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Decomposing an exposure effect on an outcome into separate natural indirect effects through multiple mediators requires strict assumptions, such as correctly postulating the causal structure of the mediators, and no unmeasured confounding…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-04 Wen Wei Loh , Beatrijs Moerkerke , Tom Loeys , Stijn Vansteelandt

The decomposition of the overall effect of a treatment into direct and indirect effects is here investigated with reference to a recursive system of binary random variables. We show how, for the single mediator context, the marginal effect…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-14 Martina Raggi , Elena Stanghellini , Marco Doretti

A parametric expression for causal natural direct and indirect effects is derived for the setting of a binary outcome with a binary mediator. The proposed effect decomposition does not require the outcome to be rare and generalizes the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-13 Marco Doretti , Martina Raggi , Elena Stanghellini

Causal mediation analysis of observational data is an important tool for investigating the potential causal effects of medications on disease-related risk factors, and on time-to-death (or disease progression) through these risk factors.…

One of the fundamental challenges found throughout the data sciences is to explain why things happen in specific ways, or through which mechanisms a certain variable $X$ exerts influences over another variable $Y$. In statistics and machine…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-09 Drago Plecko , Elias Bareinboim

Inference about treatment effects for time-to-event outcomes is often obscured by the presence of competing events. A particularly complex situation arises when the treatment influences the occurrence of the competing event. A comprehensive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Mikko Valtanen , Tommi Härkänen , Jenni Lehtisalo , Tiia Ngandu , Miia Kivipelto , Kari Auranen

Given a binary treatment and a binary mediator, mediation analysis decomposes the total effect of the treatment on an outcome variable into direct and indirect effects. However, the existing decompositions are "path-dependent", and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-14 Myoung-jae Lee

In epidemiological research, causal models incorporating potential mediators along a pathway are crucial for understanding how exposures influence health outcomes. This work is motivated by integrated epidemiological and blood biomarker…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-28 Youngho Bae , Chanmin Kim , Fenglei Wang , Qi Sun , Kyu Ha Lee

Understanding causal mechanisms across different populations is essential for designing effective public health interventions. Recently, difference graphs have been introduced as a tool to visually represent causal variations between two…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Charles K. Assaad

In mediation analysis, the effect of an exposure (or treatment) on an outcome variable is decomposed into two components: a direct effect, which pertains to an immediate influence of the exposure on the outcome, and an indirect effect,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-04 Marco Geraci , Alessandra Mattei

Causal discovery algorithms estimate causal graphs from observational data. This can provide a valuable complement to analyses focussing on the causal relation between individual treatment-outcome pairs. Constraint-based causal discovery…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-31 Janine Witte , Ronja Foraita , Vanessa Didelez

Mediation analysis in causal inference has traditionally focused on binary exposures and deterministic interventions, and a decomposition of the average treatment effect in terms of direct and indirect effects. In this paper we present an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-17 Iván Díaz , Nima Hejazi

Disease-specific quality indicators (QIs) are used to compare institutions and health care providers in terms processes or outcomes relevant to treatment of a particular condition. In the context of surgical cancer treatments, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-01 Bo Chen , Olli Saarela

The increase in the use of mobile and wearable devices now allows dense assessment of mediating processes over time. For example, a pharmacological intervention may have an effect on smoking cessation via reductions in momentary withdrawal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-18 Donna L. Coffman , John J. Dziak , Kaylee Litson , Yajnaseni Chakraborti , Megan E. Piper , Runze Li

Causal effect moderation investigates how the effect of interventions (or treatments) on outcome variables changes based on observed characteristics of individuals, known as potential effect moderators. With advances in data collection,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Soham Bakshi , Walter Dempsey , Snigdha Panigrahi

In the field of disparities research, there has been growing interest in developing a counterfactual-based decomposition analysis to identify underlying mediating mechanisms that help reduce disparities in populations. Despite rapid…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-27 Soojin Park , Chioun Lee , Xu Qin

In causal inference, it is common to estimate the causal effect of a single treatment variable on an outcome. However, practitioners may also be interested in the effect of simultaneous interventions on multiple covariates of a fixed target…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-24 Jaime Roquero Gimenez , Dominik Rothenhäusler

Identifying causal effects in the presence of unmeasured variables is a fundamental challenge in causal inference, for which proxy variable methods have emerged as a powerful solution. We contrast two major approaches in this framework: (1)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Helen Guo , Elizabeth L. Ogburn , Ilya Shpitser

Causal inference studies whether the presence of a variable influences an observed outcome. As measured by quantities such as the "average treatment effect," this paradigm is employed across numerous biological fields, from vaccine and drug…

Intensive longitudinal data, characterized by frequent measurements across numerous time points, are increasingly common due to advances in wearable devices and mobile health technologies. We consider evaluating causal mediation pathways…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-26 Tianchen Qian