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Recent advances in probabilistic modelling have led to a large number of simulation-based inference algorithms which do not require numerical evaluation of likelihoods. However, a public benchmark with appropriate performance metrics for…

We introduce several new estimation methods that leverage shape constraints in auction models to estimate various objects of interest, including the distribution of a bidder's valuations, the bidder's ex ante expected surplus, and the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-12-17 Joris Pinkse , Karl Schurter

We consider a financial market in discrete time and study pricing and hedging conditional on the information available up to an arbitrary point in time. In this conditional framework, we determine the structure of arbitrage-free prices.…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-05-15 Lars Niemann , Thorsten Schmidt

Performativity of predictions refers to the phenomenon where prediction-informed decisions influence the very targets they aim to predict -- a dynamic commonly observed in policy-making, social sciences, and economics. In this paper, we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-28 Xiang Li , Yunai Li , Huiying Zhong , Lihua Lei , Zhun Deng

We study competitive equilibrium in the canonical Fisher market model, but with indivisible goods. In this model, every agent has a budget of artificial currency with which to purchase bundles of goods. Equilibrium prices match between…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2019-11-25 Moshe Babaioff , Noam Nisan , Inbal Talgam-Cohen

We study the design of truthful auctions for selling identical items in unlimited supply (e.g., digital goods) to n unit demand buyers. This classic problem stands out from profit-maximizing auction design literature as it requires no…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2014-01-07 Ning Chen , Nick Gravin , Pinyan Lu

We consider a setting in which bidders participate in multiple auctions run by different sellers, and optimize their bids for the \emph{aggregate} auction. We analyze this setting by formulating a game between sellers, where a seller's…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2020-01-20 Renato Paes Leme , Balasubramanian Sivan , Yifeng Teng

This paper re-examines the first normalized incomplete moment, a well-established measure of inequality with wide applications in economic and social sciences. Despite the popularity of the measure itself, existing statistical inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Jiannan Lu , Peng Ding , Anqi Zhao

Proportional dynamics, originated from peer-to-peer file sharing systems, models a decentralized price-learning process in Fisher markets. Previously, items in the dynamics operate independently of one another, and each is assumed to belong…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2024-07-17 Juncheng Li , Pingzhong Tang

We present a methodology to robustly estimate the competitive equilibria (CE) of combinatorial markets under the assumption that buyers do not know their precise valuations for bundles of goods, but instead can only provide noisy estimates.…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2021-01-26 Enrique Areyan Viqueira , Cyrus Cousins , Amy Greenwald

Individuals are often influenced by the behavior of others, for instance because they wish to obtain the benefits of coordinated actions or infer otherwise inaccessible information. In such situations this social influence decreases the ex…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2015-05-14 Richard Colbaugh , Kristin Glass , Paul Ormerod

In many natural settings agents participate in multiple different auctions that are not simultaneous. In such auctions, future opportunities affect strategic considerations of the players. The goal of this paper is to develop a quantitative…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2012-06-22 Vasilis Syrgkanis , Eva Tardos

This paper proves that the welfare of the first price auction in Bayes-Nash equilibrium is at least a $.743$-fraction of the welfare of the optimal mechanism assuming agents' values are independently distributed. The previous best bound was…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2018-03-20 Darrell Hoy , Sam Taggart , Zihe Wang

Well begun is half done. In the crowdfunding market, the early fundraising performance of the project is a concerned issue for both creators and platforms. However, estimating the early fundraising performance before the project published…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-17 Likang Wu , Zhi Li , Hongke Zhao , Zhen Pan , Qi Liu , Enhong Chen

In an A/B test, the typical objective is to measure the total average treatment effect (TATE), which measures the difference between the average outcome if all users were treated and the average outcome if all users were untreated. However,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-04-28 David Holtz , Sinan Aral

We consider nonparametric identification of independent private value first-price auction models, in which the analyst only observes winning bids. Our benchmark model assumes an exogenous number of bidders $N$. We show that, if the bidders…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-30 Emmanuel Guerre , Yao Luo

The Generalized Second Price (GSP) auction used typically to model sponsored search auctions does not include the notion of budget constraints, which is present in practice. Motivated by this, we introduce the different variants of GSP…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2013-09-27 Josep Diaz , Ioannis Giotis , Lefteris Kirousis , Evangelos Markakis , Maria Serna

We study a data marketplace where a broker intermediates between buyers, who seek to estimate the mean \(\mu\) of an unknown normal distribution \(\Ncal(\mu, \sigma^2)\), and contributors, who can collect data from this distribution at a…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-04-03 Keran Chen , Alex Clinton , Kirthevasan Kandasamy

We present an extensive analysis of the key problem of learning optimal reserve prices for generalized second price auctions. We describe two algorithms for this task: one based on density estimation, and a novel algorithm benefiting from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-06-10 Mehryar Mohri , Andres Munoz Medina

Linear Fisher market is one of the most fundamental economic models. The market is traditionally examined on the basis of individual's price-taking behavior. However, this assumption breaks in markets such as online advertising and…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2024-07-17 Juncheng Li , Pingzhong Tang