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The Gaussian graphical model, a popular paradigm for studying relationship among variables in a wide range of applications, has attracted great attention in recent years. This paper considers a fundamental question: When is it possible to…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-04 Zhao Ren , Tingni Sun , Cun-Hui Zhang , Harrison H. Zhou

Bayesian nonparametric regression under a rescaled Gaussian process prior offers smoothness-adaptive function estimation with near minimax-optimal error rates. Hierarchical extensions of this approach, equipped with stochastic variable…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-15 Sheng Jiang , Surya T. Tokdar

We derive inferential procedures for large sample sizes that remain valid under data-dependent significance levels (so-called "post-hoc valid inference"). Classical statistical tools require that the significance level -- the "type-I error"…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-10 Ben Chugg , Etienne Gauthier , Michael I. Jordan , Aaditya Ramdas , Ian Waudby-Smith

In statistical inference, confidence set procedures are typically evaluated based on their validity and width properties. Even when procedures achieve rate-optimal widths, confidence sets can still be excessively wide in practice due to…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-20 Kenta Takatsu

This work presents a technique for statistically modeling errors introduced by reduced-order models. The method employs Gaussian-process regression to construct a mapping from a small number of computationally inexpensive `error indicators'…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2015-04-16 Martin Drohmann , Kevin Carlberg

In this paper we compare and contrast the behavior of the posterior predictive distribution to the risk of the maximum a posteriori estimator for the random features regression model in the overparameterized regime. We will focus on the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-30 Youngsoo Baek , Samuel I. Berchuck , Sayan Mukherjee

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for probabilistic inference over functions. They have been applied to both regression and non-linear dimensionality reduction, and offer desirable properties such as uncertainty estimates,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-10-01 Yarin Gal , Mark van der Wilk , Carl E. Rasmussen

The density weighted average derivative (DWAD) of a regression function is a canonical parameter of interest in economics. Classical first-order large sample distribution theory for kernel-based DWAD estimators relies on tuning parameter…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-02-16 Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Michael Jansson , Ricardo Masini

Evaluating the statistical dimension is a common tool to determine the asymptotic phase transition in compressed sensing problems with Gaussian ensemble. Unfortunately, the exact evaluation of the statistical dimension is very difficult and…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2019-06-06 Sajad Daei , Farzan Haddadi , Arash Amini , Martin Lotz

We consider parametric estimation and tests for multi-dimensional diffusion processes with a small dispersion parameter $\varepsilon$ from discrete observations. For parametric estimation of diffusion processes, the main target is to…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-01-20 Tetsuya Kawai , Masayuki Uchida

For complex latent variable models, the likelihood function is not available in closed form. In this context, a popular method to perform parameter estimation is Importance Weighted Variational Inference. It essentially maximizes the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-16 Badr-Eddine Cherief-Abdellatif , Randal Douc , Arnaud Doucet , Hugo Marival

Subsampling and block-based bootstrap methods have been used in a wide range of inference problems for time series. To accommodate the dependence, these resampling methods involve a bandwidth parameter, such as subsampling window width and…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-04-05 Xiaofeng Shao , Dimitris N. Politis

In this paper, we provide a general methodology to draw statistical inferences on individual signal coordinates or linear combinations of them in sparse phase retrieval. Given an initial estimator for the targeting parameter (some simple…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Yisha Yao

Measurement error is a pervasive issue which renders the results of an analysis unreliable. The measurement error literature contains numerous correction techniques, which can be broadly divided into those which aim to produce exactly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-08 Dylan Spicker , Michael P Wallace , Grace Y Yi

Tuning parameters are parameters involved in an estimating procedure for the purpose of reducing the risk of some other estimator. Examples include the degree of penalization in penalized regression and likelihood problems, as well as the…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-31 Ingrid Dæhlen , Nils Lid Hjort , Ingrid Hobæk Haff

In the setting of high-dimensional linear regression models, we propose two frameworks for constructing pointwise and group confidence sets for penalized estimators which incorporate prior knowledge about the organization of the non-zero…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-04 Benjamin Stucky , Sara van de Geer

Let $\alpha_n(\cdot)=P\bigl(X_{n+1}\in\cdot\mid X_1,\ldots,X_n\bigr)$ be the predictive distributions of a sequence $(X_1,X_2,\ldots)$ of $p$-dimensional random vectors. Suppose $$\alpha_n= \mathcal{N} _p (M_n,Q_n)$$ where…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-17 Samuele Garelli , Fabrizio Leisen , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

We developed a statistical inference method applicable to a broad range of generalized linear models (GLMs) in high-dimensional settings, where the number of unknown coefficients scales proportionally with the sample size. Although a…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-24 Kazuma Sawaya , Yoshimasa Uematsu , Masaaki Imaizumi

Mechanistic simulation models are inverted against observations in order to gain inference on modeled processes. However, with the increasing ability to collect high resolution observations, these observations represent more patterns of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-12-20 Thomas Wutzler

In the big data era, the need to reevaluate traditional statistical methods is paramount due to the challenges posed by vast datasets. While larger samples theoretically enhance accuracy and hypothesis testing power without increasing false…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-09 Xuekui Zhang , Li Xing , Jing Zhang , Soojeong Kim