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Human mobility is investigated using a continuum approach that allows to calculate the probability to observe a trip to anyarbitrary region, and the fluxes between any two regions. The considered description offers a general and unified…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-04-02 Filippo Simini , Amos Maritan , Zoltán Néda

Mobile phone data have been widely used to model the spread of COVID-19, however, quantifying and comparing their predictive value across different settings is challenging. Their quality is affected by various factors and their relationship…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-01-11 Federico Delussu , Michele Tizzoni , Laetitia Gauvin

Understanding the patterns of human mobility between cities has various applications from transport engineering to spatial modeling of the spreading of contagious diseases. We adopt a city-centric, data-driven perspective to quantify such…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-12-02 Maryam Kiashemshaki , Zhiren Huang , Jari Saramäki

The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has posed unprecedented challenges for the utilities and grid operators around the world. In this work, we focus on the problem of load forecasting. With strict social distancing restrictions, power…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-06-17 Yize Chen , Weiwei Yang , Baosen Zhang

In this work we propose, implement, and evaluate GRM, a novel mobility model that accounts for the role of group meeting dynamics and regularity in human mobility. Specifically, we show that existing mobility models for humans do not…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2017-06-27 Ivan O. Nunes , Clayson Celes , Michael D. Silva , Pedro O. S. Vaz de Melo , Antonio A. F. Loureiro

Pandemic(epidemic) modeling, aiming at disease spreading analysis, has always been a popular research topic especially following the outbreak of COVID-19 in 2019. Some representative models including SIR-based deep learning prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-07 Danfeng Guo , Zijie Huang , Junheng Hao , Yizhou Sun , Wei Wang , Demetri Terzopoulos

As a highly infectious respiratory disease, COVID-19 has become a pandemic that threatens global health. Without an effective treatment, non-pharmaceutical interventions, such as travel restrictions, have been widely promoted to mitigate…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-06-25 Qianqian Sun , Yixuan Pan , Weiyi Zhou , Chenfeng Xiong , Lei Zhang

A disease in a given population is termed endemic when it exhibits a steady prevalence. We address the pertinent question as to what extent COVID-19 has turned endemic in India. There are several existing models for studying endemic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-11-14 Madhuchhanda Bhattacharjee , Arup Bose

Human mobility is a key component of large-scale spatial-transmission models of infectious diseases. Correctly modeling and quantifying human mobility is critical for improving epidemic control policies, but may be hindered by incomplete…

Epidemic outbreaks are an important healthcare challenge, especially in developing countries where they represent one of the major causes of mortality. Approaches that can rapidly target subpopulations for surveillance and control are…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-07-04 Stefania Rubrichi , Zbigniew Smoreda , Mirco Musolesi

A mathematical model for the COVID-19 pandemic spread, which integrates age-structured Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered-Deceased dynamics with real mobile phone data accounting for the population mobility, is presented. The dynamical…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-08-24 Ritabrata Dutta , Susana Gomes , Dante Kalise , Lorenzo Pacchiardi

Among the realistic ingredients to be considered in the computational modeling of infectious diseases, human mobility represents a crucial challenge both on the theoretical side and in view of the limited availability of empirical data. In…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2010-02-04 Duygu Balcan , Vittoria Colizza , Bruno Goncalves , Hao Hu , Jose J. Ramasco , Alessandro Vespignani

It is often necessary to introduce the main characteristics of population mobility dynamics to model critical social phenomena such as the economy, violence, transmission of information, or infectious diseases. In this work, we focus on…

One approach to delay the spread of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) is to reduce human travel by imposing travel restriction policies. It is yet unclear how effective those policies are on suppressing the mobility trend due to the lack of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-05-06 Chenfeng Xiong , Songhua Hu , Mofeng Yang , Hannah N Younes , Weiyu Luo , Sepehr Ghader , Lei Zhang

Human Mobility has attracted attentions from different fields of studies such as epidemic modeling, traffic engineering, traffic prediction and urban planning. In this survey we review major characteristics of human mobility studies…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2013-07-04 Fereshteh Asgari , Vincent Gauthier , Monique Becker

Classical compartmental models in epidemiology often assume a homogeneous population for simplicity, which neglects the inherent heterogeneity among individuals. This assumption frequently leads to inaccurate predictions when applied to…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-09-09 Ning Jiang , Weiqi Chu , Yao Li

The recent outbreak of COVID-19 has affected millions of individuals around the world and has posed a significant challenge to global healthcare. From the early days of the pandemic, it became clear that it is highly contagious and that…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-04-13 George Panagopoulos , Giannis Nikolentzos , Michalis Vazirgiannis

The COVID-19 crisis has shown that we can only prevent the risk of mass contagion through timely, large-scale, coordinated, and decisive actions. However, frequently the models used by experts [from whom decision-makers get their main…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-08 Mauricio Herrera

During 2020, the infection rate of COVID-19 has been investigated by many scholars from different research fields. In this context, reliable and interpretable forecasts of disease incidents are a vital tool for policymakers to manage…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-05 Cornelius Fritz , Emilio Dorigatti , David Rügamer

When considering airborne epidemic spreading in social systems, a natural connection arises between mobility and epidemic contacts. As individuals travel, possibilities to encounter new people either at the final destination or during the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-05-10 Jesús A. Moreno López , Sandro Meloni , Jose J. Ramasco
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