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We develop a hypothesis testing framework for the formulation of the problems of 1) the validation of a simulation model and 2) using modeling to certify the performance of a physical system. These results are used to solve the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-02-27 Clint Scovel , Ingo Steinwart

Although logical consistency is desirable in scientific research, standard statistical hypothesis tests are typically logically inconsistent. In order to address this issue, previous work introduced agnostic hypothesis tests and proved that…

逻辑 · 数学 2019-05-21 Julio M. Stern , Luis G. Esteves , Rafael Izbicki , Rafael B. Stern

Null hypothesis statistical significance tests (NHST) are widely used in quantitative research in the empirical sciences including scientometrics. Nevertheless, since their introduction nearly a century ago significance tests have been…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2014-02-06 Jesper W. Schneider

Hypothesis test plays a key role in uncertain statistics based on uncertain measure. This paper extends the parametric hypothesis of a single uncertain population to multiple cases, thereby addressing a broader range of scenarios. First, an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-03 Fan Zhang , Zhiming Li

We describe a statistical hypothesis test for the presence of a signal. The test allows the researcher to fix the signal location and/or width a priori, or perform a search to find the signal region that maximizes the signal. The background…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Wolfgang Rolke , Angel Lopez

It is possible to obtain a large Bayes Factor (BF) favoring the null hypothesis when both the null and alternative hypotheses have low likelihoods, and there are other hypotheses being ignored that are much more strongly supported by the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-15 Michael Smithson

In this article, we propose a one-sample test to check whether the support of the unknown distribution generating the data is homologically equivalent to the support of some specified distribution or not OR using the corresponding…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-01 Satish Kumar , Subhra Sankar Dhar

The present paper is concerned with the question of how falsifiable a single proposition is in the short and long run. Formal Learning theorists such as Schulte and Juhl have argued that long-run falsifiability is characterized by the…

逻辑 · 数学 2022-09-27 Reid Dale

Hypothesis testing in singular statistical models is often regarded as inherently problematic due to non-identifiability and degeneracy of the Fisher information. We show that the fundamental obstruction to testing in such models is not…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-02 Sean Plummer

Statistical hypotheses are translations of scientific hypotheses into statements about one or more distributions, often concerning their centre. Tests that assess statistical hypotheses of centre implicitly assume a specific centre, e.g.,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-21 Ryan Thompson , Catherine S. Forbes , Steven N. MacEachern , Mario Peruggia

We revisit a fundamental question in hypothesis testing: given two sets of probability measures $\mathcal{P}$ and $\mathcal{Q}$, when does a nontrivial (i.e. strictly unbiased) test for $\mathcal{P}$ against $\mathcal{Q}$ exist? Le Cam…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-05 Martin Larsson , Johannes Ruf , Aaditya Ramdas

In hypothesis testing problems the property of strict unbiasedness describes whether a test is able to discriminate, in the sense of a difference in power, between any distribution in the null hypothesis space and any distribution in the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-11 Andrew McCormack

Much of science is (rightly or wrongly) driven by hypothesis testing. Even in situations where the hypothesis testing paradigm is correct, the common practice of basing inferences solely on p-values has been under intense criticism for over…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-31 M. J. Bayarri , Daniel J. Benjamin , James O. Berger , Thomas M. Sellke

I propose a general quantum hypothesis testing theory that enables one to test hypotheses about any aspect of a physical system, including its dynamics, based on a series of observations. For example, the hypotheses can be about the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2012-04-30 Mankei Tsang

Suppose you are told that taking a statin will reduce your risk of a heart attack or stroke by 3% in the next ten years, or that women have better emotional intelligence than men. You may wonder how accurate the 3% is, or how confident we…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2018-03-19 Michael Wood

Two-sample tests evaluate whether two samples are realizations of the same distribution (the null hypothesis) or two different distributions (the alternative hypothesis). We consider a new setting for this problem where sample features are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-20 Weizhi Li , Gautam Dasarathy , Karthikeyan Natesan Ramamurthy , Visar Berisha

All scientific interpretations of statistical outputs depend on background (auxiliary) assumptions that are rarely delineated or explicitly interrogated. These include not only the usual modeling assumptions, but also deeper assumptions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-01 Sander Greenland , Zad Rafi , Robert Matthews , Megan Higgs

As a common step in refining their scientific inquiry, investigators are often interested in performing some screening of a collection of given statistical hypotheses. For example, they may wish to determine whether any one of several…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-04 Adam Elder , Marco Carone , Peter Gilbert , Alex Luedtke

Prediction of future observations is an important and challenging problem. The two mainstream approaches for quantifying prediction uncertainty use prediction regions and predictive distributions, respectively, with the latter believed to…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-13 Leonardo Cella , Ryan Martin

Randomization tests allow simple and unambiguous tests of null hypotheses, by comparing observed data to a null ensemble in which experimentally-controlled variables are randomly resampled. In behavioral and neuroscience experiments,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-08 Kenneth D. Harris , Kevin J. Miller