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We develop a framework to track the structure of temporal networks with a signal processing approach. The method is based on the duality between networks and signals using a multidimensional scaling technique. This enables a study of the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-05-13 Ronan Hamon , Pierre Borgnat , Patrick Flandrin , Céline Robardet

We consider structural credit modeling in the important special case where the log-leverage ratio of the firm is a time-changed Brownian motion (TCBM) with the time-change taken to be an independent increasing process. Following the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-02-14 T. R. Hurd , Zhuowei Zhou

The symbiotic branching model is a spatial population model describing the dynamics of two interacting types that can only branch if both types are present. A classical result for the underlying stochastic partial differential equation…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-23 Matthias Hammer , Marcel Ortgiese , Florian Völlering

We propose a new statistical test to identify non-stationary frequency-modulated stochastic processes from time series data. Our method uses the instantaneous phase as a discriminatory statistics with reliable critical values derived from…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2022-08-08 Adrian L. Hauber , Christian Sigloch , Jens Timmer

For $0<\alpha \leq 2$ and $0<H<1$, an $\alpha$-time fractional Brownian motion is an iterated process $Z = \{Z(t)=W(Y(t)), t \ge 0\}$ obtained by taking a fractional Brownian motion $\{W(t), t\in \RR{R} \}$ with Hurst index $0<H<1$ and…

概率论 · 数学 2011-02-11 Erkan Nane , Dongsheng Wu , Yimin Xiao

To model a given time series $F(t)$ with fractal Brownian motions (fBms), it is necessary to have appropriate error assessment for related quantities. Usually the fractal dimension $D$ is derived from the Hurst exponent $H$ via the relation…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-06-17 Bingqiang Qiao , Siming Liu

Functional data analysis, which models data as realizations of random functions over a continuum, has emerged as a useful tool for time series data. Often, the goal is to infer the dynamic connections (or time-varying conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-10 Chunshan Liu , Daniel R. Kowal , James Doss-Gollin , Marina Vannucci

This paper deals with the identification of the multivariate fractional Brownian motion, a recently developed extension of the fractional Brownian motion to the multivariate case. This process is a $p$-multivariate self-similar Gaussian…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-11-16 Pierre-Olivier Amblard , Jean-François Coeurjolly

We present a numerical scheme for simulating the dynamics of Brownian particles suspended in a fluid. The motion of the particles is tracked by the Langevin equation, whereas the host fluid flow is analyzed by using the lattice Boltzmann…

介观与纳米尺度物理 · 物理学 2019-10-30 Hiroaki Yoshida , Tomoyuki Kinjo , Hitoshi Washizu

Cointegration is an important concept in the analysis of non-stationary time-series, giving conditions under which a collection of non-stationary processes has an underlying stationary (cointegration) relationship. In this paper we present…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-11-05 Thomas Furmston , Stephen Hailes , A. Jennifer Morton

Volatility of intra-day stock market indices computed at various time horizons exhibits a scaling behaviour that differs from what would be expected from fractional Brownian motion (fBm). We investigate this anomalous scaling by using…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2016-02-17 Noemi Nava , T. Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

Modelling and understanding directional gene networks is a major challenge in biology as they play an important role in the architecture and function of genetic systems. Copula Directional Dependence (CDD) can measure the directed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-11 Vasiliki Vamvaka , Clara Grazian

In the context of time-subordinated Brownian motion models, Fourier theory and methodology are proposed to modelling the stochastic distribution of time increments. Gaussian Variance-Mean mixtures and time-subordinated models are reviewed…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-10-21 Rohan Shenoy , Peter Kempthorne

This study employs scientific machine learning to identify transient time series of dynamical systems near a fold bifurcation of periodic solutions. The unique aspect of this work is that a convolutional neural network (CNN) is trained with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-31 Giuseppe Habib , Ádám Horváth

We apply the macroscopic fluctuation theory (MFT) to study the large-scale dynamical properties of Brownian particles with arbitrary pairwise interaction. By combining it with standard results of equilibrium statistical mechanics for the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-05-19 Aurélien Grabsch , Davide Venturelli , Olivier Bénichou

Bicoherence analysis is a well established method for identifying the quadratic nonlinearity of stationary processes. However, it is often applied without checking the basic assumptions of stationarity and convergence. The classic…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-11-08 Peter Zsolt Poloskei , Gergely Papp , Gabor Por , Laszlo Horvath , Gergo I. Pokol

Observation of the fine structures (anisotropies, polarization, spectral distortions) of the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) is hampered by instabilities, 1/f noise and asymmetries of the radiometers used to carry on the measurements.…

Observing finite regions of a bigger system is a common experience, from microscopy to molecular simulations. In the latter especially, there is ongoing interest in predicting thermodynamic properties from tracking fluctuations in finite…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2023-02-08 Thê Hoang Ngoc Minh , Benjamin Rotenberg , Sophie Marbach

A multivariate fractional Brownian motion (mfBm) with component-wise Hurst exponents is used to model and forecast realized volatility. We investigate the interplay between correlation coefficients and Hurst exponents and propose a novel…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-04-23 Markus Bibinger , Jun Yu , Chen Zhang

We propose a new class of univariate nonstationary time series models, using the framework of modulated time series, which is appropriate for the analysis of rapidly-evolving time series as well as time series observations with missing…