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Short-term uncertainty should be properly modeled when the expansion planning problem in a power system is analyzed. Since the use of all available historical data may lead to intractability, clustering algorithms should be applied in order…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-01-19 Álvaro García-Cerezo , Luis Baringo

Electric demand and renewable power are highly variable, and the solution of a planning model relies on capturing this variability. This paper proposes a hybrid multi-area method that effectively captures both the intraday and interday…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-03-25 Mojtaba Moradi-Sepahvand , Simon H. Tindemans

Power sector capacity expansion models (CEMs) that are used for studying future low-carbon grid scenarios must incorporate detailed representation of grid operations. Often CEMs are formulated to model grid operations over representative…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-29 Marc Barbar , Dharik S. Mallapragada

Energy system optimization often relies on time series aggregation to ensure computational tractability. Aggregation generally loses the chronology of time steps, which renders the storage level representation challenging. Typically, this…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-12-02 Jacob Mannhardt , Lukas Kunz , Giovanni Sansavini

The growing share of renewable energy makes the optimization of power flows in power system models computationally more complicated, due to the widely distributed weather-dependent electricity generation. This article evaluates two methods…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-02-26 Oriol Raventós , Julian Bartels

The accurate representation of variable renewable generation (RES, e.g., wind, solar PV) assets in capacity expansion planning (CEP) studies is paramount to capture spatial and temporal correlations that may exist between sites and impact…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-04-14 David Radu , Antoine Dubois , Mathias Berger , Damien Ernst

This paper introduces a generalised version of importance subsampling for time series reduction/aggregation in optimisation-based power system planning models. Recent studies indicate that reliably determining optimal electricity…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-08-26 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

This paper considers the representation of energy storage in electricity sector capacity planning models. The incorporation of storage in long-term systems models of this type is increasingly relevant as the cost of storage technologies,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-06-01 James H. Merrick , John E. T. Bistline , Geoffrey J. Blanford

A novel experimental approach of inter- and intramodel comparisons is conducted with five power market models to give recommendations for modelers working on decarbonization pathways of Europe until 2050. The experiments investigate the…

Solving large-scale capacity expansion problems (CEPs) is central to cost-effective decarbonization of regional-scale energy systems. To ensure the intended outcomes of CEPs, modeling uncertainty due to weather-dependent variable renewable…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-07-18 Aron Brenner , Rahman Khorramfar , Dharik Mallapragada , Saurabh Amin

Long duration energy storage (LDES) may become a critical technology for the decarbonization of the power sector, as current commercially available Li-ion battery storage technologies cannot cost-effectively shift energy to address…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-04-29 Gabriel Mantegna , Wilson Ricks , Aneesha Manocha , Neha Patankar , Dharik Mallapragada , Jesse Jenkins

Recent studies indicate that the effects of inter-annual climate-based variability in power system planning are significant and that long samples of demand & weather data (spanning multiple decades) should be considered. At the same time,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-05-30 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

We consider electricity capacity expansion models, which optimize investment and retirement decisions by minimizing both investment and operation costs. In order to provide credible support for planning and policy decisions, these models…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-01-08 Filippo Pecci , Jesse D. Jenkins

In this paper, we address the long-term system's requirement reserve sizing due to the high-level of variable renewable energy (VRE) sources penetration, inside the expansion planning model. The increase in the insertion of this kind of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-10-02 Alessandro Soares , Ricardo Perez , Weslly Morais , Silvio Binato

In this paper, we consider the expansion of power grids under emerging large loads from data centers and electrified manufacturing. We develop a multi-period grid capacity expansion model to determine optimal investment profiles for power…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-29 Jiyong Lee , Melody Agustin , Joanne Langsdorf , Erhan Kutanolgu , Michael Baldea , Ilias Mitrai

Generating representative scenarios for power system planning in which the stochasticity of renewable generation and cross-correlations between renewables and load are fully captured, is a challenging problem. Traditional methods for…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-02-09 Dhaval Dalal , Anamitra Pal , Philip Augustin

To reduce computational complexity, macro-energy system models commonly implement reduced time-series data. For renewable energy systems dependent on seasonal storage and characterized by intermittent renewables, like wind and solar,…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-12-21 Leonard Göke , Mario Kendziorski

The optimization-based design of renewable energy systems is a computationally demanding task because of the high temporal fluctuation of supply and demand time series. In order to reduce these time series, the aggregation of typical…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-02-01 Leander Kotzur , Peter Markewitz , Martin Robinius , Detlef Stolten

Decarbonization of the electricity sector is one of the major measures in slowing down the pace of climate change. In this paper, we analyze the impacts of energy storage systems (ESS) and interannual uncertainty of variable renewable…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-05-06 Mehdi Jafari , Magnus Korpas , Audun Botterud

To account for volatile renewable energy supply, energy systems optimization problems require high temporal resolution. Many models use time-series clustering to find representative periods to reduce the amount of time-series input data and…

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