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Terrorist activities often exhibit temporal and spatial clustering, making the multivariate Hawkes process (MHP) a useful statistical model for analysing terrorism across different geographic regions. However, terror attack data from the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-27 Jason J. Lambe , Feng Chen , Tom Stindl , Tsz-Kit Jeffrey Kwan

Multivariate Hawkes processes are commonly used to model streaming networked event data in a wide variety of applications. However, it remains a challenge to extract reliable inference from complex datasets with uncertainty quantification.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-29 Haoyun Wang , Liyan Xie , Alex Cuozzo , Simon Mak , Yao Xie

The Hawkes process models self-exciting event streams, requiring a strictly non-negative and stable stochastic intensity. Standard identification methods enforce these properties using non-negative causal bases, yielding conservative…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-19 Xinhui Rong , Girish N. Nair

The Hawkes process (HP) is commonly used to model event sequences with self-reinforcing dynamics, including electronic health records (EHRs). Traditional HPs capture self-reinforcement via parametric impact functions that can be inspected…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-23 Yuankang Zhao , Matthew Engelhard

We establish the asymptotic validity of frequency-domain inference for stationary multivariate Hawkes processes under mild conditions, bridging the gap between theory and application. By developing upper-bounds on the reduced cumulant…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-14 Yifu Tang , Conor Kresin , Boris Baeumer , Ting Wang

Penalised estimation methods for point processes usually rely on a large amount of independent repetitions for cross-validation purposes. However, in the case of a single realisation of the process, existing cross-validation methods may be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-13 Miguel Martinez Herrera , Felix Cheysson

In this paper, we study the problem of sparse multiple kernel learning (MKL), where the goal is to efficiently learn a combination of a fixed small number of kernels from a large pool that could lead to a kernel classifier with a small…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-02-05 Rong Jin , Tianbao Yang , Mehrdad Mahdavi

An algorithm for the estimation of multiple targets from partial and corrupted observations is introduced based on the concept of partially-distinguishable multi-target system. It combines the advantages of engineering solutions like MHT…

概率论 · 数学 2017-12-05 J. Houssineau , D. E. Clark

We introduce and show the existence of a Hawkes self-exciting point process with exponentially-decreasing kernel and where parameters are time-varying. The quantity of interest is defined as the integrated parameter…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-06-28 Simon Clinet , Yoann Potiron

The self-exciting Hawkes process is widely used to model events which occur in bursts. However, many real world data sets contain missing events and/or noisily observed event times, which we refer to as data distortion. The presence of such…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-06-03 Isabella Deutsch , Gordon J. Ross

Gaussian Process (GPs) models are a rich distribution over functions with inductive biases controlled by a kernel function. Learning occurs through the optimisation of kernel hyperparameters using the marginal likelihood as the objective.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-22 Fergus Simpson , Vidhi Lalchand , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Linear mixed models (LMMs) are used extensively to model dependecies of observations in linear regression and are used extensively in many application areas. Parameter estimation for LMMs can be computationally prohibitive on big data.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-08 Zilong Tan , Kimberly Roche , Xiang Zhou , Sayan Mukherjee

We consider models for multivariate point processes where the intensity is given nonparametrically in terms of functions in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. The likelihood function involves a time integral and is consequently not given…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-02-14 Niels Richard Hansen

Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes with self-exciting and clustering properties. Hawkes process has been widely applied in finance, neuroscience, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. In this…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-05 Fuqing Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

Bayesian network classifiers (BNCs) possess a number of properties desirable for a modern classifier: They are easily interpretable, highly scalable, and offer adaptable complexity. However, traditional methods for learning BNCs have…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-30 Connor Cooper , Geoffrey I. Webb , Daniel F. Schmidt

A multivariate Hawkes process enables self- and cross-excitations through a triggering matrix that behaves like an asymmetrical covariance structure, characterizing pairwise interactions between the event types. Full-rank estimation of all…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-04-26 Myrl G. Marmarelis , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

In this paper, partition-based distributed state estimation of general linear systems is considered. A distributed moving horizon state estimation scheme is developed via decomposing the entire system model into subsystem models and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-04-11 Xiaojie Li , Song Bo , Yan Qin , Xunyuan Yin

We establish a scalable manifold learning method and theory, motivated by the problem of estimating fMRI activation manifolds in the Human Connectome Project (HCP). Our primary contribution is the development of an efficient estimation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-16 Junhui He , Guoxuan Ma , Jian Kang , Ying Yang

High-level synthesis (HLS) is a widely used tool in designing Field Programmable Gate Array (FPGA). HLS enables FPGA design with software programming languages by compiling the source code into an FPGA circuit. The source code includes a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-17 Weikai Li , Ding Wang , Zijian Ding , Atefeh Sohrabizadeh , Zongyue Qin , Jason Cong , Yizhou Sun

The use of M-estimators in generalized linear regression models in high dimensional settings requires risk minimization with hard $L_0$ constraints. Of the known methods, the class of projected gradient descent (also known as iterative hard…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-10-22 Prateek Jain , Ambuj Tewari , Purushottam Kar