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The complexity and ambiguity of financial and economic systems, along with frequent changes in the economic environment, have made it difficult to make precise predictions that are supported by theory-consistent explanations. Interpreting…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-03-29 Davood Pirayesh Neghab , Mucahit Cevik , M. I. M. Wahab

In this paper, we study the operational problem of connected hydro power reservoirs which involves sequential decision-making in an uncertain and dynamic environment. The problem is traditionally formulated as a stochastic dynamic program…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-05-17 Farzaneh Pourahmadi , Trine Krogh Boomsma

Thanks to the high potential for profit, trading has become increasingly attractive to investors as the cryptocurrency and stock markets rapidly expand. However, because financial markets are intricate and dynamic, accurately predicting…

Load forecasting is crucial for multiple energy management tasks such as scheduling generation capacity, planning supply and demand, and minimizing energy trade costs. Such relevance has increased even more in recent years due to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-16 Verónica Álvarez , Santiago Mazuelas , José A. Lozano

Deep learning based forecasting methods have become the methods of choice in many applications of time series prediction or forecasting often outperforming other approaches. Consequently, over the last years, these methods are now…

This paper addresses the problem of pricing involved financial derivatives by means of advanced of deep learning techniques. More precisely, we smartly combine several sophisticated neural network-based concepts like differential machine…

The prediction of time series is a challenging task relevant in such diverse applications as analyzing financial data, forecasting flow dynamics or understanding biological processes. Especially chaotic time series that depend on a long…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-06 Johannes Viehweg , Dominik Walther , Patrick Mäder

In April 2009, we introduced a model representing the evolution of motor fuel price (a subcategory of the consumer price index of transportation) relative to the overall CPI as a linear function of time. Under our framework, all price…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2010-05-04 Ivan O. Kitov , Oleg I. Kitov

Financial markets are difficult to predict due to its complex systems dynamics. Although there have been some recent studies that use machine learning techniques for financial markets prediction, they do not offer satisfactory performance…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-01-31 Jia Wang , Tong Sun , Benyuan Liu , Yu Cao , Degang Wang

This paper is devoted to the price-storage dynamics in natural gas markets. A novel stochastic path-dependent volatility model is introduced with path-dependence in both price volatility and storage increments. Model calibrations are…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-07-22 Jinniao Qiu , Antony Ware , Yang Yang

The emerging technology of quantum reservoir computing (QRC) stands out in the noisy-intermediate scale quantum era (NISQ) for its exceptional efficiency and adaptability. By harnessing the power of quantum computing, it holds a great…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-01-09 L. Domingo , M. Grande , G. Carlo , F. Borondo , J. Borondo

Option pricing is a significant problem for option risk management and trading. In this article, we utilize a framework to present financial data from different sources. The data is processed and represented in a form of 2D tensors in three…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2021-09-24 Muyang Ge , Shen Zhou , Shijun Luo , Boping Tian

We introduce a new deep-learning based algorithm to evaluate options in affine rough stochastic volatility models. Viewing the pricing function as the solution to a curve-dependent PDE (CPDE), depending on forward curves rather than the…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2023-01-04 Antoine Jacquier , Mugad Oumgari

This paper develops learning-augmented algorithms for energy trading in volatile electricity markets. The basic problem is to sell (or buy) $k$ units of energy for the highest revenue (lowest cost) over uncertain time-varying prices, which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-29 Russell Lee , Bo Sun , Mohammad Hajiesmaili , John C. S. Lui

Model-based process simulation can be used to derive designs and operating conditions of chemical processes that optimally balance multiple objectives, such as quality, costs, or environmental impacts. This work focuses on identifying…

Deep Reservoir Computing has emerged as a new paradigm for deep learning, which is based around the reservoir computing principle of maintaining random pools of neurons combined with hierarchical deep learning. The reservoir paradigm…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2020-10-16 Matthew Evanusa , Cornelia Fermüller , Yiannis Aloimonos

Probabilistic forecasting in combination with stochastic programming is a key tool for handling the growing uncertainties in future energy systems. Derived from a general stochastic programming formulation for the optimal scheduling and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-03-25 Mario Beykirch , Tim Janke , Florian Steinke

Currently, legal requirements demand that insurance companies increase their emphasis on monitoring the risks linked to the underwriting and asset management activities. Regarding underwriting risks, the main uncertainties that insurers…

Time series forecasting in the air cargo industry presents unique challenges due to volatile market dynamics and the significant impact of accurate forecasts on generated revenue. This paper explores a comprehensive approach to demand…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-15 Abhinav Garg , Naman Shukla , Maarten Wormer

This paper introduces a new type of risk measures, namely regime switching entropic risk measures, and study their applicability through simulations. The state of the economy is incorporated into the entropic risk formulation by using a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-12-28 Babacar Seck , Robert J. Elliott