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Ergodic Optimization is the process of finding invariant probability measures that maximize the integral of a given function. It has been conjectured that "most" functions are optimized by measures supported on a periodic orbit, and it has…

动力系统 · 数学 2015-03-17 Anthony Quas , Jason Siefken

We investigate how and when to diversify capital over assets, i.e., the portfolio selection problem, from a signal processing perspective. To this end, we first construct portfolios that achieve the optimal expected growth in i.i.d.…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2012-07-18 Sait Tunc , Mehmet A. Donmez , Suleyman S. Kozat

Move-to-front rule is a heuristic updating a list of n items according to requests. Items are required with unknown probabilities (or popularities). The induced Markov chain is known to be ergodic. One main problem is the study of the…

概率论 · 数学 2010-07-26 Fabrizio Leisen , Antonio Lijoi , Christian Paroissin

This paper is concerned with ergodic properties of inhomogeneous Markov processes. Since the transition probabilities depend on initial times, the existing methods to obtain invariant measures for homogeneous Markov processes are not…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-24 Zhenxin Liu , Di Lu

We consider ergodic backward stochastic differential equations in a discrete time setting, where noise is generated by a finite state Markov chain. We show existence and uniqueness of solutions, along with a comparison theorem. To obtain…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-02 Andrew L. Allan , Samuel N. Cohen

We consider the extreme value statistics of centrally-biased random walks with asymptotically-zero drift in the ergodic regime. We fully characterize the asymptotic distribution of the maximum for this class of Markov chains lacking…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-11-28 Roberto Artuso , Manuele Onofri , Gaia Pozzoli , Mattia Radice

We establish the existence (and in an appropriate sense uniqueness) of Markovian solutions for ergodic BSDEs under a novel monotonicity condition. Our monotonicity condition allows us to prove existence even when the driver f has arbitrary…

概率论 · 数学 2022-12-19 Joe Jackson , Gechun Liang

Consider a stochastic process $\{X(t)\}$ on a finite state space $ {\sf X}=\{1,\dots, d\}$. It is conditionally Markov, given a real-valued `input process' $\{\zeta(t)\}$. This is assumed to be small, which is modeled through the scaling,…

性能 · 计算机科学 2018-09-18 Yue Chen , Ana Bušić , Sean Meyn

In this survey we review useful tools that naturally arise in the study of pointwise convergence problems in analysis, ergodic theory and probability. We will pay special attention to quantitative aspects of pointwise convergence phenomena…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-09-07 Mariusz Mirek , Tomasz Z. Szarek , James Wright

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale

We discuss a Markov jump process regarded as a variant of the CIR (Cox-Ingersoll-Ross) model and its infinite-dimensional extension. These models belong to a class of measure-valued branching processes with immigration, whose jump…

概率论 · 数学 2014-07-18 Kenji Handa

We generalize stochastic subgradient descent methods to situations in which we do not receive independent samples from the distribution over which we optimize, but instead receive samples that are coupled over time. We show that as long as…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2012-08-02 John C. Duchi , Alekh Agarwal , Mikael Johansson , Michael I. Jordan

We analyze a tractable model of a limit order book on short time scales, where the dynamics are driven by stochastic fluctuations between supply and demand. We establish the existence of a limiting distribution for the highest bid, and for…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2017-03-24 Frank Kelly , Elena Yudovina

Improved rates of convergence for ergodic homogeneous Markov chains are studied. In comparison to the earlier papers the setting is also generalised to the case without a unique dominated measure. Examples are provided where the new bound…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-02 Alexander Veretennikov , Maria Veretennikova

Markowitz mean-variance portfolios with sample mean and covariance as input parameters feature numerous issues in practice. They perform poorly out of sample due to estimation error, they experience extreme weights together with high…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-12-29 Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Yegor Klochkov , Alla Petukhina , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

We investigate the ergodic problem of growth-rate maximization under a class of risk constraints in the context of incomplete, It\^{o}-process models of financial markets with random ergodic coefficients. Including {\em value-at-risk}…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 Traian A. Pirvu , Gordan Zitkovic

It has been established under very general conditions that the ergodic properties of Markov processes are inherited by their conditional distributions given partial information. While the existing theory provides a rather complete picture…

概率论 · 数学 2015-02-04 Patrick Rebeschini , Ramon van Handel

We investigate the growth optimal strategy over a finite time horizon for a stock and bond portfolio in an analytically solvable multiplicative Markovian market model. We show that the optimal strategy consists in holding the amount of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2011-06-24 E. Aurell , P. Muratore-Ginanneschi

We establish new conditions for obtaining uniform bounds on the moments of discrete-time stochastic processes. Our results require a weak negative drift criterion along with a state-dependent restriction on the sizes of the one-step jumps…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-02 Arnab Ganguly , Debasish Chatterjee

We consider weighted graphs satisfying sub-Gaussian estimate for the natural random walk. On such graphs, we study symmetric Markov chains with heavy tailed jumps. We establish a threshold behavior of such Markov chains when the index…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-03 Mathav Murugan , Laurent Saloff-Coste