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The perspective of developing trustworthy AI for critical applications in science and engineering requires machine learning techniques that are capable of estimating their own uncertainty. In the context of regression, instead of estimating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-14 Quentin Duchemin , Guillaume Obozinski

Directional data require specialized probability models because of the non-Euclidean and periodic nature of their domain. When a directional variable is observed jointly with linear variables, modeling their dependence adds an additional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-22 Tong Zou , Hal S. Stern

In this paper we propose a multivariate ordinal regression model which allows the joint modeling of three-dimensional panel data containing both repeated and multiple measurements for a collection of subjects. This is achieved by a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-02 Laura Vana-Gür

Understanding variable dependence, particularly eliciting their statistical properties given a set of covariates, provides the mathematical foundation in practical operations management such as risk analysis and decision-making given…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-06 Yunyun Wang , Tatsushi Oka , Dan Zhu

This paper proposes new linear regression models to deal with overdispersed binomial datasets. These new models, called tilted beta binomial regression models, are defined from the tilted beta binomial distribution, proposed assuming that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-26 María Victoria Cifuentes-Amado , Edilberto Cepeda-Cuervo

Meta-learning has proven to be successful for few-shot learning across the regression, classification, and reinforcement learning paradigms. Recent approaches have adopted Bayesian interpretations to improve gradient-based meta-learners by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-01 Amrith Setlur , Saket Dingliwal , Barnabas Poczos

Compared to mean regression and quantile regression, the literature on modal regression is very sparse. A unifying framework for Bayesian modal regression is proposed, based on a family of unimodal distributions indexed by the mode, along…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang , Rai Bai

For non-randomized studies, the regression discontinuity design (RDD) can be used to identify and estimate causal effects from a "locally-randomized" subgroup of subjects, under relatively mild conditions. However, current models focus…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-02-12 George Karabatsos , Stephen G. Walker

Density regression provides a flexible strategy for modeling the distribution of a response variable $Y$ given predictors $\mathbf{X}=(X_1,\ldots,X_p)$ by letting that the conditional density of $Y$ given $\mathbf{X}$ as a completely…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-07 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

We propose and study a multi-scale approach to vector quantization. We develop an algorithm, dubbed reconstruction trees, inspired by decision trees. Here the objective is parsimonious reconstruction of unsupervised data, rather than…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-05 Enrico Cecini , Ernesto De Vito , Lorenzo Rosasco

The multivariate sequential ordinal model is investigated for use in the Bayesian analysis of spatio-temporal ordinal data. The sequential ordinal model likelihood is equivalent to a binary model conditional on unknown regression…

Dynamic regression trees are an attractive option for automatic regression and classification with complicated response surfaces in on-line application settings. We create a sequential tree model whose state changes in time with the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-11-23 Matthew A. Taddy , Robert B. Gramacy , Nicholas G. Polson

Multi-dimensional data frequently occur in many different fields, including risk management, insurance, biology, environmental sciences, and many more. In analyzing multivariate data, it is imperative that the underlying modelling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-23 Orla A. Murphy , Juliana Schulz

We consider deep multivariate models for heterogeneous collections of random variables. In the context of computer vision, such collections may e.g. consist of images, segmentations, image attributes, and latent variables. When developing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 Dmitrij Schlesinger , Boris Flach , Alexander Shekhovtsov

Motivated by investigating spatio-temporal patterns of the distribution of continuous variables, we consider describing the conditional distribution function of the response variable incorporating spatio-temporal components given…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-08 Tomotaka Momozaki , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tomoyuki Nakagawa , Hiroko Kato Solvang , Sam Subbey

We employ distribution regression (DR) to estimate the joint distribution of two outcome variables conditional on chosen covariates. While Bivariate Distribution Regression (BDR) is useful in a variety of settings, it is particularly…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-19 Victor Chernozhukov , Iván Fernández-Val , Jonas Meier , Aico van Vuuren , Francis Vella

Quantifying predictive uncertainty is essential for safe and trustworthy real-world AI deployment. Yet, fully nonparametric estimation of conditional distributions remains challenging for multivariate targets. We propose Tomographic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-06 Takuya Kanazawa

Considering discrete models, the univariate framework has been studied in depth compared to the multivariate one. This paper first proposes two criteria to define a sensu stricto multivariate discrete distribution. It then introduces the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-02-07 Pierre Fernique , Jean Peyhardi , Jean-Baptiste Durand

Distribution regression, where the goal is to predict a scalar response from a distribution-valued predictor, arises naturally in settings where observations are grouped and outcomes depend on group-level characteristics rather than on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-09 Antonio R. Linero , Soumyabrata Bose , Jared Murray

We discuss generalized linear models for directional data where the conditional distribution of the response is a von Mises-Fisher distribution in arbitrary dimension or a Bingham distribution on the unit circle. To do this properly, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-15 Lutz Duembgen , Caroline Haslebacher