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相关论文: Asymptotically Efficient Estimation of Ergodic Rou…

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We take into consideration generalization bounds for the problem of the estimation of the drift component for ergodic stochastic differential equations, when the estimator is a ReLU neural network and the estimation is non-parametric with…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-02 Simone Di Gregorio , Francesco Iafrate

A general theory of efficient estimation for ergodic diffusion processes sampled at high frequency with an infinite time horizon is presented. High frequency sampling is common in many applications, with finance as a prominent example. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-10 Michael Sørensen

The model of partially observed linear stochastic differential equations depending on some unknown parameters is considered. An proximation of the unobserved component is proposed. This approximation is realized in three steps. First an…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

Motivated by empirical evidence from the joint behavior of realized volatility time series, we propose to model the joint dynamics of log-volatilities using a multivariate fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. This model is a multivariate…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2026-05-19 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato

We consider a simple mean reverting diffusion process, with piecewise constant drift and diffusion coefficients, discontinuous at a fixed threshold. We discuss estimation of drift and diffusion parameters from discrete observations of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-12 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

The multivariate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is used in many branches of science and engineering to describe the regression of a system to its stationary mean. Here we present an $O(N)$ Bayesian method to estimate the drift and diffusion…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-08-01 Rajesh Singh , Dipanjan Ghosh , R. Adhikari

We investigate the fractional Vasicek model described by the stochastic differential equation $dX_t=(\alpha -\beta X_t)\,dt+\gamma \,dB^H_t$, $X_0=x_0$, driven by the fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ with the known Hurst parameter $H\in…

概率论 · 数学 2020-01-09 Stanislav Lohvinenko , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

We study the first-passage time, the distribution of the maximum, and the absorption probability of fractional Brownian motion of Hurst parameter $H$ with both a linear and a non-linear drift. The latter appears naturally when applying…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-08-12 Maxence Arutkin , Benjamin Walter , Kay Joerg Wiese

We consider a linear stochastic differential equation with stochastic drift. We study the problem of approximating the solution of such equation through an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck type process, by using direct methods of calculus of variations.…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-01 Giacomo Ascione , Giuseppe D'Onofrio , Lubomir Kostal , Enrica Pirozzi

Empirical studies indicate the existence of long range dependence in the volatility of the underlying asset. This feature can be captured by modeling its return and volatility using functions of a stationary fractional Ornstein--Uhlenbeck…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2018-02-12 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ruimeng Hu

The linear fractional stable motion generalizes two prominent classes of stochastic processes, namely stable L\'evy processes, and fractional Brownian motion. For this reason it may be regarded as a basic building block for continuous time…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-08-17 Fabian Mies , Mark Podolskij

Penalized estimation methods for diffusion processes and dependent data have recently gained significant attention due to their effectiveness in handling high-dimensional stochastic systems. In this work, we introduce an adaptive…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-24 Alessandro De Gregorio , Dario Frisardi , Francesco Iafrate , Stefano Iacus

We apply the techniques of stochastic integration with respect to fractional Brownian motion and the theory of regularity and supremum estimation for stochastic processes to study the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for the drift…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-08-22 Ciprian A. Tudor , Frederi G. Viens

We study the strong approximation of a rough volatility model, in which the log-volatility is given by a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with Hurst parameter $H<1/2$. Our methods are based on an equidistant discretization of the…

概率论 · 数学 2016-06-14 Andreas Neuenkirch , Taras Shalaiko

We consider the adaptive test for the parameter change in discretely observed ergodic diffusion processes based on the cusum test. Using two test statistics based on the two quasi-log likelihood functions of the diffusion parameter and the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-30 Yozo Tonaki , Yusuke Kaino , Masayuki Uchida

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process can be seen as a paradigm of a finite-variance and statistically stationary rough random walk. Furthermore, it is defined as the unique solution of a Markovian stochastic dynamics and shares the same local…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-05 Laurent Chevillard , Marc Lagoin , Stephane G. Roux

Piecewise $\alpha$-stable Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes arising in queue networks usually do not have an explicit dissipation, which makes the related numerical methods such as Euler-Maruyama (EM) scheme more difficult to analyze. We…

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-11 Xinghu Jin , Guodong Pang , Yu Wang , Lihu Xu

We study some estimators of the Hurst index and the diffusion coefficient of the fractional Gompertz diffusion process and prove that they are strongly consistent and most of them are asymptotically normal. Moreover, we compare the…

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-13 Kestutis Kubilius , Dmitrij Melichov

We consider the class of all stationary Gaussian process with explicit parametric spectral density. Under some conditions on the autocovariance function, we defined a GMM estimator that satisfies consistency and asymptotic normality, using…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-18 Luis A. Barboza , Frederi G. Viens

The paper deals with asymptotic properties of the adaptive procedure proposed in the author paper (2007) for estimation of unknown nonparametric regression. We prove that this procedure is asymptotically efficient for a quadratic risk. It…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Leonid Galtchouk , Serguey Pergamenshchikov