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In the context of Monte Carlo (MC) simulation of particle transport Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) addresses the issue of predicting non statistical errors affecting the physical results, i.e. errors deriving mainly from uncertainties in…

计算物理 · 物理学 2015-06-18 Paolo Saracco , Maria Grazia Pia

In this work, we consider the problem of estimating the probability distribution, the quantile or the conditional expectation above the quantile, the so called conditional-value-at-risk, of output quantities of complex random differential…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-05-23 Quentin Ayoul-Guilmard , Sundar Ganesh , Sebastian Krumscheid , Fabio Nobile

Quantum Monte Carlo integration (QMCI) provides a quadratic speed-up over its classical counterpart, and its applications have been investigated in various fields, including finance. This paper considers its application to risk aggregation,…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-01-15 Hitomi Mori , Koichi Miyamoto

A control in feedback form is derived for linear quadratic, time-invariant optimal control problems subject to parabolic partial differential equations with coefficients depending on a countably infinite number of uncertain parameters. It…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-09-25 Philipp A. Guth , Peter Kritzer , Karl Kunisch

This paper presents a nonparametric statistical modeling method for quantifying uncertainty in stochastic gradient systems with isotropic diffusion. The central idea is to apply the diffusion maps algorithm to a training data set to produce…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-02-10 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

In this work, we combine the idea of data-driven polynomial chaos expansions with the weighted least-square approach to solve uncertainty quantification (UQ) problems. The idea of data-driven polynomial chaos is to use statistical moments…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-02-20 Ling Guo , Yongle Liu , Tao Zhou

This work introduces an end-to-end framework for multi-asset option pricing that combines market-consistent risk-neutral density recovery with quantum-accelerated numerical integration. We first calibrate arbitrage-free marginal…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2026-01-08 Julien Hok , Álvaro Leitao

We design a new, fast algorithm for agnostically learning univariate probability distributions whose densities are well approximated by piecewise polynomial functions. Let $f$ be the density function of an arbitrary univariate distribution,…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2015-06-03 Jayadev Acharya , Ilias Diakonikolas , Jerry Li , Ludwig Schmidt

We consider a generalization of the classifier-based density-ratio estimation task to a quasiprobabilistic setting where probability densities can be negative. The problem with most loss functions used for this task is that they implicitly…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-24 Matthew Drnevich , Stephen Jiggins , Kyle Cranmer

This work describes a domain embedding technique between two non-matching meshes used for generating realizations of spatially correlated random fields with applications to large-scale sampling-based uncertainty quantification. The goal is…

Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo methods present a convenient approach for approximating the expected value of a random variable. Algorithms exist to adaptively sample the random variable until a user defined absolute error tolerance is…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-11-14 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Jagadeeswaran Rathinavel

Solving high-dimensional partial differential equations (PDEs) is a major challenge in scientific computing. We develop a new numerical method for solving elliptic-type PDEs by adapting the Q-learning algorithm in reinforcement learning.…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-06-27 Samuel N. Cohen , Deqing Jiang , Justin Sirignano

Most uncertainty quantification (UQ) approaches provide a single scalar value as a measure of model reliability. However, different uncertainty measures could provide complementary information on the prediction confidence. Even measures…

The mean of a random variable can be understood as a linear functional on the space of probability distributions. Quantum computing is known to provide a quadratic speedup over classical Monte Carlo methods for mean estimation. In this…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-10-24 Jose Blanchet , Yassine Hamoudi , Mario Szegedy , Guanyang Wang

In the analysis of using quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods to approximate expectations of a linear functional of the solution of an elliptic PDE with random diffusion coefficient the sensitivity w.r.t. the parameters is often stated in terms…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-03-01 Adrian Ebert , Peter Kritzer , Dirk Nuyens

We consider the problem of providing optimal uncertainty quantification (UQ) --- and hence rigorous certification --- for partially-observed functions. We present a UQ framework within which the observations may be small or large in number,…

概率论 · 数学 2016-05-20 T. J. Sullivan , M. McKerns , D. Meyer , F. Theil , H. Owhadi , M. Ortiz

We propose a deterministic particle method for a one-dimensional nonlocal equation with interactions through the repulsive Morse potential. We show that the particle method converges as the number of particles goes to infinity towards weak…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2024-01-22 Marco Di Francesco , Valeria Iorio , Markus Schmidtchen

We propose and analyze a quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) algorithm for efficient simulation of wave propagation modeled by the Helmholtz equation in a bounded region in which the refractive index is random and spatially heterogenous. Our focus is…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-01-27 M. Ganesh , Frances Y. Kuo , Ian H. Sloan

Conservation laws in the form of elliptic and parabolic partial differential equations (PDEs) are fundamental to the modeling of many problems such as heat transfer and flow in porous media. Many of such PDEs are stochastic due to the…

计算物理 · 物理学 2018-11-19 Amir H. Delgoshaie , Peter W. Glynn , Patrick Jenny , Hamdi A. Tchelepi

We introduce a general semiparametric clusterwise elliptical distribution to assess how latent cluster structure shapes continuous outcomes. Using a subjectwise representation, we first estimate cluster-specific mean vectors and a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-10 Jen-Chieh Teng , Sheng-Hsin Fan , Chin-Tsang Chiang , Ming-Yueh Huang , Alvin Lim