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Online learning methods yield sequential regret bounds under minimal assumptions and provide in-expectation risk bounds for statistical learning. However, despite the apparent advantage of online guarantees over their statistical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-16 Dirk van der Hoeven , Nikita Zhivotovskiy , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi

Online change detection involves monitoring a stream of data for changes in the statistical properties of incoming observations. A good change detector will detect any changes shortly after they occur, while raising few false alarms.…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-03 Thomas Flynn , Shinjae Yoo

Change-point detection methods are proposed for the case of temporary failures, or transient changes, when an unexpected disorder is ultimately followed by a readjustment and return to the initial state. A base distribution of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-14 Baron Michael , Malov Sergey

We address the problem of learning of continuous exponential family distributions with unbounded support. While a lot of progress has been made on learning of Gaussian graphical models, we still lack scalable algorithms for reconstructing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-01 Christopher X. Ren , Sidhant Misra , Marc Vuffray , Andrey Y. Lokhov

Reinforcement learning algorithms have been widely used for decision-making tasks in various domains. However, the performance of these algorithms can be impacted by high variance and instability, particularly in environments with noise or…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Saunak Kumar Panda , Tong Li , Ruiqi Liu , Yisha Xiang

We present new algorithms for detecting the emergence of a community in large networks from sequential observations. The networks are modeled using Erdos-Renyi random graphs with edges forming between nodes in the community with higher…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-22 David Marangoni-Simonsen , Yao Xie

Detecting abrupt changes in real-time data streams from scientific simulations presents a challenging task, demanding the deployment of accurate and efficient algorithms. Identifying change points in live data stream involves continuous…

Analysis of low-degree polynomial algorithms is a powerful, newly-popular method for predicting computational thresholds in hypothesis testing problems. One limitation of current techniques for this analysis is their restriction to…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-10 Dmitriy Kunisky

We present a new CUSUM procedure for sequentially detecting change-point in the self and mutual exciting processes, a.k.a. Hawkes networks using discrete events data. Hawkes networks have become a popular model for statistics and machine…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-08 Haoyun Wang , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Alex Cuozzo , Simon Mak

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian approach to detect changes in the variance of a Gaussian sequence model, focusing on quantifying the uncertainty in the change point locations and providing a scalable algorithm for inference. Such a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-04 Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

One of the biggest challenges in Federated Learning (FL) is that client devices often have drastically different computation and communication resources for local updates. To this end, recent research efforts have focused on training…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-10 Hanhan Zhou , Tian Lan , Guru Venkataramani , Wenbo Ding

Although the applications of Non-Homogeneous Poisson Processes to model and study the threshold overshoots of interest in different time series of measurements have proven to provide good results, they needed to be complemented with an…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-09-15 Biviana Marcela Suárez-Sierra , Arrigo Coen , Carlos Alberto Taimal

This paper studies the fixed budget formulation of the Ranking and Selection (R&S) problem with independent normal samples, where the goal is to investigate different algorithms' convergence rate in terms of their resulting probability of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-11-30 Di Wu , Enlu Zhou

Online eXp-concave Optimization (OXO) is a fundamental problem in online learning, where the goal is to minimize regret when loss functions are exponentially concave. The standard algorithm, Online Newton Step (ONS), guarantees an optimal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-11 Yi-Han Wang , Peng Zhao , Zhi-Hua Zhou

We propose a novel multivariate nonparametric multiple change point detection method using classifiers. We construct a classifier log-likelihood ratio that uses class probability predictions to compare different change point configurations.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-16 Malte Londschien , Peter Bühlmann , Solt Kovács

Calculation of the log-likelihood stands as the computational bottleneck for many statistical phylogenetic algorithms. Even worse is its gradient evaluation, often used to target regions of high probability. Order ${\cal…

We introduce a new online algorithm for expected log-likelihood maximization in situations where the objective function is multi-modal and/or has saddle points, that we term G-PFSO. The key element underpinning G-PFSO is a probability…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-07 Mathieu Gerber , Randal Douc

A change point problem occurs in many statistical applications. If there exist change points in a model, it is harmful to make a statistical analysis without any consideration of the existence of the change points and the results derived…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-01-24 Xiaoping Shi , Yuehua Wu , Baisuo Jin

Branch-specific substitution models are popular for detecting evolutionary change-points, such as shifts in selective pressure. However, applying such models typically requires prior knowledge of change-point locations on the phylogeny or…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-05-06 Xiang Ji , Benjamin Redelings , Shuo Su , Hongcun Bao , Wu-Min Deng , Samuel L. Hong , Guy Baele , Philippe Lemey , Marc A. Suchard

Factor-revealing linear programs (LPs) and policy-revealing LPs arise in various contexts of algorithm design and analysis. They are commonly used techniques for analyzing the performance of approximation and online algorithms, especially…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2025-03-20 Pan Xu