相关论文: Parameter estimation for the FOU(p) process with t…

Analytical stability calculation is done to prove stability properties for systems with parameters that do not have explicit values. For systems with three components, the usual method of finding the characteristic polynomial as the…

This paper proposes an accelerated method for approximately solving partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) problems offline. Our method carefully combines two existing tools: Anderson acceleration (AA) and the fast informed…

The problem of detecting anomalies in multiple processes is considered. We consider a composite hypothesis case, in which the measurements drawn when observing a process follow a common distribution with an unknown parameter (vector), whose…

A method for an evaluation of the error between an unknown parameter and its estimator is developed. Its application enables us to preserve the asymptotic power of a constructed test. Testing problems in AR(1) and ARCH models are studied…

We present a new tool, GPA, that can generate key performance measures for very large systems. Based on solving systems of ordinary differential equations (ODEs), this method of performance analysis is far more scalable than stochastic…

In this paper, we observe a fixed number of unknown $2\pi$-periodic functions differing from each other by both phases and amplitude. This semiparametric model appears in literature under the name "shape invariant model." While the common…

This paper proposes a simple and efficient estimation procedure for the model with non-ignorable missing data studied by Morikawa and Kim (2016). Their semiparametrically efficient estimator requires explicit nonparametric estimation and so…

Continuous-time state estimation is gaining in popularity due to its abilities to provide smooth solutions, handle asynchronous sensors, and interpolate between data points. While there are two main paradigms, parametric (e.g., temporal…

In reinforcement learning, the TD($\lambda$) algorithm is a fundamental policy evaluation method with an efficient online implementation that is suitable for large-scale problems. One practical drawback of TD($\lambda$) is its sensitivity…

First-order methods are often analyzed via their continuous-time models, where their worst-case convergence properties are usually approached via Lyapunov functions. In this work, we provide a systematic and principled approach to find and…

We propose a new procedure for inference on optimal treatment regimes in the model-free setting, which does not require to specify an outcome regression model. Existing model-free estimators for optimal treatment regimes are usually not…

In this paper we propose a recursive online algorithm for estimating the parameters of a time-varying ARCH process. The estimation is done by updating the estimator at time point $t-1$ with observations about the time point $t$ to yield an…

The paper addresses the problem of optimizing a class of composite functions on Riemannian manifolds and a new first order optimization algorithm (FOA) with a fast convergence rate is proposed. Through the theoretical analysis for FOA, it…

Real-time optimization with persistent parameter adaptation (ROPA) is an RTO approach, where the steady-state model parameters are updated dynamically using transient measurements. Consequently, we avoid waiting for a steady-state before…

We propose a new framework for imposing monotonicity constraints in a Bayesian nonparametric setting based on numerical solutions of stochastic differential equations. We derive a nonparametric model of monotonic functions that allows for…

In many modern settings, data are acquired iteratively over time, rather than all at once. Such settings are known as online, as opposed to offline or batch. We introduce a simple technique for online parameter estimation, which can operate…

We revisit the classical, full-fledged Bayesian model averaging (BMA) paradigm to ensemble pre-trained and/or lightly-finetuned foundation models to enhance the classification performance on image and text data. To make BMA tractable under…

Starting from an A-stable rational approximation to $\rm{e}^z$ of order $p$, $$r(z)= 1+ z+ \cdots + z^p/ p! + O(z^{p+1}),$$ families of stable methods are proposed to time discretize abstract IVP's of the type $u'(t) = A u(t) + f(t)$. These…

We propose r-ssGPFA, an unsupervised online anomaly detection model for uni- and multivariate time series building on the efficient state space formulation of Gaussian processes. For high-dimensional time series, we propose an extension of…

This paper introduces and studies a new model of computation called an Alternating Automatic Register Machine (AARM). An AARM possesses the basic features of a conventional register machine and an alternating Turing machine, but can carry…