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相关论文: Understanding electricity prices beyond the merit …

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In order to deal with market power that sporadically results from contingencies (e.g., severe weather, plant outages) most electricity markets have institutions in charge of monitoring market performance and mitigating market power. The…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-03-07 Shi Pu , Alfredo Garcia

This paper proposes an agent-based model that combines both spot and balancing electricity markets. From this model, we develop a multi-agent simulation to study the integration of the consumers' flexibility into the system. Our study…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-02-13 Florian Kühnlenz , Pedro H. J. Nardelli , Santtu Karhinen , Rauli Svento

We present a novel approach to probabilistic electricity price forecasting which utilizes distributional neural networks. The model structure is based on a deep neural network that contains a so-called probability layer. The network's…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-29 Grzegorz Marcjasz , Michał Narajewski , Rafał Weron , Florian Ziel

Coordination of distributed energy resources is critical for electricity grid management. Although nodal pricing schemes can mitigate congestion and voltage deviations, the resulting prices are not necessarily equitable. In this work, we…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-12-15 Emmanuel Balogun , Sonia Martin , Anthony Degleris , Ram Rajagopal

As consumer flexibility becomes expected, it is important that the market mechanisms which attain that flexibility are perceived as fair. We set out fairness issues in energy markets today, and propose a market design to address them.…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-17 Shaun Sweeney , Chris King , Mark O'Malley , Robert Shorten

This study employs the Causal Machine Learning (CausalML) statistical method to analyze the influence of electricity pricing policies on carbon dioxide (CO2) levels in the household sector. Investigating the causality between potential…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-26 Iman Emtiazi Naeini , Zahra Saberi , Khadijeh Hassanzadeh

Electricity price forecasting (EPF) plays a critical role in power system operation and market decision making. While existing review studies have provided valuable insights into forecasting horizons, market mechanisms, and evaluation…

In wholesale electricity markets, prices fluctuate widely from hour to hour and electricity generators price-hedge their output using longer-term contracts, such as monthly base futures. Consequently, the incentives they face to drive up…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-05 Alice Lixuan Xu , Jorge Sánchez Canales , Chiara Fusar Bassini , Lynn H. Kaack , Lion Hirth

The flexible loads in power systems, such as interruptible and transferable loads, are critical flexibility resources for mitigating power imbalances. Despite their potential, accurate modeling of these loads is a challenging work and has…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-06 Mingji Chen , Shuai Lu , Wei Gu , Zhaoyang Dong , Yijun Xu , Jiayi Ding

To choose between two discrete goods, a consumer pays attention to only those with prices below a threshold. From these, she chooses her most preferred good. We assume consumers in a population have the same preference but may have…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-07 Kaushil Patel

The manufacturing industry is under growing pressure to enhance sustainability while preserving economic competitiveness. As a result, manufacturers have been trying to determine how to integrate onsite renewable energy and real-time…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-22 Hongliang Li , Herschel C. Pangborn , Ilya Kovalenko

The energy transition is expected to significantly increase the share of renewable energy sources whose production is intermittent in the electricity mix. Apart from key benefits, this development has the major drawback of generating a…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2023-01-30 Thibaut Théate , Antonio Sutera , Damien Ernst

To determine the welfare implications of price changes in demand data, we introduce a revealed preference relation over prices. We show that the absence of cycles in this relation characterizes a consumer who trades off the utility of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-07-03 Rahul Deb , Yuichi Kitamura , John K. -H. Quah , Jörg Stoye

When learning is used to inform decisions about humans, such as for loans, hiring, or admissions, this can incentivize users to strategically modify their features, at a cost, to obtain positive predictions. The common assumption is that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-15 Yonatan Sommer , Ivri Hikri , Lotan Amit , Nir Rosenfeld

Probabilistic price forecasting has recently gained attention in power trading because decisions based on such predictions can yield significantly higher profits than those made with point forecasts alone. At the same time, methods are…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-08-30 Weronika Nitka , Rafał Weron

Although electric vehicles (EVs) are a climate friendly alternative to internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs), EV adoption is challenged by higher up-front procurement prices. Existing discourse attributes this price differential to…

Trading on the day-ahead electricity markets requires accurate information about the realization of electricity prices and the uncertainty attached to the predictions. Deriving accurate forecasting models presents a difficult task due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-25 Hannes Hilger , Dirk Witthaut , Manuel Dahmen , Leonardo Rydin Gorjao , Julius Trebbien , Eike Cramer

Retailers and major consumers of electricity generally purchase an important percentage of their estimated electricity needs years ahead in the forward market. This long-term electricity procurement task consists of determining when to buy…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2022-06-06 Thibaut Théate , Sébastien Mathieu , Damien Ernst

Corporate renewable power purchase agreements (PPAs) are long-term contracts that enable companies to source renewable energy without having to develop and operate their own capacities. Typically, producers and consumers agree on a fixed…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-03-15 Roozbeh Qorbanian , Nils Löhndorf , David Wozabal

Intraday electricity markets play an increasingly important role in balancing the intermittent generation of renewable energy resources, which creates a need for accurate probabilistic price forecasts. However, research to date has focused…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-04-15 Simon Hirsch , Florian Ziel