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This paper develops a method for estimating housing production functions when builders choose capital after observing local conditions that are unobserved by the econometrician. Because observed capital variation reflects both technological…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-06 Yusuke Adachi

Housing markets are inherently spatial, yet many existing models fail to capture this spatial dimension. Here we introduce a new graph-based approach for incorporating a spatial component in a large-scale urban housing agent-based model…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2021-03-25 Benjamin Patrick Evans , Kirill Glavatskiy , Michael S. Harré , Mikhail Prokopenko

Gas demand is made of three components: Residential, Industrial, and Thermoelectric Gas Demand. Herein, the one-day-ahead prediction of each component is studied, using Italian data as a case study. Statistical properties and relationships…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-26 Emanuele Fabbiani , Andrea Marziali , Giuseppe De Nicolao

One of the most far-reaching use cases of the internet of things is in smart grid and smart home operation. The smart home concept allows residents to control, monitor, and manage their energy consumption with minimum loss and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-02-11 S. Saba Rafiei , Mahdi S. Naderi , Mehrdad Abedi

We consider a sequential decision making process, such as renewable energy trading or electrical production scheduling, whose outcome depends on the future realization of a random factor, such as a meteorological variable. We assume that…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2021-07-01 Peter Tankov , Laura Tinsi

Policy targets are being set increasingly for social and economic variables in the UK. This approach requires that reasonably successful ex ante forecasts can be made. We propose a general methodology for assessing the extent to which this…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Paul Ormerod , Laurence Smith

Being able to adjust the demand of electricity can be an effective means for power system operators to compensate fluctuating renewable generation, to avoid grid congestion, and to cope with other contingencies. Electric heating and cooling…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-06-21 Fabian L. Müller , Bernhard Jansen

Urban demand forecasting plays a critical role in optimizing routing, dispatching, and congestion management within Intelligent Transportation Systems. By leveraging data fusion and analytics techniques, traffic demand forecasting serves as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Antonios Tziorvas , George S. Theodoropoulos , Yannis Theodoridis

Forecasts of product demand are essential for short- and long-term optimization of logistics and production. Thus, the most accurate prediction possible is desirable. In order to optimally train predictive models, the deviation of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-23 Dominik Martin , Philipp Spitzer , Niklas Kühl

We study multi-type housing markets, where there are $p\ge 2$ types of items, each agent is initially endowed one item of each type, and the goal is to design mechanisms without monetary transfer to (re)allocate items to the agents based on…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2016-11-24 Sibel Adali , Sujoy Sikdar , Lirong Xia

While urban systems demonstrate high spatial heterogeneity, many urban planning, economic and political decisions heavily rely on a deep understanding of local neighborhood contexts. We show that the structure of 311 Service Requests…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-02-07 Lingjing Wang , Cheng Qian , Constantine Kontokosta , Stanislav Sobolevsky

In recent years, there has been a significant focus on advancing the next generation of power systems. Despite these efforts, persistent challenges revolve around addressing the operational impact of uncertainty on predicted data,…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-03-15 Hien Thanh Doan , Minsoo Kim , Keunju Song , Hongseok Kim

As the world increasingly relies on mathematical models for forecasts in different areas, effective communication of uncertainty in time series predictions is important for informed decision making. This study explores how users estimate…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2024-08-23 Apoorva Karagappa , Pawandeep Kaur Betz , Jonas Gilg , Moritz Zeumer , Andreas Gerndt , Bernhard Preim

Traditional stock market prediction approaches commonly utilize the historical price-related data of the stocks to forecast their future trends. As the Web information grows, recently some works try to explore financial news to improve the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-01-03 Xi Zhang , Yunjia Zhang , Senzhang Wang , Yuntao Yao , Binxing Fang , Philip S. Yu

The prediction of a stock market direction may serve as an early recommendation system for short-term investors and as an early financial distress warning system for long-term shareholders. Many stock prediction studies focus on using…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2017-01-10 Yanshan Wang

In this research paper, I have performed time series analysis and forecasted the monthly value of housing starts for the year 2019 using several econometric methods - ARIMA(X), VARX, (G)ARCH and machine learning algorithms - artificial…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-05-21 Sudiksha Joshi

Crowdsourcing has been successfully applied in many domains including astronomy, cryptography and biology. In order to test its potential for useful application in a Smart Grid context, this paper investigates the extent to which a crowd…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2018-05-14 Mark D. Wagy , Josh C. Bongard , James P. Bagrow , Paul D. H. Hines

Predictive models are often used for real-time decision making. However, typical machine learning techniques ignore feature evaluation cost, and focus solely on the accuracy of the machine learning models obtained utilizing all the features…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-08-19 Leilani Battle , Edward Benson , Aditya Parameswaran , Eugene Wu

We present new Bayesian methodology for consumer sales forecasting. With a focus on multi-step ahead forecasting of daily sales of many supermarket items, we adapt dynamic count mixture models to forecast individual customer transactions,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-07 Lindsay R. Berry , Paul Helman , Mike West

The residential buildings sector is one of the largest electricity consumers worldwide and contributes disproportionally to peak electricity demand in many regions. Strongly driven by occupant activities at home, household energy…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-11-05 Jianli Chen , Rajendra Adhikari , Eric Wilson , Joseph Robertson , Anthony Fontanini , Ben Polly , Opeoluwa Olawale