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This paper deals with the problem of asymptotically optimal detection of changes in regime-switching stochastic models. We need to divide the whole obtained sample of data into several sub-samples with observations belonging to different…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-01-25 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

Models of the consensus of the individual state in social systems have been the subject of recent researches in the physics literature. We investigate how network structures coevolve with the individual state under the framework of social…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-05-15 Kaiqi Zhang , Zinan Lv , Haifeng Du , Honghu Zou

We consider a system of $N$ particles interacting through their empirical distribution on a finite state space in continuous time. In the formal limit as $N\to\infty$, the system takes the form of a nonlinear (McKean--Vlasov) Markov chain.…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-13 Asaf Cohen , Ethan Huffman

Imitation is a basic updating mechanism for strategy evolution in structured populations, determining how individuals sample social information and translate it into behavioral changes. Higher-order networks, such as hypergraphs, generalize…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-02-11 Bingxin Lin , Lei Zhou , Hao Fang

Immune events such as infection, vaccination, and a combination of the two result in distinct time-dependent antibody responses in affected individuals. These responses and event prevalences combine non-trivially to govern antibody levels…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-04-16 Prajakta Bedekar , Rayanne A. Luke , Anthony J. Kearsley

Decision-making individuals are typically either an imitator, who mimics the action of the most successful individual(s), a conformist (or coordinating individual), who chooses an action if enough others have done so, or a nonconformist (or…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-02-11 Hien Le , Mohaddeseh Rajaee , Pouria Ramazi

Irregular errors such as heteroscedasticity and nonnormality remain major challenges in linear modeling. These issues often lead to biased inference and unreliable measures of uncertainty. Classical remedies, such as robust standard errors…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Elsayed Elamir

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

We introduce a two-parameter ensemble of random discrete-time Markov models that simultaneously captures critical slowing down and broken detailed balance. Extending a previously studied heterogeneous Markov ensemble, we incorporate…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2026-02-06 Faheem Mosam , Eric De Giuli

We study the asymptotic macroscopic properties of the mixed majority-minority game, modeling a population in which two types of heterogeneous adaptive agents, namely ``fundamentalists'' driven by differentiation and ``trend-followers''…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 A. De Martino , I. Giardina , G. Mosetti

We present a continuous threshold model (CTM) of cascade dynamics for a network of agents with real-valued activity levels that change continuously in time. The model generalizes the linear threshold model (LTM) from the literature, where…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-07-07 Yaofeng Desmond Zhong , Naomi Ehrich Leonard

The processes of interplant competition within a field are still poorly understood. However, they explain a large part of the heterogeneity in a field and may have longer-term consequences, especially in mixed stands. Modeling can help to…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2019-06-05 Antonin Della Noce , Amélie Mathieu , Paul-Henry Cournède

This study introduces a novel model that effectively captures asymmetric structures in multivariate contingency tables with ordinal categories. Leveraging the principle of maximum entropy, our approach employs f-divergence to provide a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Hisaya Okahara , Kouji Tahata

The totally asymmetric exclusion process (TASEP) with periodic boundaries is considered as traffic flow model. The large-L approximation of the stationary state is used for the derivation of the time-headway distribution (an important…

统计力学 · 物理学 2018-01-08 Pavel Hrabák , Milan Krbálek

Using the asymptotical minimax framework, we examine convergence rates equivalency between a continuous functional deconvolution model and its real-life discrete counterpart over a wide range of Besov balls and for the $L^2$-risk. For this…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-06 Marianna Pensky , Theofanis Sapatinas

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are a powerful tool for computation with complex probability distributions. However the performance of such methods is critically dependant on properly tuned parameters, most of which are difficult if…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-10-27 James A. Brofos , Marylou Gabrié , Marcus A. Brubaker , Roy R. Lederman

For microscale heterogeneous PDEs, this article further develops novel theory and methodology for their macroscale mathematical/asymptotic homogenization. This article specifically encompasses the case of quasi-periodic heterogeneity with…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2022-09-08 A. J. Roberts

This paper studies the problem of parameter learning in probabilistic graphical models having latent variables, where the standard approach is the expectation maximization algorithm alternating expectation (E) and maximization (M) steps.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-02-15 Hyeryung Jang , Hyungwon Choi , Yung Yi , Jinwoo Shin

This paper, the second of a two-part series, presents a method for mean-field feedback stabilization of a swarm of agents on a finite state space whose time evolution is modeled as a continuous time Markov chain (CTMC). The resulting…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-03-29 Shiba Biswal , Karthik Elamvazhuthi , Spring Berman

We introduce a model of graph-constrained dynamic choice with reinforcement modeled by positively $\alpha$-homogeneous rewards. We show that its empirical process, which can be written as a stochastic approximation recursion with Markov…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-07-27 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Vivek S. Borkar , Sharayu Moharir , Suhail M. Shah