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In this paper we analyze the effects of commuting and social inequalities for the epidemic development of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19). With this aim we consider a SEIRD (susceptible, exposed, infected, recovered and dead by disease)…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-08-18 João A. M. Gondim , Thiago Yukio Tanaka

The current COVID-19 pandemic highlights the utility of contact tracing, when combined with case isolation and social distancing, as an important tool for mitigating the spread of a disease [1]. Contact tracing provides a mechanism of…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2020-04-13 Jack K. Fitzsimons , Atul Mantri , Robert Pisarczyk , Tom Rainforth , Zhikuan Zhao

The possibility to analyze, quantify and forecast epidemic outbreaks is fundamental when devising effective disease containment strategies. Policy makers are faced with the intricate task of drafting realistically implementable policies…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-04-07 Antonio Lima , Veljko Pejovic , Luca Rossi , Mirco Musolesi , Marta Gonzalez

Mathematical models of SARS-CoV-2 spread are used for guiding the design of mitigation steps aimed at containing and decelerating the contagion, and at identifying impending breaches of health care system surge capacity. The challenges of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-17 Daniela Calvetti , Alexander Hoover , Johnie Rose , Erkki Somersalo

Modeling epidemic spread is critical for informing policy decisions aimed at mitigation. Accordingly, in this work we present a new data-driven method based on Gaussian process regression (GPR) to model epidemic spread through the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-23 Baike She , Lei Xin , Philip E. Paré , Matthew Hale

Digital contact tracing aims to curb epidemics by identifying and mitigating public health emergencies through technology. Backward contact tracing, which tracks the sources of infection, proved crucial in places like Japan for identifying…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-01-13 Chee Wei Tan , Pei-Duo Yu , Siya Chen , H. Vincent Poor

This document describes and analyzes a system for secure and privacy-preserving proximity tracing at large scale. This system, referred to as DP3T, provides a technological foundation to help slow the spread of SARS-CoV-2 by simplifying and…

As infected and vaccinated population increases, some countries decided not to impose non-pharmaceutical intervention measures anymore and to coexist with COVID-19. However, we do not have a comprehensive understanding of its consequence ,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-07-19 Chen Zhao , Jialu Zhang , Xiaoyue Hou , Chi Ho Yeung , An Zeng

Mobility data at EU scale can help understand the dynamics of the pandemic and possibly limit the impact of future waves. Still, since a reliable and consistent method to measure the evolution of contagion at international level is missing,…

The COVID-19 outbreak has posed significant threats to international health and the economy. In the absence of treatment for this virus, public health officials asked the public to practice social distancing to reduce the number of physical…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-06-11 Mackenzie Anderson , Amir Karami , Parisa Bozorgi

We propose a robust in-time predictor for in-hospital COVID-19 patient's probability of requiring mechanical ventilation. A challenge in the risk prediction for COVID-19 patients lies in the great variability and irregular sampling of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-03 Kai Zhang , Siddharth Karanth , Bela Patel , Robert Murphy , Xiaoqian Jiang

Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) which is caused by SARS-COV2 has become a pandemic. This disease is highly infectious and potentially fatal, causing a global public health concern. To contain the spread of COVID-19, governments are adopting…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-06-22 Sayantari Ghosh , Saumik Bhattacharya

Within the complex framework of anti-COVID-19 health management, where the criteria of diagnostic testing, the availability of public-health resources and services, and the applied anti-COVID-19 policies vary between countries, the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-05-05 Konstantinos Demertzis , Dimitrios Tsiotas , Lykourgos Magafas

Non-pharmacologic interventions (NPIs) are one method to mitigate the spread and effects of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. NPIs promote protective actions to reduce exposure risk and can reduce mobility patterns within…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-07-16 Natalie Coleman , Xinyu Gao , Jared DeLeon , Ali Mostafavi

Neural message passing algorithms for semi-supervised classification on graphs have recently achieved great success. However, for classifying a node these methods only consider nodes that are a few propagation steps away and the size of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-06 Johannes Gasteiger , Aleksandar Bojchevski , Stephan Günnemann

An intrinsic challenge of person re-identification (re-ID) is the annotation difficulty. This typically means 1) few training samples per identity, and 2) thus the lack of diversity among the training samples. Consequently, we face high…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-11-20 Fuqing Zhu , Xiangwei Kong , Haiyan Fu , Qi Tian

Understanding influencing factors is essential for the surveillance and prevention of infectious diseases, and the factors are likely to vary spatially and temporally as the disease progresses. Taking daily cases and deaths data during the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-04-28 Lu Ling , Xinwu Qian , Satish V. Ukkusuri , Shuocheng Guo

We propose a mathematical model for the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 in a homogeneously mixing non constant population, and generalize it to a model where the parameters are given by piecewise constant functions. This allows us to…

Human to human transmissible infectious diseases spread in a population using human interactions as its transmission vector. The early stages of such an outbreak can be modeled by a graph whose edges encode these interactions between…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-11 Goncalo Oliveira

COVID-19 remains a challenging global threat with ongoing waves of infections and clinical disease which have resulted millions of deaths and an enormous strain on health systems worldwide. Effective vaccines have been developed for the…

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