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Probabilistic regression models the entire predictive distribution of a response variable, offering richer insights than classical point estimates and directly allowing for uncertainty quantification. While diffusion-based generative models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-07 Carlo Kneissl , Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

Many machine learning tools for regression are based on recursive partitioning of the covariate space into smaller regions, where the regression function can be estimated locally. Among these, regression trees and their ensembles have…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-30 Stephanie van der Pas , Veronika Rockova

Multivariate spatial fields are of interest in many applications, including climate model emulation. Not only can the marginal spatial fields be subject to nonstationarity, but the dependence structure among the marginal fields and between…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-21 Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

Analyzing data collected from multiple sources to estimate common and heterogeneous structures through a hierarchical model is a central task in Bayesian inference, and to this end, Bayesian factor models are one of the most widely used…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-04 Naoki Awaya , Keisuke Sasaki , Genya Kobayashi , Shonosuke Sugasawa

Decision trees are widely used for classification and regression tasks in a variety of application fields due to their interpretability and good accuracy. During the past decade, growing attention has been devoted to globally optimized…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-28 Antonio Consolo , Edoardo Amaldi , Andrea Manno

Univariate and multivariate normal probability distributions are widely used when modeling decisions under uncertainty. Computing the performance of such models requires integrating these distributions over specific domains, which can vary…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-31 Abhranil Das , Wilson S Geisler

We reexamine the classical linear regression model when the model is subject to two types of uncertainty: (i) some of covariates are either missing or completely inaccessible, and (ii) the variance of the measurement error is undetermined…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-08-05 Shuzhen Yang , Jianfeng Yao

The univariate distorted distribution were introduced in risk theory to represent changes (distortions) in the expected distributions of some risks. Later they were also applied to represent distributions of order statistics, coherent…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-28 Jorge Navarro , Camilla Calì , Maria Longobardi , Fabrizio Durante

Probabilistic modeling is cyclical: we specify a model, infer its posterior, and evaluate its performance. Evaluation drives the cycle, as we revise our model based on how it performs. This requires a metric. Traditionally, predictive…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-05-25 Alp Kucukelbir , David M. Blei

Spherical regression, in which both covariates and responses lie on the sphere, arises in many scientific applications and has attracted considerable methodological attention in recent years. Despite this progress, constructing flexible and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Tin Lok James Ng , Kwok-Kun Kwong , Jiakun Liu , Andrew Zammit-Mangion

In many temporal datasets, the parameters of the underlying distribution may change abruptly at unknown times. Detecting such changepoints is crucial for numerous applications. Although such a problem has been extensively studied for linear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Surojit Biswas , Buddhananda Banerjee , Arnab Kumar Laha

Existing ordinal trees and random forests typically use scores that are assigned to the ordered categories, which implies that a higher scale level is used. Versions of ordinal trees are proposed that take the scale level seriously and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-02 Gerhard Tutz

Consider measured positions of the paleomagnetic north pole over time. Each measured position may be viewed as a direction, expressed as a unit vector in three dimensions and incorporating some error. In this sequence, the true directions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-09 Rudolf Beran

Distribution regression seeks to estimate the conditional distribution of a multivariate response given a continuous covariate. This approach offers a more complete characterization of dependence than traditional regression methods.…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-10 Rong Tang , Yun Yang

In a multiple linear regression model, the algebraic formula of the decomposition theorem explains the relationship between the univariate regression coefficient and partial regression coefficient using geometry. It was found that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-04 Xingguo Wu

Model--based clustering for directional data data has attracted a lot of interest, but most methods utilize rotationally symmetric distributions. This paper suggests the use of elliptically symmetric distributions, namely the elliptically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-28 Theodoros Perdikis , Nader Alharbi , Michail Tsagris

We consider the problem of variable selection in Bayesian multivariate linear regression models, involving multiple response and predictor variables, under multivariate normal errors. In the absence of a known covariance structure,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-25 Joyee Ghosh , Xun Li

In many environmental applications involving spatially-referenced data, limitations on the number and locations of observations motivate the need for practical and efficient models for spatial interpolation, or kriging. A key component of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-09-15 Mark D. Risser , Catherine A. Calder

In this paper optimal designs for regression problems with spherical predictors of arbitrary dimension are considered. Our work is motivated by applications in material sciences, where crystallographic textures such as the missorientation…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-31 Holger Dette , Maria Konstantinou , Kirsten Schorning , Josua Gösmann

We introduce a novel and scalable Bayesian framework for multivariate-density-density regression (DDR), designed to model relationships between multivariate distributions. Our approach addresses the critical issue of distributions residing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-24 Khai Nguyen , Yang Ni , Peter Mueller