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This paper deals with U-statistics of Poisson processes and multiple Wiener-It\^o integrals on the Poisson space. Via sharp bounds on the cumulants for both classes of random variables, moderate deviation principles, concentration…

概率论 · 数学 2023-04-13 Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele

$f$-divergences, which quantify discrepancy between probability distributions, are ubiquitous in information theory, machine learning, and statistics. While there are numerous methods for estimating $f$-divergences from data, a limit…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-10-13 Sreejith Sreekumar , Ziv Goldfeld , Kengo Kato

The framework of Stein's method for Poisson process approximation is presented from the point of view of Palm theory, which is used to construct Stein identities and define local dependence. A general result (Theorem…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-07 Louis H. Y. Chen , Aihua Xia

We review the methods of constructing confidence intervals that account for a priori information about one-sided constraints on the parameter being estimated. We show that the so-called method of sensitivity limit yields a correct solution…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-05-20 A. V. Lokhov , F. V. Tkachov

We consider the problem of estimating probability density functions based on sample data, using a finite mixture of densities from some component class. To this end, we introduce the $h$-lifted Kullback--Leibler (KL) divergence as a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-24 Mark Chiu Chong , Hien Duy Nguyen , TrungTin Nguyen

Common statistical measures of uncertainty such as $p$-values and confidence intervals quantify the uncertainty due to sampling, that is, the uncertainty due to not observing the full population. However, sampling is not the only source of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-08 Suyash Gupta , Dominik Rothenhäusler

For generic systems exhibiting power law behaviors, and hence multiscale dependencies, we propose a new, and yet simple, tool to analyze multifractality and intermittency, after noticing that these concepts are directly related to the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-01-24 Carlos Granero-Belinchon , Stephane G. Roux , Nicolas B. Garnier

We show that the Kullback-Leibler distance is a good measure of the statistical uncertainty of correlation matrices estimated by using a finite set of data. For correlation matrices of multivariate Gaussian variables we analytically…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Michele Tumminello , Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario Nunzio Mantegna

This paper introduces link functions for transforming one probability distribution to another such that the Kullback-Leibler and R\'enyi divergences between the two distributions are symmetric. Two general classes of link models are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-12 Majid Asadi , Karthik Devarajan , Nader Ebrahimi , Ehsan Soofi , Lauren Spirko-Burns

Various kinds of data are routinely represented as discrete probability distributions. Examples include text documents summarized by histograms of word occurrences and images represented as histograms of oriented gradients. Viewing a…

计算几何 · 计算机科学 2019-03-29 Herbert Edelsbrunner , Ziga Virk , Hubert Wagner

We provide a Poisson approximation result for dependent thinnings of Gibbs point processes as well as qualitative and quantitative central limit theorems for geometric functionals of Gibbs point processes in increasing observation windows.…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-27 Christian Hirsch , Moritz Otto , Anne Marie Svane

Divergences are quantities that measure discrepancy between two probability distributions and play an important role in various fields such as statistics and machine learning. Divergences are non-negative and are equal to zero if and only…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-22 Tomohiro Nishiyama

We study the problem of non-parametric Bayesian estimation of the intensity function of a Poisson point process. The observations are $n$ independent realisations of a Poisson point process on the interval $[0,T]$. We propose two related…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-31 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

In this note we present studies of coverage and power for confidence intervals for a Poisson process with known background calculated using the Likelihood ratio (aka Feldman & Cousins) ordering with Bayesian treatment of uncertainties in…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2017-08-23 Jan Conrad , Fredrik Tegenfeldt

In many contexts such as queuing theory, spatial statistics, geostatistics and meteorology, data are observed at irregular spatial positions. One model of this situation involves considering the observation points as generated by a Poisson…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-08-07 Tucker McElroy , Dimitris N. Politis

This paper provides an elementary, self-contained analysis of diffusion-based sampling methods for generative modeling. In contrast to existing approaches that rely on continuous-time processes and then discretize, our treatment works…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-25 Galen Reeves , Henry D. Pfister

Statistical inference on the mean of a Poisson distribution is a fundamentally important problem with modern applications in, e.g., particle physics. The discreteness of the Poisson distribution makes this problem surprisingly challenging,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-07-03 Ryan Martin , Duncan Ermini Leaf , Chuanhai Liu

This paper presents a general methodology for deriving information-theoretic generalization bounds for learning algorithms. The main technical tool is a probabilistic decorrelation lemma based on a change of measure and a relaxation of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-07 Yifeng Chu , Maxim Raginsky

Information-theoretic (IT) measures based on $f$-divergences have recently gained interest as a measure of privacy leakage as they allow for trading off privacy against utility using only a single-value characterization. However, their…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-01-23 Chong Xiao Wang , Wee Peng Tay

The simple L\'evy Poisson process and scaled forms are explicitly constructed from partial sums of independent and identically distributed random variables and from sums of non-stationary independent random variables. For the latter, the…