相关论文: Parameter estimation for the FOU(p) process with t…

We extend the theoretical results for any FOU(p) processes for the case in which the Hurst parameter is less than 1/2 and we show theoretically and by simulations that under some conditions on T and the sample size n it is possible to…

The standard approach for studying the periodic ARMA model with coefficients that vary over the seasons is to express it in a vector form. In this paper we introduce an alternative method which views the periodic formulation as a time…

The paper proposes a formal estimation procedure for parameters of the fractional Poisson process (fPp). Such procedures are needed to make the fPp model usable in applied situations. The basic idea of fPp, motivated by experimental data…

In this paper we study the asymptotic theory for samples problem based on the functional empirical process (fep), this new method is called general samples problem. We suggest this method to develop the full theory of estimation of means,…

The class of locally stationary processes assumes that there is a time-varying spectral representation, that is, the existence of finite second moment. We propose the $\alpha$-stable locally stationary process by modifying the innovations…

Using the classical estimation method of moments, we propose a new semiparametric estimation procedure for multi-parameter copula models. Consistency and asymptotic normality of the obtained estimators are established. By considering an…

In this paper we present a robust estimator for the parameters of a continuous-time ARMA(p,q) (CARMA(p,q)) process sampled equidistantly which is not necessarily Gaussian. Therefore, an indirect estimation procedure is used. It is an…

In this paper, we investigate the parameter estimation problem for reflected OU processes. Both the estimates based on continuously observed processes and discretely observed processes are considered. The explicit formulas for the…

Recent algorithms of time-series anomaly detection have been evaluated by applying a Point Adjustment (PA) protocol. However, the PA protocol has a problem of overestimating the performance of the detection algorithms because it only…

Given a sequence of independent Bernoulli variables with unknown parameter $p$, and a function $f$ expressed as a power series with non-negative coefficients that sum to at most $1$, an algorithm is presented that produces a Bernoulli…

This paper introduces a new machine architecture for evaluating lambda expressions using the normal-order reduction, which guarantees that every lambda expression will be evaluated if the expression has its normal form and the system has…

We present a new approach for estimating parameters in rational ODE models from given (measured) time series data. In typical existing approaches, an initial guess for the parameter values is made from a given search interval. Then, in a…

We deal with a planar random flight $\{(X(t),Y(t)),0<t\leq T\}$ observed at $n+1$ equidistant times $t_i=i\Delta_n,i=0,1,...,n$. The aim of this paper is to estimate the unknown value of the parameter $\lambda$, the underlying rate of the…

We introduce a new method for detecting scaling in time series. The method uses the properties of the probability flux for stochastic self-affine processes and is called the probability flux analysis (PFA). The advantages of this method…

Autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are widely used for analyzing time series data. However, standard likelihood-based inference methodology for ARMA models has avoidable limitations. We show that currently accepted standards for…

An Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process can be considered as a continuous time interpolation of the discrete time AR$(1)$ process. Departing from this fact, we analyse in this work the effect of iterating OU treated as a linear operator that…

Stationary processes have been extensively studied in the literature. Their applications include modeling and forecasting numerous real life phenomena such as natural disasters, sales and market movements. When stationary processes are…

The telegraph process $\{X(t), t>0\}$, is supposed to be observed at $n+1$ equidistant time points $t_i=i\Delta_n,i=0,1,..., n$. The unknown value of $\lambda$, the underlying rate of the Poisson process, is a parameter to be estimated. The…

We consider the gamma process perturbed by a Brownian motion (independent of the gamma process) as a degradation model. Parameters estimation is studied here. We assume that $n$ independent items are observed at irregular instants. From…

Parallel black box optimization consists in estimating the optimum of a function using $\lambda$ parallel evaluations of $f$. Averaging the $\mu$ best individuals among the $\lambda$ evaluations is known to provide better estimates of the…