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The presence of latent variables can greatly complicate inferences about causal relations between measured variables from statistical data. In many cases, the presence of latent variables makes it impossible to determine for two measured…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-03-26 Peter L. Spirtes

When extending inferences from a randomized trial to a new target population, the transportability condition for conditional difference effect measures is invoked to identify the marginal causal mean difference in the target population.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-18 Guanbo Wang , Alexander Levis , Jon Steingrimsson , Issa Dahabreh

Inferring causal effects of treatments is a central goal in many disciplines. The potential outcomes framework is a main statistical approach to causal inference, in which a causal effect is defined as a comparison of the potential outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-04 Peng Ding , Fan Li

Hypothesis testing results often rely on simple, yet important assumptions about the behaviour of the distribution of p-values under the null and the alternative. We examine tests for one dimensional parameters of interest that converge to…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-08-06 Yanbo Tang , Radu Craiu , Lei Sun

Many methods of estimating causal models do not provide estimates of confidence in the resulting model. In this work, a metric is proposed for validating the output of a causal model fit; the robustness of the model structure with resampled…

This paper considers an empirical likelihood inference for parameters defined by general estimating equations, when data are missing at random. The efficiency of existing estimators depends critically on correctly specifying the conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-06 Tianqing Liu , Xiaohui Yuan , Zhaohai Li , Aiyi Liu

In this paper, we focus on testing multivariate normality using the BHEP test with data that are missing completely at random. Our objective is twofold: first, to gain insight into the asymptotic behavior of BHEP test statistics under two…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-11 Danijel Aleksić , Bojana Milošević

This paper studies the construction of p-values for nonparametric outlier detection, taking a multiple-testing perspective. The goal is to test whether new independent samples belong to the same distribution as a reference data set or are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 Stephen Bates , Emmanuel Candès , Lihua Lei , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia

Traditional meta-analysis assumes that the effect sizes estimated in individual studies follow a Gaussian distribution. However, this distributional assumption is not always satisfied in practice, leading to potentially biased results. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-23 Wei Liang , Haicheng Huang , Hongsheng Dai , Yinghui Wei

Marginal expected shortfall is unquestionably one of the most popular systemic risk measures. Studying its extreme behaviour is particularly relevant for risk protection against severe global financial market downturns. In this context,…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-18 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli , Matteo Schiavone

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) are pivotal in generating internally valid estimates with minimal assumptions, serving as a cornerstone for researchers dedicated to advancing causal inference methods. However, extending these findings…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-28 Melody Y Huang , Harsh Parikh

This paper discusses the statistical inference problem associated with testing for dependence between two continuous random variables using Kendall's $\tau$ in the context of the missing data problem. We prove the worst-case identified set…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-25 Oliver R. Cutbill , Rami V. Tabri

Methods that address data shifts usually assume full access to multiple datasets. In the healthcare domain, however, privacy-preserving regulations as well as commercial interests limit data availability and, as a result, researchers can…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-05-03 Tal El-Hay , Chen Yanover

Many proposals for the identification of causal effects require an instrumental variable that satisfies strong, untestable unconfoundedness and exclusion restriction assumptions. In this paper, we show how one can potentially identify…

We study causal inference under case-control and case-population sampling. Specifically, we focus on the binary-outcome and binary-treatment case, where the parameters of interest are causal relative and attributable risks defined via the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-24 Sung Jae Jun , Sokbae Lee

The exponential random graph (ERGM) model is a commonly used statistical framework for studying the determinants of tie formations from social network data. To test scientific theories under the ERGM framework, statistical inferential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-01 Joris Mulder , Nial Friel , Philip Leifeld

Externally controlled trials are crucial in clinical development when randomized controlled trials are unethical or impractical. These trials consist of a full treatment arm with the experimental treatment and a full external control arm.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-11 Chenyin Gao , Xiang Zhang , Shu Yang

We discuss recently developed methods that quantify the stability and generalizability of statistical findings under distributional changes. In many practical problems, the data is not drawn i.i.d. from the target population. For example,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-05 Dominik Rothenhäusler , Peter Bühlmann

Non-probability samples become increasingly popular in survey statistics but may suffer from selection biases that limit the generalizability of results to the target population. We consider integrating a non-probability sample with a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-26 Shu Yang , Jae Kwang Kim , Rui Song

A crucial input into causal inference is the imputed counterfactual outcome. Imputation error can arise because of sampling uncertainty from estimating the prediction model using the untreated observations, or from out-of-sample information…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-20 Silvia Goncalves , Serena Ng
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