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In this work we study the ranking algorithm used by F\'ed\'eration Internationale de Football Association (FIFA); we analyze the parameters it currently uses, show the formal probabilistic model from which it can be derived, and optimize…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2022-01-04 Leszek Szczecinski , Iris-Ioana Roatis

Over the last few years, there has been a growing interest in the prediction and modelling of competitive sports outcomes, with particular emphasis placed on this area by the Bayesian statistics and machine learning communities. In this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-12-17 Roberto Macrì Demartino , Leonardo Egidi , Nicola Torelli

This study develops a hierarchical Bayesian framework that integrates expert domain knowledge to quantify player-specific effects in expected goals (xG) estimation, addressing a limitation of standard models that treat all players as…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-12-01 Mikayil Mahmudlu , Oktay Karakuş , Hasan Arkadaş

This paper explores how semantic-space reasoning, traditionally used in computational linguistics, can be extended to tactical decision-making in team sports. Building on the analogy between texts and teams -- where players act as words and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Alessio Di Rubbo , Mattia Neri , Remo Pareschi , Marco Pedroni , Roberto Valtancoli , Paolino Zica

The Shapley value is the prevalent solution for fair division problems in which a payout is to be divided among multiple agents. By adopting a game-theoretic view, the idea of fair division and the Shapley value can also be used in machine…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-05-13 Guilherme Dean Pelegrina , Patrick Kolpaczki , Eyke Hüllermeier

Cooperative game theory methods, notably Shapley values, have significantly enhanced machine learning (ML) interpretability. However, existing explainable AI (XAI) frameworks mainly attribute average model predictions, overlooking…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Marouane Il Idrissi , Agathe Fernandes Machado , Ewen Gallic , Arthur Charpentier

Missing data is a prevalent issue that can significantly impair model performance and explainability. This paper briefly summarizes the development of the field of missing data with respect to Explainable Artificial Intelligence and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-23 Tuan L. Vo , Thu Nguyen , Luis M. Lopez-Ramos , Hugo L. Hammer , Michael A. Riegler , Pal Halvorsen

The interconnected nature of the economic variables influencing a firm's performance makes the prediction of a company's earning trend a challenging task. Existing methodologies often rely on simplistic models and financial ratios failing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-30 Marco Piazza , Mauro Passacantando , Francesca Magli , Federica Doni , Andrea Amaduzzi , Enza Messina

Although orientation has proven to be a key skill of soccer players in order to succeed in a broad spectrum of plays, body orientation is a yet-little-explored area in sports analytics' research. Despite being an inherently ambiguous…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-05-20 Adrià Arbués-Sangüesa , Adrián Martín , Javier Fernández , Carlos Rodríguez , Gloria Haro , Coloma Ballester

In this paper, we describe an approach to rank sport players based on their efficiency. Although is extremely useful to analyze the performance of team games there is no unanimity on the use of a single index to perform such a ranking. We…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-02-21 Víctor Blanco , Román Salmerón , Samuel Gómez-Haro

Composing a team of professional players is among the most crucial decisions in association football. Nevertheless, transfer market decisions are often based on myopic objectives and are questionable from a financial point of view. This…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-10-06 Giovanni Pantuso , Lars Magnus Hvattum

In the sports of soccer, hockey and basketball the most commonly used statistics for player performance assessment are divided into two categories: offensive statistics and defensive statistics. However, qualitative assessments of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-04-04 Shael Brown

In-game win probability models, which provide a sports team's likelihood of winning at each point in a game based on historical observations, are becoming increasingly popular. In baseball, basketball and American football, they have become…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-16 Pieter Robberechts , Jan Van Haaren , Jesse Davis

Sports tracking data are the high-resolution spatiotemporal observations of a competitive event. The growing collection of these data in professional sport allows us to address a fundamental problem of modern sport: how to attribute value…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-27 Stephanie Kovalchik , Martin Ingram , Kokum Weeratunga , Cagatay Goncu

This paper presents a novel framework for evaluating players in association football (soccer). Our method uses possession sequences, i.e. sequences of consecutive on-ball actions, for deriving estimates for player strengths. On the surface,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-08-13 Robert Bajons , Kurt Hornik

In the last years, scientific and industrial research has experienced a growing interest in acquiring large annotated data sets to train artificial intelligence algorithms for tackling problems in different domains. In this context, we have…

This paper explores the significant history of professional football and the betting industry, tracing its evolution from clandestine beginnings to a lucrative multi-million-pound enterprise. Initiated by the legalization of gambling in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-26 Purnachandra Mandadapu

The Shapley value is arguably the most central normative solution concept in cooperative game theory. It specifies a unique way in which the reward from cooperation can be "fairly" divided among players. While it has a wide range of real…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2014-02-14 Sasan Maleki , Long Tran-Thanh , Greg Hines , Talal Rahwan , Alex Rogers

Data valuation is an essential task in a data marketplace. It aims at fairly compensating data owners for their contribution. There is increasing recognition in the machine learning community that the Shapley value -- a foundational…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2023-02-20 Zhihua Tian , Jian Liu , Jingyu Li , Xinle Cao , Ruoxi Jia , Jun Kong , Mengdi Liu , Kui Ren

Soccer commentary plays a crucial role in enhancing the soccer game viewing experience for audiences. Previous studies in automatic soccer commentary generation typically adopt an end-to-end method to generate anonymous live text…

多媒体 · 计算机科学 2026-04-02 Zeyu Jin , Xiaoyu Qin , Songtao Zhou , Kaifeng Yun , Jia Jia