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We quantify resilience with metrics extracted from the historical outage data that is routinely recorded by many distribution utilities. The outage data is coordinated with wind data to relate average outage rates in an area to wind speed…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-12-13 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

Transmission utilities routinely collect detailed outage data, including resilience events in which outages bunch up due to weather. The resilience events and their resilience metrics can readily be extracted from this historical outage…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-01-15 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson , Svetlana Ekisheva , Christopher Claypool , Mark Lauby

Given increasing risk from climate-induced natural hazards, there is growing interest in the development of methods that can quantitatively measure resilience in power systems. This work quantifies resilience in electric power transmission…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-06-18 Molly Rose Kelly-Gorham , Paul. D. H. Hines , Ian Dobson

This paper presents a data-driven approach for quantifying the resilience of distribution power grids to extreme weather events using two key metrics: (a) the number of outages and (b) restoration time. The method leverages historical…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-19 Dingwei Wang , Salish Maharjan , Junyuan Zheng , Liming Liu , Zhaoyu Wang

Resilience curves track the accumulation and restoration of outages during an event on an electric distribution grid. We show that a resilience curve generated from utility data can always be decomposed into an outage process and a restore…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-26 Nichelle'Le K. Carrington , Ian Dobson , Zhaoyu Wang

In recent decades, the weather around the world has become more irregular and extreme, often causing large-scale extended power outages. Resilience -- the capability of withstanding, adapting to, and recovering from a large-scale disruption…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-08-06 Shixiang Zhu , Rui Yao , Yao Xie , Feng Qiu , Yueming Qiu , Xuan Wu

The electric distribution system is a cornerstone of modern life, playing a critical role in the daily activities and well-being of individuals. As the world transitions toward a decarbonized future, where even mobility relies on…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-02-24 Shikhar Pandey , Gowtham Kandaperumal , Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

Evaluating resilience in electric distribution systems under severe weather requires models that can connect network topology, hazard simulation, fragility modeling, restoration assumptions, repair strategy, and downstream consequences.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-19 Xuesong Wang , Caisheng Wang , Carol Miller , Amir Shahin Kamjou , John Norton

It is of growing concern to ensure the resilience in electricity infrastructure systems to extreme weather events with the help of appropriate hardening measures and new operational procedures. An effective mitigation strategy requires a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-07-19 Shiva Poudel , Anamika Dubey , Anjan Bose

Over the past decade, extreme weather events have significantly increased worldwide, leading to widespread power outages and blackouts. As these threats continue to challenge power distribution systems, the importance of mitigating the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-08-16 Shuva Paul , Abodh Poudyal , Shiva Poudel , Anamika Dubey , Zhaoyu Wang

Resilience risk metrics must address the customer cost of the largest blackouts of greatest impact. However, there are huge variations in blackout cost in observed distribution utility data that make it impractical to properly estimate the…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-08-14 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

Extreme events, exacerbated by climate change, pose significant risks to the energy system and its consumers. However there are natural limits to the degree of protection that can be delivered from a centralised market architecture.…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-02-06 Farhad Billimoria , Filiberto Fele , Iacopo Savelli , Thomas Morstyn , Malcolm McCulloch

It is of growing concern to ensure resilience in power distribution systems to extreme weather events. However, there are no clear methodologies or metrics available for resilience assessment that allows system planners to assess the impact…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-11-16 Abodh Poudyal , Anamika Dubey , Shiva Poudel

We develop LENORI, a Large Event Number of Outages Resilience Index measuring distribution system resilience with the number of forced line outages observed in large extreme events. LENORI is calculated from standard utility outage data.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-18 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

We discuss ways to measure duration in a power transmission system resilience event by modeling outage and restore processes from utility data. We introduce novel Poisson process models that describe how resilience events progress and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-07-04 Ian Dobson , Svetlana Ekisheva

The impact of routine smaller outages on distribution system customers in terms of customer minutes interrupted can be tracked using conventional reliability indices. However, the customer minutes interrupted in large blackout events are…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-03-20 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

To study resilience with real data, it is necessary to group the individual outages recorded by utilities into events in which the outages bunch up and overlap due to extreme weather. We show how to automatically group utility outage data…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-11-18 Arslan Ahmad , Ian Dobson

A key objective of the smart grid is to improve reliability of utility services to end users. This requires strengthening resilience of distribution networks that lie at the edge of the grid. However, distribution networks are exposed to…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-11-18 Yun Wei , Chuanyi Ji , Floyd Galvan , Stephen Couvillon , George Orellana , James Momoh

Whereas maintenance has been recognized as an important and effective means for risk management in power systems, it turns out to be intractable if cascading blackout risk is considered due to the extremely high computational complexity. In…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-11-28 Jinpeng Guo , Feng Liu , Xuemin Zhang , Yunhe Hou , Shengwei Mei

Large scale power failures induced by severe weather have become frequent and damaging in recent years, causing millions of people to be without electricity service for days. Although the power industry has been battling weather-induced…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-12-05 Chuanyi Ji , Yun Wei , H. Vincent Poor
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