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相关论文: The Empirical Reality of IT Project Cost Overruns:…

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Implementing large-scale information and communication technology (IT) projects carries large risks and easily might disrupt operations, waste taxpayers' money, and create negative publicity. Because of the high risks it is important that…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2013-06-04 Alexander Budzier , Bent Flyvbjerg

Out-of-control information technology (IT) projects have ended the careers of top managers, such as EADS CEO Noel Forgeard and Levi Strauss' CIO David Bergen. Moreover, IT projects have brought down whole companies, like Kmart in the US and…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2013-04-17 Bent Flyvbjerg , Alexander Budzier

Managing large-scale transportation infrastructure projects is difficult due to frequent misinformation about the costs which results in large cost overruns that often threaten the overall project viability. This paper investigates the…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2013-07-09 Chantal C. Cantarelli , Bent Flybjerg , Eric J. E. Molin , Bert van Wee

Power-law distributions are typical macroscopic features occurring in almost all complex systems observable in nature. As a result, researchers in quantitative analyses must often generate random synthetic variates obeying power-law…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-11-11 Filippo Radicchi

This study aims to assist Company leaders and management team in providing more accurate time and cost estimations for future software projects. This paper focuses on analyzing the relationship between project complexity and cost and time…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2022-03-02 Mahta Taghi Zadeh , Rasha Kashef

According to a study of The Standish Group International, 44% of software projects cost more and last longer than expected. More accurate the effort estimation is; the better the enterprise gets organized and the more the software project…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2015-09-03 S Laqrichi , Didier Gourc , François Marmier

Despite several scientific achievements in the last years, there are still a lot of IT projects that fail. Researchers found that one out of five IT-projects run out of time, budget or value. Major reasons for this failure are unexpected…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2013-01-24 Gilbert Fridgen , Julia Heidemann

Statistical distributions with heavy tails are ubiquitous in natural and social phenomena. Since the entries in heavy tail have disproportional significance, the knowledge of its exact shape is very important. Citations of scientific papers…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-06-05 Michael Golosovsky , Sorin Solomon

Power-law distributions occur in many situations of scientific interest and have significant consequences for our understanding of natural and man-made phenomena. Unfortunately, the detection and characterization of power laws is…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-12 Aaron Clauset , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , M. E. J. Newman

From biotechnology to cyber-risks, most extreme technological risks cannot be reliably estimated from historical statistics. Therefore, engineers resort to predictive methods, such as fault/event trees in the framework of probabilistic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-08-26 D. Sornette , T. Maillart , W. Kroeger

Risks and potential benefits of distributing software development projects globally depend to a large extent on how to allocate work to different development sites and regions. Existing methods in task allocation are likely to omit the…

The size distribution of planned and forced outages and following restoration times in power systems have been studied for almost two decades and has drawn great interest as they display heavy tails. Understanding of this phenomenon has…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-08-09 Bálint Hartmann , Shengfeng Deng , Géza Ódor , Jeffrey Kelling

This article presents results from the first statistically significant study of causes of cost escalation in transport infrastructure projects. The study is based on a sample of 258 rail, bridge, tunnel and road projects worth US$90…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2013-04-17 Bent Flyvbjerg , Mette K. Skamris Holm , Søren L. Buhl

Engineering projects are the result of the combined effort of their members. Yet, it has been documented that labor division withing projects is unevenly distributed: some project members are specialists undertaking only few tasks, whereas…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Sebastiano A. Piccolo , Giorgio Terracina

Inspired by reliability issues in electric transmission networks, we use a probabilistic approach to study the occurrence of large failures in a stylized cascading failure model. In this model, lines have random capacities that initially…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-14 F. Sloothaak , S. C. Borst , A. P. Zwart

Software development as done using modern methodologies and source control management systems, has been often established as an example of self-organization, with code growing and evolving organically, through activities that do not stem…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2019-05-28 Bartolomé Ortiz , J. J. Merelo-Guervós

Modeling distributions of citations to scientific papers is crucial for understanding how science develops. However, there is a considerable empirical controversy on which statistical model fits the citation distributions best. This paper…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2014-02-18 Michal Brzezinski

In this research, we investigate the impact of delegating decision making to information technology (IT) on an important human decision bias - the sunk cost effect. To address our research question, we use a unique and very rich dataset…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2012-04-04 Philipp N. Herrmann , Dennis O. Kundisch , Mohammad S. Rahman

This article presents results from the first statistically significant study of cost escalation in transportation infrastructure projects. Based on a sample of 258 transportation infrastructure projects worth US$90 billion and representing…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2013-03-27 Bent Flyvbjerg , Mette K. Skamris Holm , Søren L. Buhl

Technical debt is a metaphor used to convey the idea that doing things in a "quick and dirty" way when designing and constructing a software leads to a situation where one incurs more and more deferred future expenses. Similarly to…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2019-04-03 Alvine Boaye Belle
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