Lília Perfeito , Joana Gonçalves-Sá

Influenza has been circulating in the human population and has caused three pandemics in the last century (1918 H1N1, 1957 H2N2, 1968 H3N2). The 2009 A(H1N1) was classified by the World Health Organization (WHO) as the fourth pandemic.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2012-05-01 Jiankui He , Michael W. Deem