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We describe Bayes factors functions based on the sampling distributions of \emph{z}, \emph{t}, $\chi^2$, and \emph{F} statistics, using a class of inverse-moment prior distributions to define alternative hypotheses. These non-local…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Saptati Datta , Riana Guha , Rachael Shudde , Valen E. Johnson

Bayes factors represent the ratio of probabilities assigned to data by competing scientific hypotheses. Drawbacks of Bayes factors are their dependence on prior specifications that define null and alternative hypotheses and difficulties…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-29 Valen E. Johnson , Sandipan Pramanik , Rachael Shudde

A staple of Bayesian model comparison and hypothesis testing, Bayes factors are often used to quantify the relative predictive performance of two rival hypotheses. The computation of Bayes factors can be challenging, however, and this has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-19 František Bartoš , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

The Bayes factor, the data-based updating factor of the prior to posterior odds of two hypotheses, is a natural measure of statistical evidence for one hypothesis over the other. We show how Bayes factors can also be used for parameter…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-09 Samuel Pawel

Partial correlation coefficients are widely applied in the social sciences to evaluate the relationship between two variables after accounting for the influence of others. In this article, we present Bayes Factor Functions (BFFs) for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-16 Saptati Datta

Good large sample performance is typically a minimum requirement of any model selection criterion. This article focuses on the consistency property of the Bayes factor, a commonly used model comparison tool, which has experienced a recent…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-04 Siddhartha Chib , Todd A. Kuffner

Bayes factors are characterized by both the powerful mathematical framework of Bayesian statistics and the useful interpretation as evidence quantification. Former requires a parameter distribution that changes by seeing the data, latter…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-20 Patrick Schwaferts , Thomas Augustin

A Bayes factor is proposed for testing whether the effect of a key predictor variable on the dependent variable is linear or nonlinear, possibly while controlling for certain covariates. The test can be used (i) when one is interested in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-16 Joris Mulder

Bayes factors for composite hypotheses have difficulty in encoding vague prior knowledge, as improper priors cannot be used and objective priors may be subjectively unreasonable. To address these issues I revisit the posterior Bayes factor,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-29 Frank Dudbridge

In the Bayesian literature on model comparison, Bayes factors play the leading role. In the classical statistical literature, model selection criteria are often devised used cross-validation ideas. Amalgamating the ideas of Bayes factor and…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-12 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We look at the distribution of the Bayesian evidence for mock realizations of supernova and baryon acoustic oscillation data. The ratios of Bayesian evidences of different models are often used to perform model selection. The significance…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2022-07-20 Ryan E. Keeley , Arman Shafieloo

Bayesian hypothesis testing via Bayes factors offers a principled alternative to classical p-value methods in meta-analysis, particularly suited to its cumulative and sequential nature. Unlike commonly reported p-values for standard null…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-22 Joris Mulder , Robbie C. M. van Aert

Bayesian hypothesis testing is re-examined from the perspective of an a priori assessment of the test statistic distribution under the alternative. By assessing the distribution of an observable test statistic, rather than prior parameter…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-08-28 Hedibert F. Lopes , Nicholas G. Polson

Across the empirical sciences, few statistical procedures rival the popularity of the frequentist t-test. In contrast, the Bayesian versions of the t-test have languished in obscurity. In recent years, however, the theoretical and practical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-17 Quentin F. Gronau , Alexander Ly , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

We consider the problem of model choice for stochastic epidemic models given partial observation of a disease outbreak through time. Our main focus is on the use of Bayes factors. Although Bayes factors have appeared in the epidemic…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-16 Muteb Alharthi , Theodore Kypraios , Philip D. O'Neill

Although discrete mixture modeling has formed the backbone of the literature on Bayesian density estimation, there are some well known disadvantages. We propose an alternative class of priors based on random nonlinear functions of a uniform…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Suprateek Kundu , David B. Dunson

Bayes Factors, the Bayesian tool for hypothesis testing, are receiving increasing attention in the literature. Compared to their frequentist rivals ($p$-values or test statistics), Bayes Factors have the conceptual advantage of providing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Stavros Nikolakopoulos , Björn Alfons Edmar , Ioannis Ntzoufras

Bayesian predictive densities when the observed data $x$ and the target variable $y$ to be predicted have different distributions are investigated by using the framework of information geometry. The performance of predictive densities is…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-27 Fumiyasu Komaki

In statistics, there are a variety of methods for performing model selection that all stem from slightly different paradigms of statistical inference. The reasons for choosing one particular method over another seem to be based entirely on…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-01-29 Danica M. Ommen , Christopher P. Saunders

We consider the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions and Bayes estimators based on observations which are required to be neither independent nor identically distributed. We give general results on the rate of convergence of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Subhashis Ghosal , Aad van der Vaart
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