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Network point processes often exhibit latent structure that govern the behaviour of the sub-processes. It is not always reasonable to assume that this latent structure is static, and detecting when and how this driving structure changes is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-04-14 Joshua Corneck , Edward A. K. Cohen , James S. Martin , Francesco Sanna Passino

This paper investigates a change-point estimation problem in the context of high-dimensional Markov Random Field models. Change-points represent a key feature in many dynamically evolving network structures. The change-point estimate is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-13 Sandipan Roy , Yves Atchade , George Michailidis

We propose two procedures to detect a change in the mean of high-dimensional online data. One is based on a max-type U-statistic and another is based on a sum-type U-statistic. Theoretical properties of the two procedures are explored in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-27 Jun Li

In time series data analysis, detecting change points on a real-time basis (online) is of great interest in many areas, such as finance, environmental monitoring, and medicine. One promising means to achieve this is the Bayesian online…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-10 Ginga Yoshizawa

We first consider the sequential detection of transient signals by generalizing the moving average chart to exponential family and study the false detection probability (FDP) and power of detection (POD) in the steady state. Then windowed…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-24 Yanhong Wu

In recent years there has been substantial development in algorithms for quantum phase estimation. In this work we provide a new approach to online Bayesian phase estimation that achieves Heisenberg limited scaling that requires…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-08-10 Cassandra Granade , Nathan Wiebe

In recent years, there have been many practical applications of anomaly detection such as in predictive maintenance, detection of credit fraud, network intrusion, and system failure. The goal of anomaly detection is to identify in the test…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-12 Zekun Xu , Deovrat Kakde , Arin Chaudhuri

The majority of online continual learning (CL) advocates single-epoch training and imposes restrictions on the size of replay memory. However, single-epoch training would incur a different amount of computations per CL algorithm, and the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-18 Minhyuk Seo , Hyunseo Koh , Jonghyun Choi

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is a Bayesian method for inferring profiles based on input data. The technique is increasing in popularity in the fusion community due to its many advantages over traditional fitting techniques including…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Jarrod Leddy , Sandeep Madireddy , Eric Howell , Scott Kruger

We present the very first robust Bayesian Online Changepoint Detection algorithm through General Bayesian Inference (GBI) with $\beta$-divergences. The resulting inference procedure is doubly robust for both the parameter and the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-28 Jeremias Knoblauch , Jack Jewson , Theodoros Damoulas

We consider the consistency properties of a regularised estimator for the simultaneous identification of both changepoints and graphical dependency structure in multivariate time-series. Traditionally, estimation of Gaussian Graphical…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-18 Alex J. Gibberd , Sandipan Roy

In the quickest change detection problem in which both nuisance and critical changes may occur, the objective is to detect the critical change as quickly as possible without raising an alarm when either there is no change or a nuisance…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-10-23 Tze Siong Lau , Wee Peng Tay

Parameter-free algorithms are online learning algorithms that do not require setting learning rates. They achieve optimal regret with respect to the distance between the initial point and any competitor. Yet, parameter-free algorithms do…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-22 Keyi Chen , Ashok Cutkosky , Francesco Orabona

Mutation rate variation across loci is well known to cause difficulties, notably identifiability issues, in the reconstruction of evolutionary trees from molecular sequences. Here we introduce a new approach for estimating general…

概率论 · 数学 2011-09-30 Elchanan Mossel , Sebastien Roch

Detecting Out-of-distribution (OOD) inputs have been a critical issue for neural networks in the open world. However, the unstable behavior of OOD detection along the optimization trajectory during training has not been explored clearly. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-03 Zhen Cheng , Fei Zhu , Xu-Yao Zhang , Cheng-Lin Liu

Linear mixed models with large imbalanced crossed random effects structures pose severe computational problems for maximum likelihood estimation and for Bayesian analysis. The costs can grow as fast as $N^{3/2}$ when there are N…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-30 K. Gao , A. B. Owen

In the following article we provide an exposition of exact computational methods to perform parameter inference from partially observed network models. In particular, we consider the duplication attachment (DA) model which has a likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-06-20 Junshan Wang , Ajay Jasra , Maria De Iorio

When dealing with datasets containing a billion instances or with simulations that require a supercomputer to execute, computational resources become part of the equation. We can improve the efficiency of learning and inference by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-03-06 Max Welling

In decision modelling with time to event data, parametric models are often used to extrapolate the survivor function. One such model is the piecewise exponential model whereby the hazard function is partitioned into segments, with the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-09 Philip Cooney , Arthur White

The problem of sequentially detecting an abrupt change in a sequence of independent and identically distributed (IID) random variables is addressed. Whereas previous approaches assume a known probability density function (PDF) at the start…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-11 James Falt , Steven D. Blostein
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