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Calibration tests based on the probability integral transform (PIT) are routinely used to assess the quality of univariate distributional forecasts. However, PIT-based calibration tests for multivariate distributional forecasts face various…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-12-13 Malte Knüppel , Fabian Krüger , Marc-Oliver Pohle

The classic chi-squared statistic for testing goodness-of-fit has long been a cornerstone of modern statistical practice. The statistic consists of a sum in which each summand involves division by the probability associated with the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-03-17 William Perkins , Mark Tygert , Rachel Ward

Ordering the expected outcomes across a collection of clusters after performing a covariate adjustment commonly arises in many applied settings, such as healthcare provider evaluation. Regression parameters in such covariate adjustment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Nicholas C. Henderson , Nicholas Hartman

Application of the exact statistical inference frequently leads to a non-standard probability distributions of the considered estimators or test statistics. The exact distributions of many estimators and test statistics can be specified by…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-01-09 Viktor Witkovský

For a high-dimensional linear model with a finite number of covariates measured with error, we study statistical inference on the parameters associated with the error-prone covariates, and propose a new corrected decorrelated score test and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-29 Mengyan Li , Runze Li , Yanyuan Ma

Estimating unknown parameters subject to prior constraints is important in statistical inference, particularly in fields such as reliability analysis, survival studies, and engineering, where prior structural information about the…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-06 Somnath Mondal

Score-based statistical models play an important role in modern machine learning, statistics, and signal processing. For hypothesis testing, a score-based hypothesis test is proposed in \cite{wu2022score}. We analyze the performance of this…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-02-06 Enmao Diao , Taposh Banerjee , Vahid Tarokh

In an attempt to provide an answer to the increasing criticism against p-values and to bridge the gap between statistical inference and prediction modelling, we introduce the probability of improved prediction (PIP). In general, the PIP is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-28 Olivier Thas , Stijn Jaspers

We consider testing statistical hypotheses about densities of signals in deconvolution models. A new approach to this problem is proposed. We constructed score tests for the deconvolution with the known noise density and efficient score…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-02 Mikhail Langovoy

The Coordinate Ascent Variational Inference scheme is a popular algorithm used to compute the mean-field approximation of a probability distribution of interest. We analyze its random scan version, under log-concavity assumptions on the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-24 Hugo Lavenant , Giacomo Zanella

The effectiveness of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) has been substantially attributed to their built-in property of translation equivariance. However, CNNs do not have embedded mechanisms to handle other types of transformations. In…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-02-07 Ivan Sosnovik , Michał Szmaja , Arnold Smeulders

The success of machine learning has resulted from its structured representation of data. Similar data have close internal representations as compressed codes for classification or emerged labels for clustering. We observe that the frequency…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-13 Sungyeop Lee , Junghyo Jo

To obtain reliable results of expertise, which usually use individual and group expert pairwise comparisons, it is important to summarize (aggregate) expert estimates provided that they are sufficiently consistent. There are several ways to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-07 Vitaliy Tsyganok , Andriy Olenko , Pavlo Roik , Oksana Vlasenko

We propose two new conformity scores for conformal prediction, in a general multivariate regression framework. The underlying score functions are based on a covariance analysis of the residuals and the input points. We give theoretical…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-30 Iain Henderson , Adrien Mazoyer , Fabrice Gamboa

Probabilistic forecasts in the form of probability distributions over future events have become popular in several fields of statistical science. The dissimilarity between a probability forecast and an outcome is measured by a loss function…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-27 Vladimir V'yugin , Vladimir Trunov

This book deals with functions allowing to express the dissimilarity (discrepancy) between two data fields or ''divergence functions'' with the aim of applications to linear inverse problems. Most of the divergences found in the litterature…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-03-04 Henri Lantéri

The relative performance of competing point forecasts is usually measured in terms of loss or scoring functions. It is widely accepted that these scoring function should be strictly consistent in the sense that the expected score is…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-08 Tobias Fissler , Johanna F. Ziegel

In this paper we obtain an adjusted version of the likelihood ratio test for errors-in-variables multivariate linear regression models. The error terms are allowed to follow a multivariate distribution in the class of the elliptical…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-08-05 Tatiane F. N. Melo , Silvia L. P. Ferrari

For some variants of regression models, including partial, measurement error or error-in-variables, latent effects, semi-parametric and otherwise corrupted linear models, the classical parametric tests generally do not perform well. Various…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-25 Pranab K. Sen , Jana Jureckova , Jan Picek

Histograms with weighted entries are used to estimate probability density functions. Computer simulation is the main application of this type of histograms. A review on chi-square tests for comparing weighted histograms is presented in this…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2017-04-27 Nikolai Gagunashvili