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Driven by climatic processes, wind power generation is inherently variable. Long-term simulated wind power time series are therefore an essential component for understanding the temporal availability of wind power and its integration into…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-12-20 Johann Baumgartner , Katharina Gruber , Sofia Simoes , Yves-Marie Saint-Drenan , Johannes Schmidt

To reduce computational complexity, macro-energy system models commonly implement reduced time-series data. For renewable energy systems dependent on seasonal storage and characterized by intermittent renewables, like wind and solar,…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-12-21 Leonard Göke , Mario Kendziorski

High wind energy penetration critically challenges the economic dispatch of current and future power systems. Supply and demand must be balanced at every bus of the grid, while respecting transmission line ratings and accounting for the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-05-28 Yu Zhang , Nikolaos Gatsis , Vassilis Kekatos , Georgios B. Giannakis

The world is moving towards clean and renewable energy sources, such as wind energy, in an attempt to reduce greenhouse gas emissions that contribute to global warming. To enhance the analysis and storage of wind data, we introduce a deep…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-07 Alif Bin Abdul Qayyum , Xihaier Luo , Nathan M. Urban , Xiaoning Qian , Byung-Jun Yoon

In the wind energy industry, it is of great importance to develop models that accurately forecast the power output of a wind turbine, as such predictions are used for wind farm location assessment or power pricing and bidding, monitoring,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-07-13 Sándor Kolumbán , Stella Kapodistria , Nazanin Nooraee

Aggregated stochastic characteristics of geographically distributed wind generation will provide valuable information for secured and economical system operation in electricity markets. This paper focuses on the uncertainty set prediction…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-10-08 Xiaopeng Li , Jiang Wu , Zhanbo Xu , Kun Liu , Jun Yu , Xiaohong Guan

The increasing rate of penetration of non-conventional renewable energies is affecting the traditional assumption of controllability over energy sources. Power dispatching scheduling methods need to integrate the intrinsic randomness of…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-05-14 Claudio Risso , Gustavo Guerberoff

Climate change is one of the most concerning issues of this century. Emission from electric power generation is a crucial factor that drives the concern to the next level. Renewable energy sources are widespread and available globally,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-27 Md Amimul Ehsan , Amir Shahirinia , Nian Zhang , Timothy Oladunni

Renewable energy power is influenced by the atmospheric system, which exhibits nonlinear and time-varying features. To address this, a dynamic temporal correlation modeling framework is proposed for renewable energy scenario generation. A…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-27 Xiaochong Dong , Yilin Liu , Xuemin Zhang , Shengwei Mei

Hierarchical time series forecasting plays a crucial role in decision-making in various domains while presenting significant challenges for modelling as they involve multiple levels of aggregation, constraints, and availability of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-12 Zhao Yingjie , Mahdi Abolghasemi

In this paper, the variable wind power is incorporated into the dynamic model for long-term stability analysis. A theory-based method is proposed for power systems with wind power to conduct long-term stability analysis, which is able to…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-11-15 Xiaozhe Wang , Hsiao-Dong Chiang , Jianhui Wang , Hui Liu , Tao Wang

The rapid development of time series forecasting research has brought many deep learning-based modules in this field. However, despite the increasing amount of new forecasting architectures, it is still unclear if we have leveraged the full…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-24 Difan Deng , Marius Lindauer

Wind energy has an inherent intermittent character due to certain inevitable factors of nature, such as availability of wind at different weather conditions, wind direction etc. To study the intermittent character of wind energy, its daily…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-06-30 Sayantan Chakraborty , Sourav Samanta , Shukla Samanta , Dipak Ghosh , Kumardeb Banerjee

The integration of solar power has been increasing as the green energy transition rolls out. The penetration of solar power challenges the grid stability and energy scheduling, due to its intermittent energy generation. Accurate and near…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-23 Jinbao Wang , Jun Liu , Shiliang Zhang , Xuehui Ma

Integrating wind power into the grid is challenging because of its random nature. Integration is facilitated with accurate short-term forecasts of wind power. The paper presents a spatio-temporal wind speed forecasting algorithm that…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-03-05 Borhan M. Sanandaji , Akin Tascikaraoglu , Kameshwar Poolla , Pravin Varaiya

Hierarchical forecasting with reconciliation requires forecasting values of a hierarchy (e.g.~customer demand in a state and district), such that forecast values are linked (e.g.~ district forecasts should add up to the state forecast).…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-09 Charupriya Sharma , Iñaki Estella Aguerri , Daniel Guimarans

We propose a novel approach to the problem of clustering hierarchically aggregated time-series data, which has remained an understudied problem though it has several commercial applications. We first group time series at each aggregated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-30 Xing Han , Tongzheng Ren , Jing Hu , Joydeep Ghosh , Nhat Ho

Large collections of time series data are often organized into hierarchies with different levels of aggregation; examples include product and geographical groupings. Probabilistic coherent forecasting is tasked to produce forecasts…

The exceptional benefits of wind power as an environmentally responsible renewable energy resource have led to an increasing penetration of wind energy in today's power systems. This trend has started to reshape the paradigms of power…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-10-01 Alvaro Lorca , Andy Sun

As penetration of wind power generation increases, system operators must account for its stochastic nature in a reliable and cost-efficient manner. These conflicting objectives can be traded-off by accounting for the variability and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-11-11 Yury Dvorkin , Miles Lubin , Scott Backhaus , Michael Chertkov