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With the employment of smart meters, massive data on consumer behaviour can be collected by retailers. From the collected data, the retailers may obtain the household profile information and implement demand response. While retailers prefer…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-19 Yi Dong , Yang Chen , Xingyu Zhao , Xiaowei Huang

The adaptation of large language models (LLMs) to time series forecasting poses unique challenges, as time series data is continuous in nature, while LLMs operate on discrete tokens. Despite the success of LLMs in natural language…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Taibiao Zhao , Xiaobing Chen , Mingxuan Sun

As an important part of the power system, power load forecasting directly affects the national economy. The data shows that improving the load forecasting accuracy by 0.01% can save millions of dollars for the power industry. Therefore,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-01 Zhifang Liao , Haihui Pan , Qi Zeng , Xiaoping Fan , Yan Zhang , Song Yu

This paper presents issues regarding short term electric load forecasting using feedforward and Elman recurrent neural networks. The study cases were developed using measured data representing electrical energy consume from Banat area.…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2018-04-19 Cristian Vasar , Iosif Szeidert , Ioan Filip , Gabriela Prostean

Load forecasting has always been a challenge for grid operators due to the growing complexity of power systems. The increase in extreme weather and the need for energy from customers has led to load forecasting sometimes failing. This…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-09 Nishant Gadde , Yoshua Alexander , Sarvesh Parthasarthy , Arman Allidina

Load-forecasting problems have already been widely addressed with different approaches, granularities and objectives. Recent studies focus not only on deep learning methods but also on forecasting loads on single building level. This study…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-15 Thomas Steens , Jan-Simon Telle , Benedikt Hanke , Karsten von Maydell , Carsten Agert , Gian-Luca di Modica , Bernd Engel , Matthias Grottke

Extreme weather variations and the increasing unpredictability of load behavior make it difficult to determine power grid dispatches that are robust to uncertainties. While machine learning (ML) methods have improved the ability to model…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-21 Aayushya Agarwal , Larry Pileggi

The main objective of this study is to propose an enhanced wind power forecasting (EWPF) transformer model for handling power grid operations and boosting power market competition. It helps reliable large-scale integration of wind power…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-04-24 Md Rasel Sarkar , Sreenatha G. Anavatti , Tanmoy Dam , Mahardhika Pratama , Berlian Al Kindhi

The transition to a new low emission energy future results in a changing mix of generation and load types due to significant growth in renewable energy penetration and reduction in system inertia due to the exit of ageing fossil fuel power…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-02-23 Seyedali Meghdadi , Guido Tack , Ariel Liebman

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in diverse fields, necessitating the development of robust models that can effectively handle complex temporal patterns. In this article, we present a novel feature selection method embedded in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-01 Raquel Espinosa , Fernando Jiménez , José Palma

We propose a simple empirical scaling law that describes load forecasting accuracy at different levels of aggregation. The model is justified based on a simple decomposition of individual consumption patterns. We show that for different…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-09-01 Raffi Sevlian , Ram Rajagopal

Electricity load forecasting for buildings and campuses is becoming increasingly important as the penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs) grows. Efficient operation and dispatch of DERs require reasonably accurate predictions of…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-12-20 Sakshi Mishra , Stephen M. Frank , Anya Petersen , Robert Buechler , Michelle Slovensky

Due to the vast electric vehicle (EV) penetration to distribution grid, charging load forecasting is essential to promote charging station operation and demand-side management.However, the stochastic charging behaviors and associated…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-22 Siyang Li , Hui Xiong , Yize Chen

In electricity markets, locational marginal price (LMP) forecasting is particularly important for market participants in making reasonable bidding strategies, managing potential trading risks, and supporting efficient system planning and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-28 Yuyun Yang , Zhenfei Tan , Haitao Yang , Guangchun Ruan , Haiwang Zhong

Electricity price forecasting (EPF) is a branch of forecasting on the interface of electrical engineering, statistics, computer science, and finance, which focuses on predicting prices in wholesale electricity markets for a whole spectrum…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-04-26 Arkadiusz Jędrzejewski , Jesus Lago , Grzegorz Marcjasz , Rafał Weron

In large-scale traffic optimization, models based on Macroscopic Fundamental Diagram (MFD) are recognized for their efficiency in broad network analyses. However, they fail to reflect variations in the individual traffic status of each road…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Zhixiong Jin , Dimitrios Tsitsokas , Nikolas Geroliminis , Ludovic Leclercq

Accurate prediction over long time horizons is crucial for modeling complex physical processes such as wave propagation. Although deep neural networks show promise for real-time forecasting, they often struggle with accumulating phase and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-05 Indu Kant Deo , Rajeev Jaiman

With the expected rise in behind-the-meter solar penetration within the distribution networks, there is a need to develop time-series forecasting methods that can reliably predict the net-load, accurately quantifying its uncertainty and…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-03-10 Deepthi Sen , Indrasis Chakraborty , Soumya Kundu , Andrew P. Reiman , Ian Beil , Andy Eiden

The growing penetration of renewable and distributed generation is transforming power systems and challenging conventional protection schemes that rely on fixed settings and local measurements. Machine learning (ML) offers a data-driven…

Distribution Load Estimation (DLE) is a key function of Distribution Management System (DMS). In this paper a novel method for presenting historical load data in the form of Representative Load Curves (RLC) is presented. Adaptive…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-22 Chiebuka Eyisi , Saeed Lotfifard