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We introduce a numerically tractable formulation of Bayesian joint models for longitudinal and survival data. The longitudinal process is modelled using generalised linear mixed models, while the survival process is modelled using a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-23 Danilo Alvares , Francisco Javier Rubio

This paper addresses challenges in flexibly modeling multimodal data that lie on constrained spaces. Such data are commonly found in spatial applications, such as climatology and criminology, where measurements are restricted to a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-12-03 Putu Ayu Sudyanti , Vinayak Rao

This paper introduces the modeling of circular data with excess zeros under a longitudinal framework, where the response is a circular variable and the covariates can be both linear and circular in nature. In the literature, various…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-21 Prajamitra Bhuyan , Soutik Halder , Jayant Jha

Tolerance intervals provide bounds that contain a specified proportion of a population with a given confidence level, yet their construction remains challenging when parametric assumptions fail or sample sizes are small. Traditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-12 Tony Pourmohamad , Robert Richardson , Bruno Sansó

When constructing a Bayesian Machine Learning model, we might be faced with multiple different prior distributions and thus are required to properly consider them in a sensible manner in our model. While this situation is reasonably well…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-20 Sarem Seitz

Bayesian clustering methods have the widely touted advantage of providing a probabilistic characterization of uncertainty in clustering through the posterior distribution. An amazing variety of priors and likelihoods have been proposed for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Garritt L. Page , Andrés F. Barrientos , David B. Dahl , David B. Dunson

Until recently, uncertainty quantification in low energy nuclear theory was typically performed using frequentist approaches. However in the last few years, the field has shifted toward Bayesian statistics for evaluating confidence…

核理论 · 物理学 2019-07-24 G. B. King , A. E. Lovell , L. Neufcourt , F. M. Nunes

Bayesian sample size calculations in clinical trials usually rely on complex Monte Carlo simulations in practice. Obtaining bounds on Bayesian notions of the false-positive rate and power often lack closed-form or approximate numerical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Riko Kelter

This work considers Bayesian experimental design for the inverse boundary value problem of linear elasticity in a two-dimensional setting. The aim is to optimize the positions of compactly supported pressure activations on the boundary of…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-09-06 Sarah Eberle-Blick , Nuutti Hyvönen

In Bayesian classification, it is important to establish a probabilistic model for each class for likelihood estimation. Most of the previous methods modeled the probability distribution in the whole sample space. However, real-world…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-12-14 Chengsheng Mao , Lijuan Lu , Bin Hu

Bi-clustering is a useful approach in analyzing biological data when observations come from heterogeneous groups and have a large number of features. We outline a general Bayesian approach in tackling bi-clustering problems in moderate to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-02-11 Han Yan , Jiexing Wu , Yang Li , Jun S. Liu

Bayesian Model Calibration is used to revisit the problem of scaling factor calibration for semi-empirical correction of ab initio calculations. A particular attention is devoted to uncertainty evaluation for scaling factors, and to their…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-01-12 Pascal Pernot

This paper investigates interval estimation for a measurand that is known to be positive. Both the Neyman and Bayesian procedures are considered and the difference between the two, not always perceived, is discussed in detail. A solution is…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-18 Giovanni Mana , CArlo Palmisano

Huelsenbeck and Rannala (2004, Systematic Biology 53, 904-913) presented a series of simulations in order to assess the extent to which the bayesian posterior probabilities associated with phylogenetic trees represent the standard…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2010-01-21 David A. Morrison

We propose a robust Bayesian method for economic models that can be rejected by some data distributions. The econometrician starts with a refutable structural assumption which can be written as the intersection of several assumptions. To…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-18 Moyu Liao

This paper offers a comprehensive introduction to Bayesian inference, combining historical context, theoretical foundations, and core analytical examples. Beginning with Bayes' theorem and the philosophical distinctions between Bayesian and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-08 Juan Sosa , Carlos A. Martínez , Danna Cruz

Practical employment of Bayesian trial designs is still rare. Even if accepted in principle, the regulators have commonly required that such designs be calibrated according to an upper bound for the frequentist type I error rate. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-25 Elja Arjas , Dario Gasbarra

Unblinded sample size re-estimation (SSR) is often planned in a clinical trial when there is large uncertainty about the true treatment effect. For Proof-of Concept (PoC) in a Phase II dose finding study, contrast test can be adopted to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-11 Qingyang Liu , Guanyu Hu , Binqi Ye , Susan Wang , Yaoshi Wu

Approximate Bayesian computation allows for statistical analysis in models with intractable likelihoods. In this paper we consider the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution obtained by this method. We give general results on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-09 David T. Frazier , Gael M. Martin , Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau

We propose a cautious Bayesian variable selection routine by investigating the sensitivity of a hierarchical model, where the regression coefficients are specified by spike and slab priors. We exploit the use of latent variables to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-20 Tathagata Basu , Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Jochen Einbeck