相关论文: Functional Limit Theorems for Hawkes Processes

We prove weak convergence on the Skorokhod space of Galton-Watson processes with immigration, properly normalized, under the assumption that the tail of the immigration distribution has a logarithmic decay. The limits are extremal shot…

Aggressive behavior in autistic inpatient youth often arises in temporally clustered bursts complicating efforts to distinguish external triggers from internal escalation. The sample population branching factor-the expected number of new…

We derive a systematic, multiple time-scale perturbation expansion for the work distribution in isothermal quasi-static Langevin processes. To first order we find a Gaussian distribution reproducing the result of Speck and Seifert [Phys.…

We study functional limit theorems for linear type processes with short memory under the assumption that the innovations are dependent identically distributed random variables with infinite variance and in the domain of attraction of stable…

The Hawkes self-excited point process provides an efficient representation of the bursty intermittent dynamics of many physical, biological, geological and economic systems. By expressing the probability for the next event per unit time…

Most point process models for earthquakes currently in the literature assume the magnitude distribution is i.i.d. potentially hindering the ability of the model to describe the main features of data sets containing multiple earthquake…

We introduce a Hawkes-like process and study its scaling limit as the system becomes increasingly endogenous. We derive functional limit theorems for intensity and fluctuations. Then, we introduce a high-frequency model for a price of a…

The paper considers probability distribution, density, conditional distribution and density and conditional moments as well as their kernel estimators in spaces of generalized functions. This approach does not require restrictions on…

Consider the random variable $\mathrm{Tr}( f_1(W)A_1\dots f_k(W)A_k)$ where $W$ is an $N\times N$ Hermitian Wigner matrix, $k\in\mathbb{N}$, and choose (possibly $N$-dependent) regular functions $f_1,\dots, f_k$ as well as bounded…

In this note we prove the strong Feller property of a strong Markov quasi diffusion process corresponding to an elliptic operator with merely bounded measurable coefficients. We also prove H\"older continuity of harmonic functions…

This paper develops central limit theorems (CLT's) and large deviations results for additive functionals associated with reflecting diffusions in which the functional may include a term associated with the cumulative amount of boundary…

In [Kozma-Toth, Ann. Probab. v 45, pp 4307-4347 (2017)] the weak CLT was established for random walks in doubly stochastic (or, divergence-free) random environments, under the following conditions: 1. Strict ellipticity assumed for the…

Consider a supercritical Crump-Mode-Jagers process $(\mathcal{Z}_{t}^{\varphi})_{t \geq 0}$ counted with a random characteristic $\varphi$ that depends on an individual's life and their descendant process up to a fixed generation. Under…

We model the arrival of mid-price changes in the E-Mini S&P futures contract as a self-exciting Hawkes process. Using several estimation methods, we find that the Hawkes kernel is power-law with a decay exponent close to -1.15 at short…

We propose an effective method to solve the event sequence clustering problems based on a novel Dirichlet mixture model of a special but significant type of point processes --- Hawkes process. In this model, each event sequence belonging to…

Limit theorems are presented for the rescaled occupation time fluctuation process of a critical finite variance branching particle system in $\mathbb{R}^{d}$ with symmetric $\alpha$-stable motion starting off from either a standard Poisson…

We study the asymptotic shape of the trajectory of the stochastic gradient descent algorithm applied to a convex objective function. Under mild regularity assumptions, we prove a functional central limit theorem for the properly rescaled…

We consider the hard-edge scaling of the Mittag-Leffler ensemble confined to a fixed disk inside the droplet. Our primary emphasis is on fluctuations of rotationally-invariant additive statistics that depend on the radius and thus give rise…

When the underlying random variables are Gaussian, the classical Central Limit Theorem (CLT) is trivial, but the functional CLT is not. The objective of the paper is to investigate the functional CLT for stationary Gaussian processes in the…

In this paper, we establish a central limit theorem for a large class of general supercritical superprocesses with spatially dependent branching mechanisms satisfying a second moment condition. This central limit theorem generalizes and…