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In this paper we consider a method of solving optimal stopping problems in discrete and continuous time based on their dual representation. A novel and generic simulation-based optimization algorithm not involving nested simulations is…

概率论 · 数学 2013-09-10 Denis Belomestny

Cowan and Zabczyk (1978) introduced a continuous-time generalisation of the secretary problem, where offers arrive at epochs of a homogeneous Poisson process. We expand their work to encompass the last-success problem under the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-19 Zakaria Derbazi

A Poisson Binomial distribution over $n$ variables is the distribution of the sum of $n$ independent Bernoullis. We provide a sample near-optimal algorithm for testing whether a distribution $P$ supported on $\{0,...,n\}$ to which we have…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2014-10-15 Jayadev Acharya , Constantinos Daskalakis

We propose and analyze a continuous-time robust reinforcement learning framework for optimal stopping under ambiguity. In this framework, an agent chooses a robust exploratory stopping time motivated by two objectives: robust…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-17 Junyan Ye , Hoi Ying Wong , Kyunghyun Park

We consider a discounted infinite horizon optimal stopping problem. If the underlying distribution is known a priori, the solution of this problem is obtained via dynamic programming (DP) and is given by a well known threshold rule. When…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-23 Daniel Russo , Assaf Zeevi , Tianyi Zhang

The problem of stopping a Brownian bridge with an unknown pinning point to maximise the expected value at the stopping time is studied. A few general properties, such as continuity and various bounds of the value function, are established.…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-17 Erik Ekström , Juozas Vaicenavicius

Consider the problem of multinomial estimation. You are given an alphabet of k distinct symbols and are told that the i-th symbol occurred exactly n_i times in the past. On the basis of this information alone, you must now estimate the…

cmp-lg · 计算机科学 2008-02-03 Eric Sven Ristad

Consider the problem on sequential change-point detection on multiple data streams. We provide the asymptotic lower bounds of the detection delays at all levels of change-point sparsity and we derive a smaller asymptotic lower bound of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-02 Jingyan Huang

We consider the Chance Constrained Model Predictive Control problem for polynomial systems subject to disturbances. In this problem, we aim at finding optimal control input for given disturbed dynamical system to minimize a given cost…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-05-04 Ashkan Jasour , Constantino Lagoa

In this paper we develop a stochastic heavy ball method for solving ill-posed inverse problems. The method updates the iterate using only a randomly selected equation at each iteration step while incorporating a momentum term into the…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-14 Ruixue Gu , Qinian Jin

We consider a singular control problem that aims to maximize the expected cumulative rewards, where the instantaneous returns depend on the state of a controlled process. The contributions of this paper are twofold. Firstly, to establish…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-06-23 Mauricio Junca , Harold Moreno-Franco , Jose Luis Perez

We extend the Longstaff-Schwartz algorithm for approximately solving optimal stopping problems on high-dimensional state spaces. We reformulate the optimal stopping problem for Markov processes in discrete time as a generalized statistical…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Daniel Egloff

Inspired by recent work of P.-L. Lions on conditional optimal control, we introduce a problem of optimal stopping under bounded rationality: the objective is the expected payoff at the time of stopping, conditioned on another event. For…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-10-15 Marcel Nutz , Yuchong Zhang

We consider an optimal switching problem with random lag and possibility of component failure. The random lag is modeled by letting the operation mode follow a regime switching Markov-model with transition intensities that depend on the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-08-22 Magnus Perninge

General Probabilistic Theories provide the most general mathematical framework for the theory of probability in an operationally natural manner, and generalize classical and quantum theories. In this article, we study state-discrimination…

量子物理 · 物理学 2010-09-15 Koji Nuida , Gen Kimura , Takayuki Miyadera

We study optimal double stopping problems driven by a Brownian bridge. The objective is to maximize the expected spread between the payoffs achieved at the two stopping times. We study several cases where the solutions can be solved…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-12-10 Erik J. Baurdoux , Nan Chen , Budhi A. Surya , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

A current challenge for many Bayesian analyses is determining when to terminate high-dimensional Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations. To this end, we propose using an automated sequential stopping procedure that terminates the simulation…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-03-24 Lei Gong , James M. Flegal

We address an optimal stopping problem over the set of Bermudan-type strategies $\Theta$ (which we understand in a more general sense than the stopping strategies for Bermudan options in finance) and with non-linear operators (non-linear…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-01-27 Miryana Grigorova , Marie-Claire Quenez , Peng Yuan

We study an optimal stopping problem under non-exponential discounting, where the state process is a multi-dimensional continuous strong Markov process. The discount function is taken to be log sub-additive, capturing decreasing impatience…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-14 Yu-Jui Huang , Zhenhua Wang

The sequential multiple testing problem is considered under two generalized error metrics. Under the first one, the probability of at least $k$ mistakes, of any kind, is controlled. Under the second, the probabilities of at least $k_1$…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-18 Yanglei Song , Georgios Fellouris