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We introduce the elliptical Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process, which is a generalisation of the well-known univariate OU process to bivariate time series. This process maps out elliptical stochastic oscillations over time in the complex…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-08 Adam M. Sykulski , Sofia C. Olhede , Hanna M. Sykulska-Lawrence

Diesel engine particulate matter (PM) is one of the most challenging emission constituents to predict. As engines become cleaner and emissions levels drop, manufacturers need reliable methods to quantify the PM generated by production…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-16 Maxwell Bolt , Alex Alberts , Akash S. Desai , Peter Meckl , Ilias Bilionis

For a stochastic differential equation(SDE) driven by a fractional Brownian motion(fBm) with Hurst parameter $H>\frac{1}{2}$, it is known that the existing (naive) Euler scheme has the rate of convergence $n^{1-2H}$. Since the limit…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-08 Yaozhong Hu , Yanghui Liu , David Nualart

We construct the least-square estimator for the unknown drift parameter in the multifractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model and establish its strong consistency in the non-ergodic case. The proofs are based on the asymptotic bounds with…

概率论 · 数学 2016-02-19 Marco Dozzi , Yuriy Kozachenko , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

In this paper we derive weak limits for the discretization errors of sampling barrier-hitting and extreme events of Brownian motion by using the Euler discretization simulation method. Specifically, we consider the Euler discretization…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-16 A. B. Dieker , Guido Lagos

We study a generalization of the Brownian bridge as a stochastic process that models the position and velocity of inertial particles between the two end-points of a time interval. The particles experience random acceleration and are assumed…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2014-07-15 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon Georgiou

In order to approximate the exit time of a one-dimensional diffusion process, we propose an algorithm based on a random walk. Such an algorithm so-called Walk on Moving Spheres was already introduced in the Brownian context. The aim is…

概率论 · 数学 2019-10-29 Samuel Herrmann , Nicolas Massin

\noindent \textbf{Abstract}: We consider the parameter estimation problem for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $X$ driven by a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $V$, i.e. the pair of processes defined by the non-Markovian continuous-time…

概率论 · 数学 2016-10-14 Brahim El Onsy , Khalifa Es-Sebaiy , Frederi G. Viens

This paper investigates the Parisian ruin probability for processes with power-asymmetric behavior of the variance near the unique optimal point. We derive the exact asymptotics as the ruin boundary tends to infinity and extend the previous…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-12 Pavel Ievlev

We obtain well-posedness results for a class of ODE with a singular drift and additive fractional noise, whose right-hand-side involves some bounded variation terms depending on the solution. Examples of such equations are reflected…

概率论 · 数学 2023-04-07 Paul Gassiat , Łukasz Mądry

In this paper, we will evaluate integrals that define the conditional expectation, variance and characteristic function of stochastic processes with respect to fractional Brownian motion (fBm) for all relevant Hurst indices, i.e. $H \in…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-03-14 Fei Gao , Shuaiqiang Liu , Cornelis W. Oosterlee , Nico M. Temme

In this paper, we adapt the classic Cram\'er-Lundberg collective risk theory model to a perturbed model by adding a Wiener process to the compound Poisson process, which can be used to incorporate premium income uncertainty, interest rate…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-07-07 Yacine Koucha , Alfredo D. Egidio dos Reis

In this paper, we propose a method for bounding the probability that a stochastic differential equation (SDE) system violates a safety specification over the infinite time horizon. SDEs are mathematical models of stochastic processes that…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-06-04 Shenghua Feng , Mingshuai Chen , Bai Xue , Sriram Sankaranarayanan , Naijun Zhan

This paper is concerned with transition paths within the framework of the overdamped Langevin dynamics model of chemical reactions. We aim to give an efficient description of typical transition paths in the small temperature regime. We…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-27 Yulong Lu , Andrew M. Stuart , Hendrik Weber

We consider Langevin equation involving fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in(0,\frac12)$. Its solution is the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and with unknown drift parameter $\theta$. We construct the estimator that is…

This paper addresses the estimation problem of an unknown drift parameter matrix for a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in a multi-dimensional setting. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel approach based on rough path theory that…

概率论 · 数学 2024-08-28 Zhongmin Qian , Xingcheng Xu

Although statistical inference in stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by Wiener process has received significant attention in the literature, inference in those driven by fractional Brownian motion seem to have seen much less…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-10 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

First the relation between shift selfsimilar additive sequences and stationary sequences of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type (OU type) on $\mathbb{R}^d$ is shown and then the rates of escape for shift selfsimilar additive sequences are discussed. As…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-05 Toshiro Watanabe

Let $\left\{\sum_{i=1}^n \lambda_i X_i(t), t\in [0,T]\right\}$ be an aggregate Gaussian risk process with $X_i, i\leq n$ independent Gaussian processes satisfying Piterbarg conditions and $\lambda_i$'s given positive weights. In this paper…

概率论 · 数学 2014-04-24 Krzysztof Debicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji , Zhongquan Tan

Let $B(t), t\in \mathbb{R}$ be a standard Brownian motion. Define a risk process \label{Rudef} R_u^{\delta}(t)=e^{\delta t}\left(u+c\int^{t}_{0}e^{-\delta s}d s-\sigma\int_{0}^{t}e^{-\delta s}d B(s)\right), t\geq0, where $u\geq 0$ is the…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-14 Long Bai , Li Luo