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Bitcoin, as one of the most popular cryptocurrency, is recently attracting much attention of investors. Bitcoin price prediction task is consequently a rising academic topic for providing valuable insights and suggestions. Existing bitcoin…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-08-25 Xiao Li , Weili Wu

Forecasting cryptocurrency prices is hindered by extreme volatility and a methodological dilemma between information-scarce univariate models and noise-prone full-multivariate models. This paper investigates a partial-multivariate approach…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-12-05 Andrzej Tokajuk , Jarosław A. Chudziak

This paper describes an architecture for predicting the price of cryptocurrencies for the next seven days using the Adaptive Network Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). Historical data of cryptocurrencies and indexes that are considered…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-02-06 Ali Mehrban , Pegah Ahadian

This paper offers a thorough examination of the univariate predictability in cryptocurrency time-series. By exploiting a combination of complexity measure and model predictions we explore the cryptocurrencies time-series forecasting task…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-02-14 Francesco Puoti , Fabrizio Pittorino , Manuel Roveri

Predicting cryptocurrency price trends remains a major challenge due to the volatility and complexity of digital asset markets. Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a powerful tool to address this problem. This study proposes a…

Cryptocurrencies fluctuate in markets with high price volatility, posing significant challenges for investors. To aid in informed decision-making, systems predicting cryptocurrency market movements have been developed, typically focusing on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 Amit Kumar , Taoran Ji

Time series forecasting is a key tool in financial markets, helping to predict asset prices and guide investment decisions. In highly volatile markets, such as cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), forecasting becomes more…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2026-02-17 Mabsur Fatin Bin Hossain , Lubna Zahan Lamia , Md Mahmudur Rahman , Md Mosaddek Khan

In this article, we introduce a novel deep learning hybrid model that integrates attention Transformer and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) architectures to improve the accuracy of cryptocurrency price predictions. By combining the Transformer's…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-01 Esam Mahdi , C. Martin-Barreiro , X. Cabezas

In this paper, we explore the usability of different natural language processing models for the sentiment analysis of social media applied to financial market prediction, using the cryptocurrency domain as a reference. We study how the…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-04-22 Ali Raheman , Anton Kolonin , Igors Fridkins , Ikram Ansari , Mukul Vishwas

We study the dependency and causality structure of the cryptocurrency market investigating collective movements of both prices and social sentiment related to almost two thousand cryptocurrencies traded during the first six months of 2018.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-03-05 Tomaso Aste

Following the birth of Bitcoin and the introduction of the Ethereum ERC20 protocol a decade ago, recent years have witnessed a growing number of cryptographic tokens that are being introduced by researchers, private sector companies and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-04-20 Shahar Somin , Goren Gordon , Alex Pentland , Erez Shmueli , Yaniv Altshuler

The aim of this paper is to investigate the effect of a novel method called linear law-based feature space transformation (LLT) on the accuracy of intraday price movement prediction of cryptocurrencies. To do this, the 1-minute interval…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-05-09 Marcell T. Kurbucz , Péter Pósfay , Antal Jakovác

This paper presents a novel approach to electricity price forecasting (EPF) using a pure Transformer model. As opposed to other alternatives, no other recurrent network is used in combination to the attention mechanism. Hence, showing that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-11 Oscar Llorente , Jose Portela

This study investigates the relationship between narratives conveyed through microblogging platforms, namely Twitter, and the value of crypto assets. Our study provides a unique technique to build narratives about cryptocurrency by…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-06-12 Lubdhak Mondal , Udeshya Raj , Abinandhan S , Began Gowsik S , Sarwesh P , Abhijeet Chandra

Time series forecasting is crucial for decision-making across various domains, particularly in financial markets where stock prices exhibit complex and non-linear behaviors. Accurately predicting future price movements is challenging due to…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-04-29 Tiantian Tu

Currently cryptocurrencies and Decentralized Finance (DeFi), which enable financial services on public blockchains, represents a new growing trend in finance. In contrast to financial markets, ruled by traditional corporations, DeFi is…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-01-04 Mar Grande , Florentino Borondo , Javier Borondo

Few assets in financial history have been as notoriously volatile as cryptocurrencies. While the long term outlook for this asset class remains unclear, we are successful in making short term price predictions for several major crypto…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2019-12-02 David Zhao , Alessandro Rinaldo , Christopher Brookins

This paper investigates the application of Transformer-based neural networks to stock price forecasting, with a special focus on the intersection of machine learning techniques and financial market analysis. The evolution of Transformer…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-12-31 Kamil Ł. Szydłowski , Jarosław A. Chudziak

Stock market prediction presents considerable challenges for investors, financial institutions, and policymakers operating in complex market environments characterized by noise, non-stationarity, and behavioral dynamics. Traditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-18 Mohammad Al Ridhawi , Mahtab Haj Ali , Hussein Al Osman

Blockchain technology shows significant results and huge potential for serving as an interweaving fabric that goes through every industry and market, allowing decentralized and secure value exchange, thus connecting our civilization like…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2018-10-17 Zvezdin Besarabov , Todor Kolev