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The increasing occurrence of extreme weather events since the beginning of the 21st century has led to the development of new methods to attribute extreme events to anthropogenic climate change. The way in which the extreme event is defined…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-05-25 Pascal Meurer , Sebastian Buschow , Svenja Szemkus , Petra Friederichs

Multi-model ensembles provide a pragmatic approach to the representation of model uncertainty in climate prediction. However, such representations are inherently ad hoc, and, as shown, probability distributions of climate variables based on…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2009-08-26 T. N. Palmer , F. J. Doblas-Reyes , A. Weisheimer , G. J. Shutts , J. Berner , J. M. Murphy

The progress article - Widening of the tropical belt in a changing climate - by Seidel et al. (2008) published in the first issue of Nature Geosciences, summarizes the results of several methods to determine the width of the tropical zone.…

空间物理 · 物理学 2008-03-14 Katya Georgieva , Boian Kirov

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a key component of the climate system and considered to be a tipping element. There is still a large uncertainty on the critical global warming level at which the AMOC will start to…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-07-30 René M. van Westen , Elian Y. P. Vanderborght , Michael Kliphuis , Henk A. Dijkstra

Eccentricity is an important orbital parameter. Understanding its effect on planetary climate and habitability is critical for us to search for a habitable world beyond our solar system. The orbital configurations of M-dwarf planets are…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2017-10-05 Yuwei Wang , Yonggang Liu , Feng Tian , Yongyun Hu , Yi Huang

Mid-Tropospheric Cyclones (MTCs) are moist synoptic systems with distinct mid tropospheric vorticity maxima and weak signatures in the lower troposphere. Composites and statistics of MTCs over the tropics are constructed and compared with…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-08-25 Pradeep Kushwaha , Jai Sukhatme , Ravi S. Nanjundiah

Supercell thunderstorms are the most hazardous thunderstorm category and particularly impactful to society. Their monitoring is challenging and often confined to the radar networks of single countries. By exploiting kilometer-scale climate…

Extreme precipitation wreaks havoc throughout the world, causing billions of dollars in damage and uprooting communities, ecosystems, and economies. Accurate extreme precipitation prediction allows more time for preparation and disaster…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-01 Weichen Huang

Industrial operations have grown exponentially over the last century, driving advancements in energy utilization through vehicles and machinery.This growth has significant environmental implications, necessitating the use of sophisticated…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-05-28 Anurag Mishra , Ronen Gold , Sanjeev Vijayakumar

Climate models are critical tools for developing strategies to manage the risks posed by sea-level rise to coastal communities. While these models are necessary for understanding climate risks, there is a level of uncertainty inherent in…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-12-21 Alana Hough , Tony E. Wong

Various regions in the Northern Hemispheric midlatitudes have seen pronounced trends in upper-atmosphere summer circulation and surface temperature extremes over recent decades (since 1979). Several of these regional trends lie outside the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-12-19 Tamara Happé , Chiem van Straaten , Raed Hamed , Fabio D'Andrea , Dim Coumou

The last decade has seen the success of stochastic parameterizations in short-term, medium-range and seasonal forecasts: operational weather centers now routinely use stochastic parameterization schemes to better represent model inadequacy…

Over its multibillion-year history, the Earth has experienced a wide range of climates. The long-term climate is controlled by the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration, which is regulated by marine sequestration through chemical…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-05-31 Mark Baum , Minmin Fu , Stephen Bourguet

Monitoring the dynamics of global land-ocean cover is fundamental for regulating the Earth's climate and sustaining terrestrial and marine ecosystems. However, existing datasets and research often exhibit limitations in temporal resolution…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-04-08 Lixing Wang , Tao Li , Xinyu Dou , Zhu Liu

We assess evidence for changes in tail characteristics of wind, solar irradiance and temperature variables output from CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs) due to climate forcing. We estimate global and climate zone annual maximum and annual…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-06 Callum Leach , Kevin Ewans , Philip Jonathan

Winds play an essential role in the climate system. In this study, we analyze the global pattern of the diurnal cycle of surface (10 m) winds from the ERA5 reanalysis data. We find that over the land and especially over sand dune regions,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-12-14 Yosef Ashkenazy , Hezi Yizhaq

Extreme precipitation is projected to become more frequent and more intense due to climate change and associated thermodynamical effects, but the local response of atmospheric circulation under future climate scenarios remains uncertain due…

Precise and reliable climate projections are required for climate adaptation and mitigation, but Earth system models still exhibit great uncertainties. Several approaches have been developed to reduce the spread of climate projections and…

The climate change attribution problem is addressed using empirical decomposition. Cycles in solar motion and activity of 60 and 20 years were used to develop an empirical model of Earth temperature variations. The model was fit to the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2012-06-27 Craig Loehle , Nicola Scafetta

Internal modes of climate variability, such as El Ni\~no and the North Atlantic Oscillation, can have strong influences upon distant weather patterns, effects that are referred to as "teleconnections". The extent to which anthropogenic…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-12-30 Eran Vos , Peter Huybers , Eli Tziperman