Hyperbolic Discounting of the Far-Distant Future
Economics
2017-02-07 v1
Abstract
We prove an analogue of Weitzman's (1998) famous result that an exponential discounter who is uncertain of the appropriate exponential discount rate should discount the far-distant future using the lowest (i.e., most patient) of the possible discount rates. Our analogous result applies to a hyperbolic discounter who is uncertain about the appropriate hyperbolic discount rate. In this case, the far-distant future should be discounted using the probability-weighted harmonic mean of the possible hyperbolic discount rates.
Cite
@article{arxiv.1702.01362,
title = {Hyperbolic Discounting of the Far-Distant Future},
author = {Nina Anchugina and Matthew Ryan and Arkadii Slinko},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1702.01362},
year = {2017}
}
Comments
8 pages, 2 figures