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In this paper we address the challenges posed by non-proportional hazards and informative censoring, offering a path toward more meaningful causal inference conclusions. We start from the marginal structural Cox model, which has been widely…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-15 Jiyu Luo , Denise Rava , Jelena Bradic , Ronghui Xu

The Cox regression model and its associated hazard ratio (HR) are frequently used for summarizing the effect of treatments on time to event outcomes. However, the HR's interpretation strongly depends on the assumed underlying survival…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-10 Pablo Martinez-Camblor , Todd A. MacKenzie , A. James O'Malley

Cox's proportional hazards model is one of the most popular statistical models to evaluate associations of exposure with a censored failure time outcome. When confounding factors are not fully observed, the exposure hazard ratio estimated…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-04 Linbo Wang , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen , Torben Martinussen , Stijn Vansteelandt

In observational studies with survival or time-to-event outcomes, a propensity score weighted marginal Cox proportional hazard model with the treatment variable as the only predictor is commonly used to estimate the causal marginal hazard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-02 Zixian Zhao , Chengxin Yang , Fan Li

The hazard ratio from the Cox proportional hazards model is a ubiquitous summary of treatment effect. However, when hazards are non-proportional, the hazard ratio can lose a stable causal interpretation and become study-dependent because it…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-17 Xiang Meng , Lu Tian , Kenneth Kehl , Hajime Uno

Hazard ratios are frequently reported in time-to-event and epidemiological studies to assess treatment effects. In observational studies, the combination of propensity score weights with the Cox proportional hazards model facilitates the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-14 Guilherme W. F. Barros , Jenny Häggström

The ratio of the hazard functions of two populations or two strata of a single population plays an important role in time-to-event analysis. Cox regression is commonly used to estimate the hazard ratio under the assumption that it is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-13 Yujian Wu , Ted Westling

Hazard ratios are often used to evaluate time to event outcomes, but they may be hard to interpret. A particular issue arise because hazards are typically estimated conditional on survival, i.e.\ on left truncated samples. Then, hazard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-23 Mats Julius Stensrud

One of the most common ways researchers compare survival outcomes across treatments when confounding is present is using Cox regression. This model is limited by its underlying assumption of proportional hazards; in some cases, substantial…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-02-02 Elizabeth A. Handorf , Marc Smaldone , Sujana Movva , Nandita Mitra

The hazard ratio is routinely used as a summary measure to assess the treatment effect in clinical trials with time-to-event endpoints. It is frequently assumed as constant over time although this assumption often does not hold. When the…

It is known that the hazard ratio lacks a useful causal interpretation. Even for data from a randomized controlled trial, the hazard ratio suffers from built-in selection bias as, over time, the individuals at risk in the exposed and…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-01 Richard Post , Edwin van den Heuvel , Hein Putter

Combining patient-level data from clinical trials can connect rare phenomena with clinical endpoints, but statistical techniques applied to a single trial may become problematical when trials are pooled. Estimating the hazard of a binary…

Hazard ratios are prone to selection bias, compromising their use as causal estimands. On the other hand, the hazard difference has been shown to remain unaffected by the selection of frailty factors over time. Therefore, observed hazard…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-01 Richard Post , Edwin van den Heuvel , Hein Putter

Prevalent cohort sampling is commonly used to study the natural history of a disease when the disease is rare or it usually takes a long time to observe the failure event. It is known, however, that the collected sample in this situation is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-05 Omidali Aghababaei Jazi

The Hazard Ratio (HR) is often reported as the main causal effect when studying survival data. Despite its popularity, the HR suffers from an unclear causal interpretation. As already pointed out in the literature, there is a built-in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-08 Rachel Axelrod , Daniel Nevo

Non-proportional hazards (NPH) have been observed in confirmatory clinical trials with time to event outcomes. Under NPH, the hazard ratio does not stay constant over time and the log-rank test is no longer the most powerful test. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-26 Bharati Kumar , Jonathan W. Bartlett

In clinical trials involving both mortality and morbidity, an active treatment can influence the observed risk of the first non-fatal event either directly, through its effect on the underlying non-fatal event process, or indirectly,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-19 Jiren Sun , Thomas D. Cook

The Cox regression, a semi-parametric method of survival analysis, is extremely popular in biomedical applications. The proportional hazards assumption is a key requirement in the Cox model. To accommodate non-proportional hazards, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-13 Alexander Begun , Elena Kulinskaya

Loss of power and clear description of treatment differences are key issues in designing and analyzing a clinical trial where non-proportional hazard is a possibility. A log-rank test may be very inefficient and interpretation of the hazard…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-01-13 Satrajit Roychoudhury , Keaven M Anderson , Jiabu Ye , Pralay Mukhopadhyay

In observational studies, unmeasured confounders present a crucial challenge in accurately estimating desired causal effects. To calculate the hazard ratio (HR) in Cox proportional hazard models for time-to-event outcomes, two-stage…

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