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We consider a generic class of stochastic particle-based models whose state at an instant in time is described by a set of continuous degrees of freedom (e.g. positions), and the length of this set changes stochastically in time due to…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-09-03 Samuel Cameron , Elsen Tjhung

In this paper, a data-driven nonparametric approach is presented for forecasting the probability density evolution of stochastic dynamical systems. The method is based on stochastic Koopman operator and extended dynamic mode decomposition…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-10-12 Meng Zhao , Lijian Jiang

Conformal prediction (CP) provides powerful, distribution-free prediction sets, but its guarantees rely on the exchangeability of training and test data, which is often violated in practice due to covariate shifts. While weighted conformal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 James Wang , Surbhi Goel

We propose a neuralized undirected graphical model called Neural-Hidden-CRF to solve the weakly-supervised sequence labeling problem. Under the umbrella of probabilistic undirected graph theory, the proposed Neural-Hidden-CRF embedded with…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-10-02 Zhijun Chen , Hailong Sun , Wanhao Zhang , Chunyi Xu , Qianren Mao , Pengpeng Chen

A powerful approach for understanding neural population dynamics is to extract low-dimensional trajectories from population recordings using dimensionality reduction methods. Current approaches for dimensionality reduction on neural data…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-11-07 Marcel Nonnenmacher , Srinivas C. Turaga , Jakob H. Macke

Fr\'echet regression has emerged as a promising approach for regression analysis involving non-Euclidean response variables. However, its practical applicability has been hindered by its reliance on ideal scenarios with abundant and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-26 Kyunghee Han , Dogyoon Song

Modern recording techniques enable neuroscientists to simultaneously study neural activity across large populations of neurons, with capturing predictor-dependent correlations being a fundamental challenge in neuroscience. Moreover, the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-04 Ganchao Wei

Previous studies showed that hydro-climate processes are stochastic and complex systems, and it is difficult to discover the hidden patterns in the all non-stationary data and thoroughly understand the hydro-climate relationships. For the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-10-02 Jianhua Xu

Fixation probabilities are essential for characterizing stochastic evolutionary dynamics, but analytical results remain limited mainly to systems with two competing types. We develop a perturbative framework to compute fixation…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-04-15 Ian Braga , Lucas Wardil , Ricardo Martinez-Garcia

We consider the problem of estimating the roughness of the volatility process in a stochastic volatility model that arises as a nonlinear function of fractional Brownian motion with drift. To this end, we introduce a new estimator that…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2026-04-17 Xiyue Han , Alexander Schied

We propose a suitable analytical framework to perform numerical analysis of problems arising in compressible fluid models with uncertain data. We discuss both weak and strong stochastic approach, where the former is based on the knowledge…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2022-08-24 Eduard Feireisl

Low-fidelity analytical models of turbine wakes have traditionally been used for wind farm planning, performance evaluation, and demonstrating the utility of advanced control algorithms in increasing the annual energy production. In…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2022-08-26 Aditya H. Bhatt , Federico Bernardoni , Stefano Leonardi , Armin Zare

One of the most important problems in regression-based error model is modeling the complex representation error caused by various corruptions and environment changes in images. For example, in robust face recognition, images are often…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-09-24 Miaohua Zhang , Yongsheng Gao , Jun Zhou

We develop an efficient sampling approach for handling complex missing data patterns and a large number of missing observations in conditionally Gaussian state space models. Two important examples are dynamic factor models with unbalanced…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-02-08 Joshua C. C. Chan , Aubrey Poon , Dan Zhu

Stochastic dynamics on sparse graphs and disordered systems often lead to complex behaviors characterized by heterogeneity in time and spatial scales, slow relaxation, localization, and aging phenomena. The mathematical tools and…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2025-06-05 Mattia Tarabolo , Luca Dall'Asta

The integration of various power sources, including renewables and electric vehicles, into smart grids is expanding, introducing uncertainties that can result in issues like voltage imbalances, load fluctuations, and power losses. These…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-03-26 Qi Li , Ye Shi , Yuning Jiang , Yuanming Shi , Haoyu Wang , H. Vincent Poor

Since the weak convergence for stochastic processes does not account for the growth of information over time which is represented by the underlying filtration, a slightly erroneous stochastic model in weak topology may cause huge loss in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-27 Jiajie Tao , Hao Ni , Chong Liu

We propose a novel non-parametric learning paradigm for the identification of drift and diffusion coefficients of multi-dimensional non-linear stochastic differential equations, which relies upon discrete-time observations of the state. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-11 Riccardo Bonalli , Alessandro Rudi

The inclusion of convection in stellar evolution models lacks realism, especially near convective-radiative interfaces. Furthermore, the interaction of convection with oscillations prevent us from accurately predicting seismic frequencies,…

太阳与恒星天体物理 · 物理学 2025-10-31 J. Philidet , K. Belkacem

Stochastic interacting particle systems are widely used to model collective phenomena across diverse fields, including statistical physics, biology, and social dynamics. The McKean-Vlasov equation arises as the mean-field limit of such…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-09-17 Zhiqiang Cai , Chengyu Liu , Xiang Zhou