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Measuring soccer shooting skill is a challenging analytics problem due to the scarcity and highly contextual nature of scoring events. The introduction of more advanced data surrounding soccer shots has given rise to model-based metrics…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-01-08 Ethan Baron , Nathan Sandholtz , Devin Pleuler , Timothy C. Y. Chan

The purpose of this study is to propose a model that predicts the social and psychological factors that affect the individuals collaborative learning outcome in group projects. The model is established on the basis of two theories, namely,…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2016-10-18 Sara Taraman , Yasmin Hassan , Doaa Shawky , Ashraf H. Badawi

As opaque black-box predictive models become more prevalent, the need to develop interpretations for these models is of great interest. The concept of variable importance and Shapley values are interpretability measures that applies to any…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-10 Zexuan Sun , Garvesh Raskutti

We summarise popular methods used for skill rating in competitive sports, along with their inferential paradigms and introduce new approaches based on sequential Monte Carlo and discrete hidden Markov models. We advocate for a state-space…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-08-20 Samuel Duffield , Samuel Power , Lorenzo Rimella

"How much is my data worth?" is an increasingly common question posed by organizations and individuals alike. An answer to this question could allow, for instance, fairly distributing profits among multiple data contributors and determining…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-07 Ruoxi Jia , David Dao , Boxin Wang , Frances Ann Hubis , Nick Hynes , Nezihe Merve Gurel , Bo Li , Ce Zhang , Dawn Song , Costas Spanos

The latest research in expertise assessment of soccer players has affirmed the importance of perceptual skills (especially for decision making) by focusing either on high experimental control or on a realistic presentation. To assess the…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2021-01-07 Benedikt Hosp , Florian Schultz , Oliver Höner , Enkelejda Kasneci

Esport games comprise a sizeable fraction of the global games market, and is the fastest growing segment in games. This has given rise to the domain of esports analytics, which uses telemetry data from games to inform players, coaches,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-08 Alan Pedrassoli Chitayat , Florian Block , James Walker , Anders Drachen

Continuous-time assessments of game outcomes in sports have become increasingly common in the last decade. In American football, only discrete-time estimates of play value were possible, since the most advanced public football datasets were…

Tracking and identifying athletes on the pitch holds a central role in collecting essential insights from the game, such as estimating the total distance covered by players or understanding team tactics. This tracking and identification…

The Artificial Prediction Market is a recent machine learning technique for multi-class classification, inspired from the financial markets. It involves a number of trained market participants that bet on the possible outcomes and are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-08-18 Nathan Lay , Adrian Barbu

Goals are results of pin-point shots and it is a pivotal decision in soccer when, how and where to shoot. The main contribution of this study is two-fold. At first, after showing that there exists high spatial correlation in the data of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-04-08 Soudeep Deb , Debangan Dey

The recent growth in data availability in football has increased the risk of incorrect use of data-driven models, making guidelines on their validation and application necessary. The Expected Threat (xT) model is an accessible option for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-28 Koen van Arem , Jakob Söhl , Mirjam Bruinsma , Geurt Jongbloed

We modeled the dynamics of a soccer match based on a network representation where players are nodes discretely clustered into homogeneous groups. Players were grouped by physical proximity, supported by the intuitive notion that competing…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-08-09 Luis Ramada Pereira , Rui J. Lopes , Jorge Louçã , Duarte Araújo , João Ramos

Understanding football tactics is crucial for managers and analysts. Previous research has proposed models based on spatial and kinematic equations, but these are computationally expensive. Also, Reinforcement learning approaches use player…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-06-23 Kenjiro Ide , Taiga Someya , Kohei Kawaguchi , Keisuke Fujii

A large branch of explainable machine learning is grounded in cooperative game theory. However, research indicates that game-theoretic explanations may mislead or be hard to interpret. We argue that often there is a critical mismatch…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-28 Luca Franceschi , Michele Donini , Cédric Archambeau , Matthias Seeger

Predicting performance outcomes has the potential to transform training approaches, inform coaching strategies, and deepen our understanding of the factors that contribute to athletic success. Traditional non-automated data analysis in…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2025-09-12 Melik Ozolcer , Tongze Zhang , Sang Won Bae

Cricket betting is a multi-billion dollar market. Therefore, there is a strong incentive for models that can predict the outcomes of games and beat the odds provided by bookers. The aim of this study was to investigate to what degree it is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-19 Stylianos Kampakis , William Thomas

Professional baseball players are increasingly guaranteed expensive long-term contracts, with over 70 deals signed in excess of \$90 million, mostly in the last decade. These are substantial sums compared to a typical franchise valuation of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-12-18 Brian Bierig , Jonathan Hollenbeck , Alexander Stroud

Interpretable machine learning has been focusing on explaining final models that optimize performance. The current state-of-the-art is the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) that locally explains variable impact on individual predictions,…

Given a monocular video of a soccer match, this paper presents a computational model to estimate the most feasible pass at any given time. The method leverages offensive player's orientation (plus their location) and opponents' spatial…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-04-16 Adrià Arbués-Sangüesa , Adrián Martín , Javier Fernández , Coloma Ballester , Gloria Haro