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The key limitation of the verification performance lies in the ability of error detection. With this intuition we designed several variants of pessimistic verification, which are simple workflows that could significantly improve the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-11-27 Yanxing Huang , Zihan Tang , Zejin Lin , Peng Li , Yang Liu

We propose a novel finite-sample procedure for testing composite null hypotheses. Traditional likelihood ratio tests based on asymptotic $\chi^2$ approximations often exhibit substantial bias in small samples. Our procedure rejects the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-07 Joonha Park , Ming Wang

This paper studies models in which hypothesis tests have trivial power, that is, power smaller than size. This testing impossibility, or impossibility type A, arises when any alternative is not distinguishable from the null. We also study…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-19 Marinho Bertanha , Marcelo J. Moreira

P-values are a mainstay in statistics but are often misinterpreted. We propose a new interpretation of p-value as a meaningful plausibility, where this is to be interpreted formally within the inferential model framework. We show that, for…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-10-28 Ryan Martin , Chuanhai Liu

In several large-scale replication projects, statistically non-significant results in both the original and the replication study have been interpreted as a "replication success". Here we discuss the logical problems with this approach:…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-19 Samuel Pawel , Rachel Heyard , Charlotte Micheloud , Leonhard Held

When statisticians quarrel about hypothesis testing, the debate usually focus on which method is the correct one. The fundamental question of whether we should test hypothesis at all tends to be forgotten. This lack of debate has its roots…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2016-11-22 André C. R. Martins

Persistent homology is a vital tool for topological data analysis. Previous work has developed some statistical estimators for characteristics of collections of persistence diagrams. However, tools that provide statistical inference for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-02-23 Andrew Robinson , Katharine Turner

The e-value is swiftly rising in prominence in many applications of hypothesis testing and multiple testing, yet its relationship to classical testing theory remains elusive. We unify e-values and classical testing into a single 'continuous…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-12 Nick W. Koning

Although there are many ideas for the formulations of statistical hypothesis testing, we consider that the likelihood ratio test is the most reasonable and orthodox. However, it is not handy, and thus, it is not usual in elementary books.…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-01-15 Shiro Ishikawa

We present a robust test for composite null hypothesis based on the general $S$-divergence family. This requires a non-trivial extension of the results of Ghosh et al.~(2015). We derive the asymptotic and theoretical robustness properties…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-04 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu

The conventional nonparametric tests in survival analysis, such as the log-rank test, assess the null hypothesis that the hazards are equal at all times. However, hazards are hard to interpret causally, and other null hypotheses are more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-29 Mats Julius Stensrud , Kjetil Røysland , Pål Christie Ryalen

Robust classification algorithms have been developed in recent years with great success. We take advantage of this development and recast the classical two-sample test problem in the framework of classification. Based on the estimates of…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-18 Haiyan Cai , Bryan Goggin , Qingtang Jiang

We provide a test for the specification of a structural model without identifying assumptions. We show the equivalence of several natural formulations of correct specification, which we take as our null hypothesis. From a natural empirical…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-02-25 Alfred Galichon , Marc Henry

Necessary and sufficient conditions of uniform consistency are explored. A hypothesis is simple. Nonparametric sets of alternatives are bounded convex sets in $\mathbb{L}_p$, $p >1$ with "small" balls deleted. The "small" balls have the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-07 Mikhail Ermakov

Information accounting provides a better foundation for hypothesis testing than does uncertainty quantification. A quantitative account of science is derived under this perspective that alleviates the need for epistemic bridge principles,…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2017-04-26 Grey Nearing , Hoshin Gupta

We introduce credal two-sample testing, a new hypothesis testing framework for comparing credal sets -- convex sets of probability measures where each element captures aleatoric uncertainty and the set itself represents epistemic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-14 Siu Lun Chau , Antonin Schrab , Arthur Gretton , Dino Sejdinovic , Krikamol Muandet

I reject the following null hypothesis: {H0: your data are normal}. Such drastic decision is motivated by theoretical reasons, and applies to your current data, the past ones, and the future ones. While this situation may appear…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2023-02-23 Paolo Frumento

The lack of non-parametric statistical tests for confounding bias significantly hampers the development of robust, valid and generalizable predictive models in many fields of research. Here I propose the partial and full confounder tests,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-30 Tamas Spisak

Hypothesis testing results often rely on simple, yet important assumptions about the behaviour of the distribution of p-values under the null and the alternative. We examine tests for one dimensional parameters of interest that converge to…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-08-06 Yanbo Tang , Radu Craiu , Lei Sun

We first partly develop a mathematical notion of stable consistency intended to reflect the actual consistency property of human beings. Then we give a generalization of the first and second G\"odel incompleteness theorem to stably…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2022-08-16 Yasha Savelyev