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We propose a detailed discrete-time model of COVID-19 epidemics coming in two flavours, mean-field and probabilistic. The main contribution lies in several extensions of the basic model that capture i) user mobility - distinguishing…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-09-14 M. Akian , L. Ganassali , S. Gaubert , L. Massoulié

Understanding where and when human mobility is associated with disease infection is crucial for implementing location-based health care policy and interventions. Previous studies on COVID-19 have revealed the correlation between human…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-09-29 Hoeyun Kwon , Kaitlyn Hom , Mark Rifkin , Beichen Tian , Caglar Koylu

Interaction-driven modeling of diseases over real-world contact data has been shown to promote the understanding of the spread of diseases in communities. This temporal modeling follows the path-preserving order and timing of the contacts,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-07-13 Yanir Marmor , Alex Abbey , Yuval Shahar , Osnat Mokryn

COVID-19 as a global pandemic causes a massive disruption to social stability that threatens human life and the economy. Policymakers and all elements of society must deliver measurable actions based on the pandemic's severity to minimize…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-06-12 Shuo Yu , Feng Xia , Yueru Wang , Shihao Li , Falih Febrinanto , Madhu Chetty

Link prediction in complex networks--identifying the missing or future connections--remains a cornerstone problem for understanding network evolution and function, yet existing methods struggle to balance computational efficiency with…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-11-25 Huilin Wang Wenjun Zhang Weibing Deng

Smartphone location-based methods have been proposed and implemented as an effective alternative to traditional labor intensive contact tracing methods. However, there are serious privacy and security concerns that may impede wide-spread…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2020-06-16 Ssu-Hsin Yu

Social distancing and stay-at-home are among the few measures that are known to be effective in checking the spread of a pandemic such as COVID-19 in a given population. The patterns of dependency between such measures and their effects on…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-19 Frank Nielsen , Gautier Marti , Sumanta Ray , Saumyadipta Pyne

Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions (NPIs), such as social gathering restrictions, have shown effectiveness to slow the transmission of COVID-19 by reducing the contact of people. To support policy-makers, multiple studies have first modeled…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-13 Yang Liu , Yu Rong , Zhuoning Guo , Nuo Chen , Tingyang Xu , Fugee Tsung , Jia Li

Passenger contact in public transit (PT) networks can be a key mediate in the spreading of infectious diseases. This paper proposes a time-varying weighted PT encounter network to model the spreading of infectious diseases through the PT…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-11-24 Baichuan Mo , Kairui Feng , Yu Shen , Clarence Tam , Daqing Li , Yafeng Yin , Jinhua Zhao

The spread of infectious diseases is often influenced by human mobility across different geographical regions. Although numerous studies have investigated how diseases like SARS and COVID-19 spread from China to various global locations,…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-05-22 Md. Arquam , Suchi Kumari , Utkarsh Tiwari , Mohammad Al-saffar

The outbreak of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) is unfolding as a major international crisis whose influence extends to every aspect of our daily lives. Effective testing allows infected individuals to be quarantined, thus reducing the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-28 Rahul Singh , Fang Liu , Ness B. Shroff

The global health threat from COVID-19 has been controlled in a number of instances by large-scale testing and contact tracing efforts. We created this document to suggest three functionalities on how we might best harness computing…

The spread of COVID-19 has been greatly impacted by regulatory policies and behavior patterns that vary across counties, states, and countries. Population-level dynamics of COVID-19 can generally be described using a set of ordinary…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-04-11 Joshua P. Keller , Tianjian Zhou , Andee Kaplan , G. Brooke Anderson , Wen Zhou

In this work, we examine a novel forecasting approach for COVID-19 case prediction that uses Graph Neural Networks and mobility data. In contrast to existing time series forecasting models, the proposed approach learns from a single…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-07-08 Amol Kapoor , Xue Ben , Luyang Liu , Bryan Perozzi , Matt Barnes , Martin Blais , Shawn O'Banion

The recent outbreak of COVID-19 has affected millions of individuals around the world and has posed a significant challenge to global healthcare. From the early days of the pandemic, it became clear that it is highly contagious and that…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-04-13 George Panagopoulos , Giannis Nikolentzos , Michalis Vazirgiannis

COVID-19 has disrupted the global economy and well-being of people at an unprecedented scale and magnitude. To contain the disease, an effective early warning system that predicts the locations of outbreaks is of crucial importance. Studies…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-10-27 Takahiro Yabe , Kota Tsubouchi , Satish V Ukkusuri

Previous research has shown mixed evidence on the associations between mobility data and COVID-19 case rates, analysis of which is complicated by differences between places on factors influencing both behavior and health outcomes. We aimed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-03-17 Joshua R. Nugent , Laura B. Balzer

With the outbreak of COVID-19 pandemic, a dire need to effectively identify the individuals who may have come in close-contact to others who have been infected with COVID-19 has risen. This process of identifying individuals, also termed as…

The COVID-19 pandemic left its unique mark on the 21st century as one of the most significant disasters in history, triggering governments all over the world to respond with a wide range of interventions. However, these restrictions come…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-06-02 Assem Zhunis , Tung-Duong Mai , Sundong Kim

Emerging infectious diseases are existential threats to human health and global stability. The recent outbreaks of the novel coronavirus COVID-19 have rapidly formed a global pandemic, causing hundreds of thousands of infections and huge…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-02 Chuansai Zhou , Wen Yuan , Jun Wang , Haiyong Xu , Yong Jiang , Xinmin Wang , Qiuzi Han Wen , Pingwen Zhang