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When a firm hires a worker, adding the new hire to payroll is costly. These costs reduce the amount of resources that can go to recruiting workers and amplify how unemployment responds to changes in productivity. Workers also incur up-front…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-28 Rich Ryan

This paper provides a comprehensive examination of a Brazilian corporate tax reform targeted at the sector and product level. Difference-in-differences estimates instrumented by sector eligibility show that a 20 percentage point cut on…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-10-31 Felipe Lobel

This paper provides quasi-experimental evidence on how income taxes affect gross hourly wages, utilizing Danish administrative data and a tax reform that introduced joint taxation. Exploiting spousal income for identification, we present…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-21 Kazuhiko Sumiya , Jesper Bagger

This paper investigates the assumption of homogeneous effects of federal tax changes across the U.S. states and identifies where and why that assumption may not be valid. More specifically, what determines the transmission mechanism of tax…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-07-30 Masud Alam

Using rich Swedish administrative data, we apply causal machine learning methods to study how earnings losses after job displacement vary with observable characteristics that may be relevant for targeting policy interventions for workers.…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-17 Susan Athey , Lisa K. Simon , Oskar N. Skans , Johan Vikstrom , Yaroslav Yakymovych

In this paper, we explore the relationship between state-level household income inequality and macroeconomic uncertainty in the United States. Using a novel large-scale macroeconometric model, we shed light on regional disparities of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-06-22 Manfred M. Fischer , Florian Huber , Michael Pfarrhofer

This paper evaluates the short and medium-term effectiveness of payroll tax reductions aimed at promoting the permanent conversion of temporary contracts through social contribution exemptions. Using rich administrative data from Tuscany,…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-18 Michele Cantarella , Maria Cristina Maurizio , Francesco Serti

We empirically investigate the distributional effects of inflation on workers' unemployment tail risks using instrumental variable quantile regression. We find that supply-driven inflation disproportionately raises unemployment tail risks…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-12 Hie Joo Ahn , Lam Nguyen

Unemployment insurance provides temporary cash benefits to eligible unemployed workers. Benefits are sometimes extended by discretion during economic slumps. In a model that features temporary benefits and sequential job opportunities, a…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-12-22 Rich Ryan

Traditionally, the impact of minimum wages on employment has been studied, and it is generally believed to have a negative effect. Yet, some recent studies have shown that the impact of minimum wages on employment can sometimes be positive.…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-12 Asahi Sato

In this short note, I show that in a McCall (1970) model with risk-neutral agents, a system of wage insurance combined with unemployment insurance financed by a lump-sum tax on the employed can be replicated -- in the ex ante sense -- by a…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-28 Anchi Xia

This paper is part of the Global Income Dynamics Project cross-country comparison of earnings inequality, volatility, and mobility. Using data from the U.S. Census Bureau's Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics (LEHD) infrastructure…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-12-14 Kevin L. McKinney , John M. Abowd , Hubert P. Janicki

This paper considers how the effect of job displacement varies across different individuals. In particular, our interest centers on features of the distribution of the individual-level effect of job displacement. Identifying features of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-10-01 Afrouz Azadikhah Jahromi , Brantly Callaway

Managing unemployment is one of the key issues in social policies. Unemployment insurance schemes are designed to cushion the financial and morale blow of loss of job but also to encourage the unemployed to seek new jobs more pro-actively…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-09-05 Jason S. Anquandah , Leonid V. Bogachev

In this study, we seek to understand how macroeconomic factors such as GDP, inflation, Unemployment Insurance, and S&P 500 index; as well as microeconomic factors such as health, race, and educational attainment impacted the unemployment…

Unemployment insurance transfers should balance the provision of consumption to the unemployed with the disincentive effects on the search behavior. Developing countries face the additional challenge of informality. Workers can choose to…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-07 Martin Gonzalez-Rozada , Hernan Ruffo

Unemployment benefits in the US were extended by up to 73 weeks during the Great Recession. Equilibrium labor market theory indicates that extensions of benefit duration impact not only search decisions by job seekers but also job vacancy…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-04-27 Aiwei Huang

We systematically investigate the effect heterogeneity of job search programmes for unemployed workers. To investigate possibly heterogeneous employment effects, we combine non-experimental causal empirical models with Lasso-type…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-10-13 Michael Knaus , Michael Lechner , Anthony Strittmatter

We study the distributional implications of uncertainty shocks by developing a model that links macroeconomic aggregates to the US distribution of earnings and consumption. We find that: initially, the fraction of low-earning workers…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-20 Florian Huber , Massimiliano Marcellino , Tommaso Tornese

The implementation of a supervision and incentive process for identical workers may lead to wage variance that stems from employer and employee optimization. The harder it is to assess the nature of the labor output, the more important such…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-06-06 Nitsa Kasir , Idit Sohlberg
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