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This paper uses deep learning to value derivatives. The approach is broadly applicable, and we use a call option on a basket of stocks as an example. We show that the deep learning model is accurate and very fast, capable of producing…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2018-10-19 Ryan Ferguson , Andrew Green

Predicting oil recovery efficiency of a deepwater reservoir is a challenging task. One approach to characterize a deepwater reservoir and to predict its producibility is by analyzing its depositional information. This research proposes a…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2013-01-15 Tina Yu , Dave Wilkinson , Julian Clark , Morgan Sullivan

Forecasting dynamical systems is of importance to numerous real-world applications. When possible, dynamical systems forecasts are constructed based on first-principles-based models such as through the use of differential equations. When…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-01 Vinamr Jain , Romit Maulik

Predicting the price of used vehicles is a more interesting and needed problem by many users. Vehicle price prediction can be a challenging task due to the high number of attributes that should be considered for accurate prediction. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-22 Auwal Tijjani Amshi

We propose a novel approach for loss reserving based on deep neural networks. The approach allows for joint modeling of paid losses and claims outstanding, and incorporation of heterogeneous inputs. We validate the models on loss reserving…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-09-17 Kevin Kuo

Electricity price forecasting is an essential task in all the deregulated markets of the world. The accurate prediction of the day-ahead electricity prices is an active research field and available data from various markets can be used as…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-11-18 Salih Gunduz , Umut Ugurlu , Ilkay Oksuz

To predict the future evolution of dynamical systems purely from observations of the past data is of great potential application. In this work, a new formulated paradigm of reservoir computing is proposed for achieving model-free…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2021-10-27 Zhuo Liu , Leisheng Jin

Reservoir computing derived from recurrent neural networks is more applicable to real world systems than deep learning because of its low computational cost and potential for physical implementation. Specifically, physical reservoir…

新兴技术 · 计算机科学 2019-12-03 Hiroyasu Ando , Hanten Chang

We construct a thermodynamic model for theoretical calculation of the boiling process of multicomponent mixtures of hydrocarbons (e.g., crude oil). The model governs kinetics of the mixture composition in the course of the distillation…

化学物理 · 物理学 2017-04-21 Anastasiya V. Pimenova , Denis S. Goldobin

Predicting market movements based on the sentiment of news media has a long tradition in data analysis. With advances in natural language processing, transformer architectures have emerged that enable contextually aware sentiment…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2023-05-11 Himmet Kaplan , Ralf-Peter Mundani , Heiko Rölke , Albert Weichselbraun

Faced with the growing research towards crude oil price fluctuations influential factors following the accelerated development of Internet technology, accessible data such as Google search volume index are increasingly quantified and…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-02-25 Yang Yifan , Guo Ju'e , Sun Shaolong , Li Yixin

In this work we show that prediction uncertainty estimates gleaned from deep learning models can be useful inputs for influencing the relative allocation of risk capital across trades. In this way, consideration of uncertainty is important…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-08-03 Trent Spears , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

Cryptocurrency markets are experiencing rapid growth, but this expansion comes with significant challenges, particularly in predicting cryptocurrency prices for traders in the U.S. In this study, we explore how deep learning and machine…

Demand forecasting in the online fashion industry is particularly amendable to global, data-driven forecasting models because of the industry's set of particular challenges. These include the volume of data, the irregularity, the high…

By considering the Wade Formula, we propose a model to study the evolution of the oil price per barrel. Our model shows that the policy of diversification of the energy is to be supported. This model is proposed to see how it is possible to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-11-28 Pierre Mendy , Babacar M. Ndiaye , Diaraf Seck , Idrissa Ly

Traditional machine learning methods have been widely studied in financial innovation. My study focuses on the application of deep learning methods on asset pricing. I investigate various deep learning methods for asset pricing, especially…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-09-27 Chen Zhang

Accurate prediction of flight-level passenger traffic is of paramount importance in airline operations, influencing key decisions from pricing to route optimization. This study introduces a novel, multimodal deep learning approach to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-01-11 Sina Ehsani , Elina Sergeeva , Wendy Murdy , Benjamin Fox

Establishing accurate field development parameters to optimize long-term oil production takes time and effort due to the complexity of oil well development, and the uncertainty in estimating long-term well production. Traditionally, oil and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-27 Anjie Liu , Jinglang W. Sun , Anh Ngo , Ademide O. Mabadeje , Jose L. Hernandez-Mejia

Firm disclosures about future prospects are crucial for corporate valuation and compliance with global regulations, such as the EU's MAR and the US's SEC Rule 10b-5 and RegFD. To comply with disclosure obligations, issuers must identify…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-21 Moritz Scherrmann , Ralf Elsas