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For environmental problems such as global warming future costs must be balanced against present costs. This is traditionally done using an exponential function with a constant discount rate, which reduces the present value of future costs.…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2013-11-19 Jaume Masoliver , Miquel Montero , Josep Perelló , John Geanakoplos , J. Doyne Farmer

People often face trade-offs between costs and benefits occurring at various points in time. The predominant discounting approach is to use the exponential form. Central to this approach is the discount rate, a unique parameter that…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-08-13 Bach Dong-Xuan , Philippe Bich

High future discounting rates favor inaction on present expending while lower rates advise for a more immediate political action. A possible approach to this key issue in global economy is to take historical time series for nominal interest…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2020-05-07 Josep Perelló , Miquel Montero , Jaume Masoliver , J. Doyne Farmer , John Geanakoplos

The valuation process that economic agents undergo for investments with uncertain payoff typically depends on their statistical views on possible future outcomes, their attitudes toward risk, and, of course, the payoff structure itself.…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2010-01-11 Constantinos Kardaras

Discount is the difference between the face value of a bond and its present value. I propose an arbitrage-free dynamic framework for discount models, which provides an alternative to the Heath--Jarrow--Morton framework for forward rates. I…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-07-28 Damir Filipovic

We show that different rates should be used for borrowing and discount rates, and that the risk-free rate should be used for discounting when assessing and comparing the cost of energy accross diffferent producers and technologies, on the…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2013-07-23 Sergei Manzhos

We present a thorough empirical study on real interest rates by also including risk aversion through the introduction of the market price of risk. With the view of complex systems science and its multidisciplinary approach, we use the…

In this paper, we introduce a model that adds a non-linearity to discounting: the discounting factor may depend on the notional (i.e., discounted values are no longer linear in the notional). In the first part of the paper, we provide a…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-10-26 Christian P. Fries

Climate change is widely expected to increase weather related damage and the insurance claims that result from it. This will increase insurance premiums, in a way that is independent of a customer's contribution to the causes of climate…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-04-26 Anthony J. Webster , Richard H. Clarke

In a continuous time stochastic economy, this paper considers the problem of consumption and investment in a financial market in which the representative investor exhibits a change in the discount rate. The investment opportunities are a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2011-07-12 Traian A. Pirvu , Huayue Zhang

Global warming may induce in Western Europe an increase in storms. Hence the forest managers will have to take into account the risk increase. We study the impact of storm risk at the stand level. From the analytical expressions of the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2013-12-03 Patrice Loisel

We demonstrate a limitation of discounted expected utility, a standard approach for representing the preference to risk when future cost is discounted. Specifically, we provide an example of the preference of a decision maker that appears…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2012-02-20 Takayuki Osogami

We provide a unifying way to analyze how risk aversion changes bidding in auctions by asking which bids become more attractive as bidders become more risk averse. In first-price auctions, under two payoff conditions--winning is never worse…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-11 Marilyn Pease , Mark Whitmeyer

Transition risk can be defined as the business-risk related to the enactment of green policies, aimed at driving the society towards a sustainable and low-carbon economy. In particular, the value of certain firms' assets can be lower…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2023-03-23 Giulia Livieri , Davide Radi , Elia Smaniotto

An important question in economics is how people choose between different payments in the future. The classical normative model predicts that a decision maker discounts a later payment relative to an earlier one by an exponential function…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2020-01-09 Alexander T. I. Adamou , Yonatan Berman , Diomides P. Mavroyiannis , Ole B. Peters

The climate change dispute is about changes over time of environmental characteristics (such as rainfall). Some people say that a possible change is not so much in the mean but rather in the extreme phenomena (that is, the average rainfall…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-16 Laurens de Haan , Albert Klein Tank , Cláudia Neves

Natural disasters, such as tornadoes, floods, and wildfire pose risks to life and property, requiring the intervention of insurance corporations. One of the most visible consequences of changing climate is an increase in the intensity and…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-08-11 Thilini V. Mahanama , Abootaleb Shirvani

This paper considers the problem of consumption and investment in a financial market within a continuous time stochastic economy. The investor exhibits a change in the discount rate. The investment opportunities are a stock and a riskless…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2013-03-07 Traian Pirvu , Huayue Zhang

Climate adaptation could yield significant benefits. However, the uncertainty of which future climate scenarios will occur decreases the feasibility of proactively adapting. Climate adaptation projects could be underwritten by benefits paid…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2022-07-06 John Nay

We prove an analogue of Weitzman's (1998) famous result that an exponential discounter who is uncertain of the appropriate exponential discount rate should discount the far-distant future using the lowest (i.e., most patient) of the…

经济学 · 定量金融 2017-02-07 Nina Anchugina , Matthew Ryan , Arkadii Slinko
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