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We develop an algorithm for automatic differentiation of Metropolis-Hastings samplers, allowing us to differentiate through probabilistic inference, even if the model has discrete components within it. Our approach fuses recent advances in…

The posterior probability distribution for a set of model parameters encodes all that the data have to tell us in the context of a given model; it is the fundamental quantity for Bayesian parameter estimation. In order to infer the…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2015-06-16 Rupert Allison , Joanna Dunkley

We prove a general result that if a Metropolis--Hastings algorithm has a proposal that is not geometrically ergodic and the acceptance rate approaches unity at a suitable rate as the state variable becomes large, then the Metropolised chain…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Yuxin Liu , Peiyi Zhou , Samuel Livingstone

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the Random-Walk Metropolis algorithm on probability densities with two different `scales', where most of the probability mass is distributed along certain key directions with the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-10-12 Alexandros Beskos , Gareth Roberts , Alexandre Thiery , Natesh Pillai

Among random sampling methods, Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms are foremost. Using a combination of analytical and numerical approaches, we study their convergence properties towards the steady state, within a random walk Metropolis…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-01-08 Alexei D. Chepelianskii , Satya N. Majumdar , Hendrik Schawe , Emmanuel Trizac

Metropolis algorithms are classical tools for sampling from target distributions, with broad applications in statistics and scientific computing. Their convergence speed is governed by the spectral gap of the associated Markov operator.…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-13 Shuigen Liu , Xin T. Tong

We study the computational complexity of a Metropolis-Hastings algorithm for Bayesian community detection. We first establish a posterior strong consistency result for a natural prior distribution on stochastic block models under the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-11-08 Bumeng Zhuo , Chao Gao

Federated learning performed by a decentralized networks of agents is becoming increasingly important with the prevalence of embedded software on autonomous devices. Bayesian approaches to learning benefit from offering more information as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-16 Vyacheslav Kungurtsev , Adam Cobb , Tara Javidi , Brian Jalaian

Global fits of physics models require efficient methods for exploring high-dimensional and/or multimodal posterior functions. We introduce a novel method for accelerating Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling by pairing a…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2023-09-06 N. T. Hunt-Smith , W. Melnitchouk , F. Ringer , N. Sato , A. W Thomas , M. J. White

In engineering examples, one often encounters the need to sample from unnormalized distributions with complex shapes that may also be implicitly defined through a physical or numerical simulation model, making it computationally expensive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-27 Promit Chakroborty , Michael D. Shields

One main limitation of the existing optimal scaling results for Metropolis--Hastings algorithms is that the assumptions on the target distribution are unrealistic. In this paper, we consider optimal scaling of random-walk Metropolis…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-05-05 Jun Yang , Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm has been extensively studied in the estimation and simulation literature, with most prior work focusing on convergence behavior and asymptotic theory. However, its covariance structure-an important…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-03 Jingyi Zhang , James C. Spall

We demonstrate the use of a variational method to determine a quantitative lower bound on the rate of convergence of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms as a function of the target density and proposal density. The bound relies on…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-05-29 Fergal P. Casey , Joshua J. Waterfall , Ryan N. Gutenkunst , Christopher R. Myers , James P. Sethna

The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is a cornerstone of Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, underpinning a wide range of applications in computational physics, Bayesian inference, and machine learning. Quantum variants of Metropolis-Hastings…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-05-07 Miguel Carrasco-Arango , Rosa M. Badia , Artur Garcia-Saez

Recent works propose using the discriminator of a GAN to filter out unrealistic samples of the generator. We generalize these ideas by introducing the implicit Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. For any implicit probabilistic model and a target…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-06-11 Kirill Neklyudov , Evgenii Egorov , Dmitry Vetrov

This work develops a powerful and versatile framework for determining acceptance ratios in Metropolis-Hastings type Markov kernels widely used in statistical sampling problems. Our approach allows us to derive new classes of kernels which…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-21 Nathan E. Glatt-Holtz , Justin A. Krometis , Cecilia F. Mondaini

Graph sampling via crawling has been actively considered as a generic and important tool for collecting uniform node samples so as to consistently estimate and uncover various characteristics of complex networks. The so-called simple random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-04-19 Chul-Ho Lee , Xin Xu , Do Young Eun

The computation of Bayesian estimates of system parameters and functions of them on the basis of observed system performance data is a common problem within system identification. This is a previously studied issue where stochastic…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-05-09 Johan Dahlin , Adrian Wills , Brett Ninness

High-dimensional limit theorems have been shown useful to derive tuning rules for finding the optimal scaling in random-walk Metropolis algorithms. The assumptions under which weak convergence results are proved are however restrictive: the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-16 Sebastian M Schmon , Philippe Gagnon

This paper introduces a framework for speeding up Bayesian inference conducted in presence of large datasets. We design a Markov chain whose transition kernel uses an (unknown) fraction of (fixed size) of the available data that is randomly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-01 Florian Maire , Nial Friel , Pierre Alquier